Temperatures increased on average by almost one and a quarter (1.22) degrees Celsius (C) per
decade over sea ice in the Arctic summer.
Not exact matches
Indeed, Arctic change in the last two
decades has been profound — not just dwindling
sea ice, but also noticeably increased precipitation, and thus snow cover,
over Eurasia.
Sensors that have plumbed the depths of Arctic
seas since 2002 have found warm currents creeping up from the Atlantic Ocean and helping drive the dramatic retreat of
sea ice there
over the last
decade.
Two regions of the WAIS, the Amundsen and Bellingshausen
seas, have experienced especially dramatic losses of
ice over the last couple of
decades.
The U.S. Department of the Interior Wednesday listed the polar bear as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) of 1973 based on evidence that the animal's
sea ice habitat is shrinking and is likely to continue to do so
over the next several
decades.
The results do suggest however that if
sea ice loss continues as it has
over recent
decades, the risk of wet summers may increase.
Under these conditions, a disproportionately rapid retreat of summertime
sea ice in the central Arctic Ocean
over the course of the next few
decades, followed by its complete disappearance — depending on how quickly CO2 levels rise — roughly 250 years from now, is to be expected.
At the same time, there is considerable public interest in dependable predictions concerning Arctic
sea ice development
over the next few
decades, so as to have a basis for long - term strategic planning.
A release of methane in the Arctic could speed the melting of
sea ice and climate change with a cost to the global economy of up to $ 60 trillion
over coming
decades, according to a paper published in the journal Nature.
But
over the past
decades, the melt season has grown longer and the average extent of Arctic
sea ice has diminished, changing the game for many Arctic marine mammals — namely beluga, narwhal and bowhead whales; ringed, bearded, spotted, ribbon, harp and hooded seals; walruses; and polar bears.
The model simulates melting at the base of the Amundsen
Sea ice shelves at current rates
over several
decades.
Antarctic
sea ice levels have actually been increasing slightly
over the past three
decades, so this low is unusual.
A relatively small amount of melting
over a few
decades, the authors say, will inexorably lead to the destabilization of the entire
ice sheet and the rise of global
sea levels by as much as 3 meters.
A new review analyzing three
decades of research on the historic effects of melting polar
ice sheets found that global
sea levels have risen at least six meters, or about 20 feet, above present levels on multiple occasions
over the past three million years.
Scientists have
decades of data documenting the bears, and Lentfer says that the bears» weights have been dropping
over the past 25 years, indicating that they're having trouble hunting seals on
sea ice.
Over the last
decade, the Arctic Ocean has experienced record - breaking losses of
sea ice in the summers.
A new study by scientists at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California, and the University of California, Irvine, shows that while
ice sheets and glaciers continue to melt, changes in weather and climate
over the past
decade have caused Earth's continents to soak up and store an extra 3.2 trillion tons of water in soils, lakes and underground aquifers, temporarily slowing the rate of
sea level rise by about 20 percent.
The winter
sea ice around Antarctica has grown slightly
over the past few
decades.
The extent of Arctic
sea ice, which melts to its low each September, has steadily declined
over the past three
decades, as the chart below illustrates.
Although that is unlikely to happen for many thousands of years, the
ice sheet has increasingly lost mass
over the last two
decades, and the glaciers that serve as its outlet to the
sea are accelerating.
The findings suggest that Antarctic
sea ice has fluctuated substantially through the last century, rather than experiencing the sort of steady trend seen in the Arctic
over many
decades.
The minimum Arctic
sea ice has declined by a little
over half since its maximum extent of the past three
decades.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that
sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of
ice sheet mass balance
over the past few
decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just
over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer
sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent
decades.
Low maximum
sea ice extent also occurred
over periods of some
decades (e.g., mid-seventeenth and mid-eighteenth centuries, early fifteenth and late thirteenth centuries), with absolute values in some cases as low as the twentieth century ones, but these periods were in no case as persistent as in the twentieth century. . .
So it seems you have a very conservative estimate from the CMIP ensembles, which are known to suffer from various weaknesses wrt
sea ice, and which certainly don't capture the trends
over the last
decade or so.
There are some painful, and even dire, concerns expressed about the potential that Greenland
ice sheets could be «entirely lost» if emissions continue at a business - as - usual pace; about the rate of
sea - level rise increasing «faster and faster with time»; and about the planet's
ice sheets likely becoming «more active»
over coming
decades than they have been
over recent
decades.
