Sentences with phrase «decade by decade prediction»

Not exact matches

My predictions of steadily rising oil prices over the last decade, including my call for $ 100 - per - barrel oil by 2007, had flown in the face of conventional wisdom.

Using similar techniques originally inspired by string theory, Strominger's group has computed the spectrum of gravitational waves emitted when compact objects like stars fall into giant black holes — predictions that could be verified by the future Evolved Laser Interferometer Space Antenna, planned to launch in two decades (or maybe sooner).

By improving the understanding of how much radiation CO2 absorbs, uncertainties in modelling climate change will be reduced and more accurate predictions can be made about how much Earth is likely to warm over the next few decades.

Although seismic predictions work on geologic timescales and can miss big quakes by decades, one expert said last week that a temblor in Port - au - Prince was of greater concern than a San Andreas slip

The predictions also assume that the rising contribution of gas - fired and nuclear plants will reduce coal's contribution to 20 per cent of Britain's electricity needs by the end of the decade.

Ministers say that the latest findings from the Hadley Centre in Berkshire — in particular the prediction that, on a business - as - usual basis, the Earth will heat up by 0.2 °C per decade — provided a significant contribution to negotiations at the recent Berlin meeting.

Their finding confirmed a prediction by scientists dating back nearly two decades of the ferroelectric nature of such inorganic substances.

These changes have been compounded by stronger waves in the North Sea in recent decades, and could be further exacerbated if predictions that storminess will increase with global warming prove accurate.

A decade after the original prediction of quantum spin liquid on a honeycomb lattice by Kitaev, the young team of scientists from Boston College succeeded in making a material that almost exactly corresponds to the Kitaev model, Tafti said.

To cite a few instances, polymerase chain reaction (PCR), a molecular method developed over three decades ago, has been widely applied in disease diagnosis, disease mechanism deciphering, and prognosis prediction; the elucidation of tyrosine kinase activity in cancer cells has led to the development of novel drugs for cancer treatment; and the identification of proteins and genetic molecules by molecular methods as biomarkers for disease diagnosis and prognosis has been drawing great interest.

Students make a prediction about how 100 pennies will sort by decade or year and then test their predictions.

Have them write their predictions by decade.

Previous predictions of teacher shortages later in this decade based mainly on demographic projections of increased elementary - school enrollment have been called into question by recent federal demographic surveys.

Coin Count & Classification On Lincoln's birthday, make, test a prediction about how 100 pennies will sort by decade or year.

Coin Count & Classification Just in time for Abe Lincolns birthday: make, test a prediction about how 100 pennies will sort by decade or year.

Coin Count & Classification Just in time for Abe Lincoln's birthday: make, test a prediction about how 100 pennies will sort by decade or year.

Back in 2011, Toyota made a very bold prediction; the Prius would be the best - selling Toyota model in the U.S. by the end of this decade.

My father is somewhat of a climate «sceptic» and insists that the prediction of 0.3 C cooling is based only on solar irradiance and does not take into account increased cloud cover caused by low sun activity (he beleives that we are going to be facing extreme global cooling over the next few decades).

* The fast warming would likely begin early in the next decade — similar to the 2007 prediction by the Hadley Center in Science»

The researchers compared predictions of 22 widely used climate «models» — elaborate schematics that try to forecast how the global weather system will behave — with actual readings gathered by surface stations, weather balloons and orbiting satellites over the past three decades.

Yet we know well that our current flooding predictions will be entirely obsolete in less than two decades, as thousands of miles of coastlines are slowly claimed by rising seas, due both to coastal subsidence and global warming.

Furthermore, the fact is (as shown in Figure 1) that hurricane intensity has increased in recent decades as SST has risen (at least in the North Atlantic for which trends are most reliable) and this prediction is based on fairly fundamental and robust thermodynamic arguments explored by Emanuel and others for decades now.

