Applying each to the «corrected»
decadal rate from 1950 to 2009 (which is 0.092 °C / decade), yields 0.090 °C / dec (from Brohan et al.) and 0.078 °C / dec (from McKitrick and Michaels).
Not exact matches
Analyzing data
from several sources, including individual leaves, camera data
from towers above the leaf canopy, and
decadal long satellite images, Guan and his colleagues measured the photosynthesis
rate over the landscape.
The results are presented in «
Decadal Trends Reveal Recent Acceleration in the
Rate of Recovery
from Acidification in the Northeastern U.S.» in the journal Environmental Science & Technology.
The
rate of release
from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting in sustained
decadal doubling of ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
These phases, which last 30 years, giving a 60 - year cycle, must be carefully allowed for: otherwise the error made by many early models would arise: they based their predictions on the warming
rate from 1976 - 2001, a period wholly within a warming phase of the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation.
As can be seen, there are considerable fluctuations in the
rate of SL rise: the
decadal average
rate fluctuates
from -1 mm / year to +5 mm / year, with a 20thC average of +1.74 mm / year.
The
rate of release
from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting in sustained
decadal doubling of ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
The second chart shows that over the 20thC the SL record was marked by significant
decadal oscillations in the
rate of rise, varying
from -1 mm / year to +5 mm / year, but no apparent acceleration over the period.
The projected
rates of change are less than or equal to zero for decades
from 2002 in the current cool
decadal mode.
The models exhibit large variations in the
rate of warming
from year to year and over a decade, owing to climate variations such as ENSO, the Atlantic Multi-
Decadal Oscillation and Pacific
Decadal Oscillation.
-- the
decadal rate of SL rise has fluctuated dramatically (
from a net SL decline to a rise of 5 mm / year)-- there has been no increase in the
rate of SL rise over the 20th century — the
rate of SL rise was higher in the first half of the 20th century (around 2 mm / year) than in the second half (around 1.4 mm / year)-- the most recent
rate of SL rise has been around 1.6 mm / year
Holgate 2007 showed
decadal swings
from -1 mm / year to +5 mm / year, so the present
decadal rates are not at all unusual compared to the 20thC.
Concerning the derivation of my own graphical adaptations of the IPCC and Hadley Center source graphics, the process by which the slopes of historical CET trend lines were determined is readily evident
from direct examination of the illustration, without any further explanation other than to clarify that all fitting of trend slopes was done by visually placing each linearized trend line onto the original HadCET source plot wherever it was appropriate in the CET record for the particular
decadal rate of change being fitted: -0.1, -0.03, +.03, +0.1, +0.2, +0.3, or +0.4
Comparison with the literature shows that the CSSR draft misleads by omission in not mentioning both the strong
decadal ‐ scale variability of GMSL
rates during the 20th century and the fact that the most recent values of the
rate are statistically indistinguishable
from those during the first half of the 20th century.
The suspicious mind believes that the IPCC is now shy
from making predictions / projections / estimate that involve actual temperatures because when they last did (IPCC4) they got burned with the 0.2 C
decadal rate and the low end 1.8 C century
rate.
From 1979 through 2014, the
decadal rate of change for each is:
This record (Holgate 2007) shows that the average
decadal rate of SL change has oscillated
from -1 mm / year to +5 mm / year over the 20th C, with the first half of the 20th C showing a slightly higher average
rate of +2.0 mm / year than the second half at +1.4 mm / year (IOW no observed acceleration in the
rate of SL rise).
As I said in my comments on Roy's blog, I think the
rate of change in temperature is composed of a «persistent» force
from natural cycles of
decadal and bidecadal (and possibly longer) length, and an «anti-persistent» tendency
from random shocks to the system.
This comes
from the
decadal OHC rise
rate as the oceans gain ~ 1e22 J per year
from excess radiation.
Captdallas, the actual
rate of change
from 1999 thru 2013 was about 0.18 deg... basically a
decadal rate of + 0.11 deg C / decade off NASA / GISS data.
What would the
decadal warming
rate be if you made all adjustments
from the baseline, as one would insist on say, in a retail setting if one was getting multiple discounts off of a ticket price?
Different approaches have been used to compute the mean
rate of 20th century global mean sea level (GMSL) rise
from the available tide gauge data: computing average
rates from only very long, nearly continuous records; using more numerous but shorter records and filters to separate nonlinear trends
from decadal - scale quasi-periodic variability; neural network methods; computing regional sea level for specific basins then averaging; or projecting tide gauge records onto empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) computed
from modern altimetry or EOFs
from ocean models.