Sentences with phrase «decadal scale oscillations»

I am trying to say, I disagree with Fred that there is no evidence of large swings at 100 + year scales, and I also disagree that one would intuitively expect oscillations to be no larger than decadal scale oscillations.

We document a deeper aragonite saturation horizon and higher near surface aragonite saturation state in the summers of 2014 and 2015 (compared with 2010 — 2013), associated with anomalous warm conditions and decadal scale oscillations.

Not exact matches

The researchers found that the rainfall predicted for East Africa on a decadal scale by models using the effects of the El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Indian Ocean Dipole did not account for as much of the rainfall fluctuations as expected for the past 34 years.

In April 2008, scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory announced that while the La Niña was weakening, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)-- a larger - scale, slower - cycling ocean pattern — had shifted to its cool phase.

The ocean factors included upwelling of nutrient - rich water and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, a large - scale marine temperature pattern.

The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), marked by temperature fluctuations in the northern Pacific Ocean on a scale of 40 to 60 years, also plays a role.

That's largely because of a long - time - scale weather pattern called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which is masking the global effect.

On decadal time scales, annual streamflow variation and precipitation are driven by large - scale patterns of climate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and Hoerlingdecadal time scales, annual streamflow variation and precipitation are driven by large - scale patterns of climate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and HoerlingDecadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and Hoerling 2014).

It should also be noted that the authors examined whether the large - scale ocean circulation, the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), and two other ocean phenomena - the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO)- could explain the warming in the 20th century simulations, but found no evidence in the models.

On shorter time scales, and layered on top of Pacific Decadal Oscillation variation, the Pacific North American pattern and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycles (see Climate chapter) can also affect variation in snowpack.

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have all been found to significantly influence changes in surface air temperature and rainfall (climate) on decadal and multi-decadal scales, and these natural ocean oscillations have been robustly connected to changes in solar acDecadal Oscillation (PDO), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have all been found to significantly influence changes in surface air temperature and rainfall (climate) on decadal and multi-decadal scales, and these natural ocean oscillations have been robustly connected to changes in solar acdecadal and multi-decadal scales, and these natural ocean oscillations have been robustly connected to changes in solar acdecadal scales, and these natural ocean oscillations have been robustly connected to changes in solar activity.

Spectral analyses suggested that the reconstructed annual mean temperature variation may be related to large - scale atmospheric — oceanic variability such as the solar activity, Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO).

But, in contrast with the El Niño Southern Oscillation index [12], the NAO and PDO operate on decadal scales, causing extended periods of high or low population abundance [5], [7].

Ice - sheet responses to decadal - scale ocean forcing appear to be less important, possibly indicating that the future response of the Antarctic Ice Sheet will be governed more by long - term anthropogenic warming combined with multi-centennial natural variability than by annual or decadal climate oscillations.»

# 8220; This multi-year Pacific Decadal Oscillation «cool» trend can intensify La Niña or diminish El Niño impacts around the Pacific basin,» said Bill Patzert, an oceanographer and climatologist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, Calif. «The persistence of this large - scale pattern [in 2008] tells us there is much more than an isolated La Niña occurring in the Pacific Ocean.»

This too is questionable, as there are reasons to think the ocean uptake of heat varies at different time scales and may be influenced by ENSO, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO).

[1] The SPCZ can affect the precipitation on Polynesian islands in the southwest Pacific Ocean, so it is important to understand how the SPCZ behaves with large - scale, global climate phenomenon, such as the ITCZ, El Niño — Southern Oscillation, and the Interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO), a portion of the Pacific decadal oOscillation, and the Interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO), a portion of the Pacific decadal ooscillation (IPO), a portion of the Pacific decadal oscillationoscillation.