But seriously... between the Keenlyside prediction and the long - standing predictions by some in the solar community of solar - induced cooling in the next decade, this is a pretty ballsy bet.

To do this you need to make a «climate» prediction which, by Prof H - G's definition, will require decades.

Additionally, the observed surface temperature changes over the past decade are within the range of model predictions (Figure 6) and decadal periods of flat temperatures during an overall long - term warming trend are predicted by climate models (Easterling & Wehner 2009).

In 1990 the IPCC's central business - as - usual prediction for the medium term was equivalent to 0.28 K per decade, so, on any view, Karl's paper is an admission that the models have been exaggerating by well over double.

A quick back - of - the - envelope with a spreadsheet will show you how much risk they were taking by publishing this prediction after the decade in question was half in - the - books already.

Recharge news The rapid advance of Britain's offshore wind industry will lead to an «explosion of innovation» in the coming decades, with floating arrays the go - to design by 2030 and multi-rotored turbines and kite - shaped high - altitude concepts taking up prominent places in the European seascape, all serviced by drones and underwater - robots, according to new predictions from UK government - industry body the Offshore Renewable...

This skill must be assessed by predicting global, regional and local average climate, and any climate change that was observed over the last several decades (i.e. «hindcast model predictions»).

That is the scientific foundation for the prediction by Hansen and colleagues of acceleration of the rate of seal - level rise this decade.

Perhaps by then it will turn out to be only 0.1 C warming / decade and that would be a considerable change from the dire predictions of today.

To point out just a couple of things: — oceans warming slower (or cooling slower) than lands on long - time trends is absolutely normal, because water is more difficult both to warm or to cool (I mean, we require both a bigger heat flow and more time); at the contrary, I see as a non-sense theory (made by some serrist, but don't know who) that oceans are storing up heat, and that suddenly they will release such heat as a positive feedback: or the water warms than no heat can be considered ad «stored» (we have no phase change inside oceans, so no latent heat) or oceans begin to release heat but in the same time they have to cool (because they are losing heat); so, I don't feel strange that in last years land temperatures for some series (NCDC and GISS) can be heating up while oceans are slightly cooling, but I feel strange that they are heating up so much to reverse global trend from slightly negative / stable to slightly positive; but, in the end, all this is not an evidence that lands» warming is led by UHI (but, this effect, I would not exclude it from having a small part in temperature trends for some regional area, but just small); both because, as writtend, it is normal to have waters warming slower than lands, and because lands» temperatures are often measured in a not so precise way (despite they continue to give us a global uncertainity in TT values which is barely the instrumental's one)-- but, to point out, HadCRU and MSU of last years (I mean always 2002 - 2006) follow much better waters» temperatures trend; — metropolis and larger cities temperature trends actually show an increase in UHI effect, but I think the sites are few, and the covered area is very small worldwide, so the global effect is very poor (but it still can be sensible for regional effects); but I would not run out a small warming trend for airport measurements due mainly to three things: increasing jet planes traffic, enlarging airports (then more buildings and more asphalt — if you follow motor sports, or simply live in a town / city, you will know how easy they get very warmer than air during day, and how much it can slow night - time cooling) and overall having airports nearer to cities (if not becoming an area inside the city after some decade of hurban growth, e.g. Milan - Linate); — I found no point about UHI in towns and villages; you will tell me they are not large cities; but, in comparison with 20-40-60 years ago when they were «countryside», many small towns and villages have become part of larger hurban areas (at least in Europe and Asia) so examining just larger cities would not be enough in my opinion to get a full view of UHI effect (still remembering that it has a small global effect: we can say many matters are due to UHI instead of GW, maybe even that a small part of measured GW is due to UHI, and that GW measurements are not so precise to make us able to make good analisyses and predictions, but not that GW is due to UHI).

If sea level is rising 2 mm a year for decades and then starts rising by 3 mm * per year for a few years and then starts falling by 6 mm a year in 2010, would you consider a prediction of 1000 mm to 1900 mm in 100 years realistic considering that is 10 mm to 19 mm per year?

