The history of
decadal variability suggests that temperatures will decline (since 1998) over the next couple of decades — well before which the entire science community is utterly discredited.
Not exact matches
«The study reinforces the idea that looking at Arctic and Antarctic ice separately is the best way to understand
decadal and long - term trends, because it
suggests significant
decadal and inter-
decadal variability in southern hemisphere ice extent going back much further than the last 30 years.»
Spectral analyses
suggested that the reconstructed annual mean temperature variation may be related to large - scale atmospheric — oceanic
variability such as the solar activity, Pacific
Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and El Niño — Southern Oscillation (ENSO).
While rereading the ocean heat content changes by Levitus 2005 at http://www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/PDF/PAPERS/grlheat05.pdf a remarkable sentence was noticed: «However, the large decrease in ocean heat content starting around 1980
suggests that internal
variability of the Earth system significantly affects Earth's heat balance on
decadal time - scales.»
«The evidence presented here
suggests that most of that warming might well have been caused by cloud changes associated with a natural mode of climate
variability: the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation.»
Roemmich et al (2007)
suggest that mid-latitude gyres in all of the oceans are influenced by
decadal variability in the Southern and Northern Annular Modes (SAM and NAM respectively) as wind driven currents in baroclinic oceans (Sverdrup, 1947).
2) Reversibility of the
decadal variability (which
suggests natural
variability) such as an absence of volcanic perturbation eg Joshi and Shine 2003 http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/pdf/10.1175/1520-0442%282003%29016%3C3525%3AAGSOVE%3E2.0.CO%3B2
Tropical origins of North and South Pacific
decadal variability by Jeremy D. Shakun and Jeffrey Shaman makes some very interesting findings suggesting that both the northern and southern Pacific Ocean has evidence of the Pacific Decadal Variation PDV b
decadal variability by Jeremy D. Shakun and Jeffrey Shaman makes some very interesting findings
suggesting that both the northern and southern Pacific Ocean has evidence of the Pacific
Decadal Variation PDV b
Decadal Variation PDV being...
Shifts at
decadal scales in the form of rivers — between low energy meandering and high energy braided forms — that
suggested decadal variability of rainfall.
While the correlation displays
decadal - scale
variability similar to changes in the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO), the LDSSS record
suggests rainfall in the modern instrumental era (1910 — 2009 ad) is below the long - term average.»
Our results
suggest that the
decadal AO and multidecadal LFO drive large amplitude natural
variability in the Arctic making detection of possible long - term trends induced by greenhouse gas warming most difficult.
It should be noted that we are not
suggesting here that all
decadal sea level
variability is related to TWS, but do find TWS
variability to play a significant role in sea level changes on the timescale of a decade.»
There is peer reviewed science that
suggests — as a result of Pacific
variability especially — that the world is not warming over the next 10 years (Mochizuki et al 2010, Swanson et al 2009, Tsonis et al 2007, Keenlyside et al 2008)-- albeit with immense uncertainties surrounding the origins and limits of
decadal variability.
For myself, I've
suggested that 2005 - 2025 is likely to be below 0.2; and specifically somewhere from 0.15 to 0.2, but that's a quick guess not a calculation, based on rough consideration of
decadal scale
variability /
The solar amplification mechanism — the only real candidate for the vigorous
decadal to centennial
variability seen in the data —
suggests further cooling this century is likely.
The solar amplification mechanism — the only real candidate for this vigorous
decadal to centennial
variability —
suggests further cooling this century.
Regional circulation patterns have significantly changed in recent years.2 For example, changes in the Arctic Oscillation can not be explained by natural variation and it has been
suggested that they are broadly consistent with the expected influence of human - induced climate change.3 The signature of global warming has also been identified in recent changes in the Pacific
Decadal Oscillation, a pattern of
variability in sea surface temperatures in the northern Pacific Ocean.4
It
suggests that the ocean's natural
variability and change is leading to
variability and change with enhanced magnitudes over the continents, causing much of the longer - time - scale (
decadal) global - scale continental climate
variability.
This
suggests great
variability in the past, not only on the
decadal basis but in individual years and the seasons within those years.
Proxy records that document summer precipitation are much less common and, of those that do exist, some
suggest wetter summers during the medieval period (22, 45 — 47), whereas others indicate
decadal variability of both drought and wetness (48).
Modeling studies
suggest that we need ~ 500 years of observations to sample the full range of ENSO
decadal variability (e.g., Wittenberg 2009).
It's not the first paper to
suggest that the initialisaiton of natural internal cycles of
variability is important in
decadal forecasting, nor the first to make a
decadal prediction.
Estimates of the
decadal variability in ice sheet mass loss (11)
suggest the impact on acceleration estimates is ∼ 0.014 mm / y2 for a 25 - y time series, in the absence of rapid dynamical changes in the ice sheets.
On text noting high
decadal variability in Arctic temperatures, Canada, supported by Norway,
suggested removing a specific reference to a warm period observed from 1925 to 1945.
Increasing attention is being paid to IPCC misrepresentations of natural oceanic
variability on
decadal scales (Compo and Sardeshmukh 2009): «Several recent studies
suggest that the observed SST
variability may be misrepresented in the coupled models used in preparing the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report, with substantial errors on interannual and
decadal scales (e.g., Shukla et al. 2006, DelSole, 2006; Newman 2007; Newman et al. 2008).