Abstract — 2008 Climate and wildfires in the North American boreal forest... Climate controls the area burned through changing the dynamics of large - scale teleconnection patterns (Pacific Decadal Oscillation / El Niño Southern Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation, PDO / ENSO and AO) that control the frequency of blocking highs over the continent at different time scales......... Since the end of the Little Ice Age, the climate has been unusually moist and variable: large fire years have occurred in unusual years, fire frequency has decreased and fire — climate relationships have occurred at interannual to decadal time scales...... http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/363/1501/2315.short ---------------Decadal Oscillation / El Niño Southern Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation, PDO / ENSO and AO) that control the frequency of blocking highs over the continent at different time scales......... Since the end of the Little Ice Age, the climate has been unusually moist and variable: large fire years have occurred in unusual years, fire frequency has decreased and fire — climate relationships have occurred at interannual to decadal time scales...... http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/363/1501/2315.short ---------------decadal time scales...... http://rstb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/363/1501/2315.short ----------------------

A proliferation of oscillations it seems — changing abruptly between states on decadal to millennial scales.

The long time range of this dataset allows scientists to examine better long time scale climate processes such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as well as looking at the dynamics of historical climate and weather events.

The study by Macias & Johnson (2008) provides not only evidence for the link between decadal - scale changes in the teleconnection patterns (e.g. the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index) and the increased fire frequency in the late twentieth century but also an explanation of why the pattern of fire variability and fire - climate relationships changes at different time scales from centennial / decadal to interannudecadal - scale changes in the teleconnection patterns (e.g. the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index) and the increased fire frequency in the late twentieth century but also an explanation of why the pattern of fire variability and fire - climate relationships changes at different time scales from centennial / decadal to interannuDecadal Oscillation (PDO) index) and the increased fire frequency in the late twentieth century but also an explanation of why the pattern of fire variability and fire - climate relationships changes at different time scales from centennial / decadal to interannudecadal to interannual.....

Pachauri, Rajendra, 6, 30, 56, 146, 156 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), 68 - 69, 240 Pacific Ocean, 58, 62, 68 - 69, 74, 102, 116, 140 Packard Foundation, 175 Pakistan, 1 Palmer, Andy, 213 Parker, Kevin, 13 Pasteur Institute, 136 Peak oil, 220 - 221, 244 Peer review, 4, 62, 66, 82, 88, 131, 155 - 158, 162, 167 Pell, George, 227 Pelley, Scott, 141 Pelosi, Nancy, 17 Pennsylvania State University, 128 People for the Ethical Treatment of Animals (PETA), 30 Peru, 67 - 68 Peterson, Thomas, 162 Petroleum (see oil) Pew Center, 115 Pew Charitable Trusts, 12 Photosynthesis, 77, 131 pH Scale, 139 Pielke Sr., Roger, 148 Poland, 225 - 226 Polar bear, 1, 16, 24, 103, 136 - 138, 144, 186, 228, 231, 236, 240, 246 Politico, 175 Pollution, 21, 38 - 40, 49, 129, 133, 135, 139, 209 - 210, 225 carbon, 2, 128, 130, 132, 138, 144 Population, 32 - 33, 37, 39, 143, 184, 186 Porritt, Jonathan, 31 Power Hungry, 195 Prescott, John, 35 President's Climate Commitment, 12 Princeton University, 64, 74, 132 Propaganda, climate, 12 Proposition 23, 128 Public Broadcasting Station (PBS), 106 Public Service Company in Colorado, 199 Pugh, Lewis Gordon, 111 Purdue University, 174

Despite this increasing greenhouse gas - induced warming of the oceans, the ocean doesn't warm in a linear manner due to a number of factors, one of these being a natural decadal - scale variation in the way heat is mixed into the oceans by winds - the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO).

Comparing decadal - with centennial - scale «trends» in a process that contains important decadal - scale oscillations is not an example of analytically robust science.

The influence of large - scale climate modes of variability (the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-RRB- on APF magnitude is also assessed, and placed in context with these more localized controls.

The proposed methodology quickly highlights oscillations and teleconnections among the records at the decadal and multidecadal scales.

While the correlation displays decadal - scale variability similar to changes in the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO)...» Vance et al 2012

Large - scale climate variations, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), are occurring at the same time as the global climate is changing.