One article pointed out that China will surpass the U.S. as the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide by 2000, a decade ahead of previous predictions.

If that estimate proves true, it would shave off at least a decade or two from the previously widely cited prediction of an ice - free Arctic by mid-century.

Predictions of 0.2 per decade for a specified two decades («the next two decades») can be invalidated by data from 2007 to 2027, but not by anything that hasn't gone beyond early 2012.

Seawater data collected by a Hydrolab DataSonde (Hach Company, Loveland, CO) since 2000 show that the ocean at this site has undergone a sustained decline in pH over the past decade [2] at a rate that is an order of magnitude greater than expected based on model predictions [13] and the equilibrium response to rising atmospheric CO2 concentration.

If a particular prediction was required, the post could have used the prediction from the FAR that if there were few or no steps taken to limit greenhouse gases, temperatures would rise by 0.3 degrees per decade.

Not to belabor the point, but predictions of 0.2 / decade average out to mid century can't be invalidated by data from the first decade of the century.

Efforts by the global numerical weather prediction centers to produce global reanalyses such as the European Copernicus effort is probably the best way forward for the most recent decades.

«Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support... the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution... by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half....»

The top - of - atmosphere net energy input remained in the [0.5 — 1] W m − 2 interval during the past decade, which is successfully captured by our predictions.

Then in 2009 when the temperature plateau became too obvious to ignore, Knight et al. (2009), in a report on climate by the American Meteorological Society, asked the rhetorical question «Do global temperature trends over the last decade falsify climate predictions?»

The Duke estimates show the chances that the planet's temperature will rise even by 11 degrees is only 5 percent, which falls in line with previous, less - alarming predictions that meteorologists made almost three decades ago.

By WUWT regular «Just The Facts» I am often amused by claims that we understand Earth's climate system, are able to accurately measure its behavior, eliminate all potential variables except CO2 as the primary driver of Earth's temperature and make predictions of Earth's temperature decades into the future, all with a high degree of confidencBy WUWT regular «Just The Facts» I am often amused by claims that we understand Earth's climate system, are able to accurately measure its behavior, eliminate all potential variables except CO2 as the primary driver of Earth's temperature and make predictions of Earth's temperature decades into the future, all with a high degree of confidencby claims that we understand Earth's climate system, are able to accurately measure its behavior, eliminate all potential variables except CO2 as the primary driver of Earth's temperature and make predictions of Earth's temperature decades into the future, all with a high degree of confidence.

So while it's fun, and plausible, to say the IPCC was off by a factor of four in their + / - AGW prediction, it's far more accurately sporting to say it appears that in a decade we will know if the trend of missing their + / - AGW prediction by 17 % is borne out.

Two decades from now, at least a few and possibly almost all predictions will have been disconfirmed by the accumulated evidence.

It has been reported (New York Times, 25 Nov) that China will surpass the United States as the world's largest emitter of carbon dioxide by 2009, a decade ahead of previous predictions.

Though the panel acknowledges that it is difficult to make exact predictions for a specific place, this is what the Big Apple is in for in the coming decades: Temps to Rise Up to 7.5 Degrees Fahrenheit By the 2020s, New York's mean average temperature could increase by 3 degrees Fahrenheit and sea levels could rise by 2 - 5 incheBy the 2020s, New York's mean average temperature could increase by 3 degrees Fahrenheit and sea levels could rise by 2 - 5 incheby 3 degrees Fahrenheit and sea levels could rise by 2 - 5 incheby 2 - 5 inches.

Regarding your blog entry on the V+S paper, one statement needs clarification: ``... hurricane intensity has increased in recent decades as SST has risen (at least in the North Atlantic for which trends are most reliable) and this prediction is based on fairly fundamental and robust thermodynamic arguments explored by Emanuel and others for decades now.»