Over all, the pace of
sea - level rise from the resulting
ice loss doesn't go beyond about 1.5 feet per century, Dr. Pollard said in an interview, a far cry from what was thought possible a couple of
decades ago.
Even though the observed
ice loss has accelerated
over the last
decade, the fate of
sea ice over the next
decade depends not only on human activity but also on climate variability that can not be predicted.
The most exciting thing is we'll get a chance to see the relative strength of all of these
over the next few years, and it will most interesting to compare the total
decade of 2010 - 2019 to previous
decades in terms of the trends in Arctic
Sea ice, Global Temps, and of course, OHC.
As a result, the
sea ice volume at its annual minimum has declined 75 %
over the past three
decades.
eg For
over a
decade now I have placed 2025 + / -2 yrs as a likely time for no summer
sea ice followed by «shit hits fan» ongoing thereafter.
Very well: You predict that the loss of
sea ice will halt and reverse
over the next two
decades.
(Note that Mr. Will questioned my use of that «many experts» shorthand, but used it himself; down below I'll later list some of the many experts I've consulted on
sea ice over the last
decade.)
We're not talking about day trading here, we're talking climate and long range trends like a steady decline in
sea ice over decades, shrinking glaciers world - wide, deforestation, etc..
It is a very complex issue with no clear cut answers however as it is critical for polar bears to have both
ice and water any reduction of
sea ice is going to reduce the population
over the next few
decades.
With global GHG emissions and concentrations continuing to increase; with climate change intensifying changes in ecosystems,
ice sheet deterioration, and
sea level rise; and with fossil fuels providing more than 80 % of the world's energy, the likelihood seems low that cooperative actions will prevent increasingly disruptive climate change
over the next several
decades.
Of more relevance than attribution is the development of reliable forecasts of the Arctic
sea ice over the next few
decades, which clearly requires consideration and integration of all these processes.
Data taken
over the past
decade indicate that when a lot of Arctic
sea ice disappears in the summer, the vortex has a tendency to weaken
over the subsequent winter.»
There is also considerable observational evidence that arctic
sea ice extent
over the last few
decades is much lower than it has been for at least a century prior to modern times.
Over the past three
decades, the summer Arctic
sea ice extent has declined roughly 40 percent, and the
ice has lost significant volume, according to data from the Polar Science Center.
As most of you are aware, Arctic
sea ice has shrunk dramatically
over the last several
decades, because of man - made global warming.
The thickness of Arctic
sea ice has also been on a steady decline
over the last several
decades.
Arctic
sea ice extent (SIE) has decreased
over recent
decades, with record - setting minimum events in 2007 and again in 2012.
It sounds like you have no clue about the details of
sea ice loss
over the past few
decades, nor the most critical of all the metrics — see
ice volume, which is directly impacted by the warmth of both the ocean water as well as the atmosphere.
In recent
decades, much research on these topics has raised the questions of «tipping points» and «system flips,» where feedbacks in the system compound to rapidly cause massive reorganization of global climate
over very short periods of time — a truncation or reorganization of the thermohaline circulation or of food web structures, for instance, caused by the loss of
sea ice or warming ocean temperatures.
Arctic
sea ice volume, area, and extent have been in long - term decline for
decades, and this decline has accelerated
over the past 5 years.
According to AMEG, here's how climate change in the Arctic has changed weather patterns:
Over the past three
decades, snow cover has been reduced by 17 - 18 % per
decade and
sea ice is declining fast because of human - induced global warming.
The current
sea ice extent in the Greenland Sea (Figure 4) differs only a little from the previous years and as Gerland et al. point out, different mean positions of the ice edge over one to three decades do not show substantial differenc
sea ice extent in the Greenland
Sea (Figure 4) differs only a little from the previous years and as Gerland et al. point out, different mean positions of the ice edge over one to three decades do not show substantial differenc
Sea (Figure 4) differs only a little from the previous years and as Gerland et al. point out, different mean positions of the
ice edge
over one to three
decades do not show substantial differences.
«
Over the last couple of decades, the sea - level rise from the ice sheets has been about 0.6 mm / yr, from a reservoir of more than 60 meters, which is about the same as me going on a diet and losing 1/3 of one potato chip over a y
Over the last couple of
decades, the
sea - level rise from the
ice sheets has been about 0.6 mm / yr, from a reservoir of more than 60 meters, which is about the same as me going on a diet and losing 1/3 of one potato chip
over a y
over a year.