Spectral analysis shows the below - average epochs are associated with enhanced ENSO - like variability around 2 — 5 yr, while the above - average epoch is associated more with variability around 6 — 7 yr... While the correlation displays decadal - scale variability similar to changes in the interdecadal Pacific oscillation...» Vance et al 2012

While the correlation displays decadal - scale variability similar to changes in the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO), the LDSSS record suggests rainfall in the modern instrumental era (1910 — 2009 ad) is below the long - term average.»

The decadal - scale mode associated with the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and a low - frequency oscillation (LFO) with an approximate time scale of 60 - 80 yearsOscillation (AO) and a low - frequency oscillation (LFO) with an approximate time scale of 60 - 80 yearsoscillation (LFO) with an approximate time scale of 60 - 80 years, dominate.

Environmental variables estimated over larger spatial and temporal scales included the upwelling index (UI) for 48 ° N, 125 ° W (http://www.pfeg.noaa.gov), an indicator of upwelling strength based on wind stress measurements, as well as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO, http://jisao.washington.edu/pdo/PDO.latest), a composite indicator of ocean temperature anomalies [33], seawater temperature from Buoy 46041 ∼ 50 km to the southwest from Tatoosh (www.ndbc.noaa.gov), and remote sensing of chl a (SeaWiFS, AquaModis).

Now forced to explain the warming hiatus, Trenberth has flipped flopped about the PDO's importance writing «One of the things emerging from several lines is that the IPCC has not paid enough attention to natural variability, on several time scales,» «especially El Niños and La Niñas, the Pacific Ocean phenomena that are not yet captured by climate models, and the longer term Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) which have cycle lengths of about 60 years.»

This article makes use of recent findings about the relatively short decadal or multi decadal (20 to 30 years) oceanic oscillations that, the writer contends, are short enough to bring the time scales involved in oceanic changes into line with the solar cycles of 11 years or so.

Decadal variability is described via large - scale patterns found in the atmosphere and ocean, which oscillate at decadal timescales and are concentrated in specific regions (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Arctic and Antarctic OscillaDecadal variability is described via large - scale patterns found in the atmosphere and ocean, which oscillate at decadal timescales and are concentrated in specific regions (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Arctic and Antarctic Oscilladecadal timescales and are concentrated in specific regions (e.g., Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Arctic and Antarctic OscillaDecadal Oscillation, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Arctic and Antarctic Oscillations).

The Arctic Oscillation was fairly stable until about 1970, but then varied on more or less decadal time scales, with signs of an underlying upward trend, until the late 1990s, when it again stabilized.

Relationships with four candidate predictors (the Pacific North American (PNA), Arctic Oscillation (AO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and Nino3 indices) are used for insights into possible large - scale climate forcing.

Furthermore, conceptual work on the potentially chaotic nature of the ISM (70) has been developed (V. Petoukhov, K. Zickfeld, and H.J.S., unpublished work) to suggest that under some plausible decadal - scale scenarios of land use and greenhouse gas and aerosol forcing, switches occur between two highly nonlinear metastable regimes of the chaotic oscillations corresponding to the «active» and «weak» monsoon phases, on the intraseasonal and interannual timescales.

Natural factors such as the Sun (84 papers), multi-decadal oceanic - atmospheric oscillations such as the NAO, AMO / PDO, ENSO (31 papers), decadal - scale cloud cover variations, and internal variability in general have exerted a significant influence on weather and climate changes during both the past and present.

This investigation will also identify origins of the potential predictability using composite analysis and large - scale teleconnections (Southern Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and North Atlantic Oscillation), providing the basis upon which seasonal predictions can be developed.

The natural causes of climate variations that have time scales (century, decadal; e.g. Schwabe sunspot cycles, average solar output during the satellite measuring era,, ENSO / PDO / AMO and the rest of the alphabet soup of «oscillations», volcanism) either don't capture energy over multiple cycles — if I push a child on a swing, his average position doesn't move away from me — or are going in the wrong direction.

Known interannual and decadal changes are related both to the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and to basin - scale processes associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (Pdecadal changes are related both to the El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and to basin - scale processes associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDecadal Oscillation (PDO)[1].

Never mind the fact that those same models were unable to reproduce large scale natural climate variability such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and ENSO.