Ok, so then are you saying that if we follow my rule for picking decades of only allowing years that are multiples of ten when specifying ranges, the last
decade warmed almost as fast as the previous one, but if we follow your rule of only allowing years that are congruent to 1 mod 10, per the fencepost error that makes the year 1990 part of the 1980's, then the warming paused during the last decade?
Not exact matches
A complete failure of the agreement at this point, with business - as - usual growth for another
decade, would
almost certainly commit the planet to significantly more
warming than the Paris goals, and the human consequences of this would be catastrophic.
For
decades, research on climate variations in the Atlantic has focused
almost exclusively on the role of ocean circulation as the main driver, specifically the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, which carries
warm water north in the upper layers of the ocean and cold water south in lower layers like a large conveyor belt.
The draft report says it is «very likely» that the past three
decades have all been
warmer than any time in the past 800 years; that we could see
almost 9 °C of
warming by 2300; and that «a large fraction of climate change is largely irreversible on human timescales».
The study finds that
almost all of the very cold winters in central Asia during the past
decade have coincided with particularly
warm conditions in the Arctic.
Visitors can peruse the artists» favorite «love letters and hate mail,» drawn from
almost three
decades of humorous, heart -
warming and shocking communications, and are invited to contribute their own views to an interactive wall installation.
A vein of
warm sentiment is bared as he speaks of his two daughters (one lives with her family in San Francisco, the other is a semi-professional photographer in New York), recalls his fondness for Jackson Pollock or talks about a portrait of his wife that he drew last year — his first «realistic» work in
almost two
decades («I thought I might have lost my touch, but it turned out stronger than ever.»)
Herrera's ascetic compositions, which prefigured the development of Minimalism by
almost a
decade, did not find a
warm reception when she returned to New York in 1954, a time when Abstract Expressionism still reigned supreme.
Despite their appeal, such steps are
almost meaningless when considering the grand challenge of limiting
warming even as human numbers and energy appetites crest in coming
decades, an array of climate scientists warn.
All of the effects of global
warming have been foretold for
almost 5
decades in advance (if memory serves, the first climate model was created sometime back during the late 60's), and was able to compute current
warming to a very high level of accuracy.
Trends correctly rounded down in °C /
decade: 1957 — 1986: 0.02 1987 — 1996: 0.02 1997 — now: 0.04 According to Rose global
warming has stopped in this last period of 16 years and the two preceding periods have trends that are
almost close to zero.
More specifically, there was slow global
warming, with large fluctuations, over the century up to 1975 and subsequent rapid
warming of
almost 0.2 Â °C per
decade.»
A few
decades in the future, as shown on the right, it is
warm almost everywhere.
The answer is:
almost nothing for more than 10 years... The lack of any statistically significant
warming for over a
decade has made it more difficult for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its supporters to demonize the atmospheric gas CO2 which is released when fossil fuels are burned.»
Over the last three
decades, five IPCC «assessment reports,» dozens of computer models, scores of conferences and thousands of papers focused heavily on human fossil fuel use and carbon dioxide and greenhouse gas emissions, as being responsible for «dangerous» global
warming, climate change, climate «disruption,» and
almost every «extreme» weather or climate event.
That there will be additional snowfall on the Greenland ice sheet with
warming was discussed at RealClimate like
almost a
decade ago.
Two
decades of cool weather, followed by
almost 2
decades of
warm weather.
It is
almost certain that some fraction of that
warming was completely natural, not due to human causes and we do not know that fraction — a reasonable guess would be to extrapolate the
warming rate from the entire post LIA era, which is already close to 0.1 C /
decade.
The
warming trend in the Arctic is
almost twice as large as the global average in recent
decades.
Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most of Australia over the coming
decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise at high rates, 19 more severe droughts are projected for eastern Australia in the first half of this century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb global
warming emissions, most regions of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture at
almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to change rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22
3 / Models also totally fail reproducing the sharp [1910 — 1940]
warming, at a rate of
almost 0.16 °C per
decade, that is equivalent to the one observed from 1970 to 2000.
Your side, the side that says human emitted CO2 is the primary driver of climate change, and which (hubristically) says that natural variation can not explain all the
warming we've seen, can not explain why the
warming has apparently stopped for
almost two
decades.
If you look at alternate data sets like RSS, UAH and STAR, the world is not currently
warming and has not for
almost two
decades.
The BBC are quite biased so far as global
warming is concerned but
almost every week there is one documentary or another on gardening or archaeology in which they drop in evidence which to the common man says that we must have had periods when it
warmed as much and as quickly as recent
decades.
''... Central England temperature rose by
almost 1 °C during the twentieth century and the 1990's was the
warmest decade in central England since records began in the 1600's.
The data indicate the sea surface temperatures of the tropical oceans
warmed at a not - very - alarming rate of 0.11 deg C /
decade, while the models indicate that, if the surfaces of the tropical oceans were
warmed by manmade greenhouse gases, they should have
warmed at
almost 2 times that rate, at 0.22 deg C /
decade.
The empirical evidence of the pause has not supported the prediction of a severely
warming atmosphere for
almost two
decades now.
The linear trend (0.21 °C per
decade) is
almost identical to the global
warming signal (0.2 °C per
decade)
A surge in
warming at the end of the
decade would tend to pull the 2000 - 2009 average up, but this doesn't negate the fact that for
almost all of the last
decade, the planet did not
warm.
«Emission budgets and pathways consistent with limiting
warming to 1.5 °C -LSB-...] Human - induced
warming reached an estimated 0.93 °C (± 0.13 °C; 5 — 95 percentile range) above mid-nineteenth-century conditions in 2015 and is currently increasing at
almost 0.2 °C per
decade.»
I say «
almost» because it gets the first
decade after 1850 a bit too cool which might suggest recent
warming is slightly more than is typical, but to amount to such a small error over 100 years shows it to be minuscule.
According to their analysis, a steady
warming trend of
almost +0.2 °C /
decade over the past 30 years would remain even after having removed natural variability, and especially ENSO influence.
-- They produce a
warming trend from 1900 to 1960 whith an
almost constant rate of 0,06 °C per
decade, that is 2,5 times lower than rate observed over [1910 — 1940] period.
It likewise follows that the failure of temperatures to rise for
almost two
decades now has dampened apprehension over global
warming, and that the number of future converts will rise or fall with the thermometer.
The Global
Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) explained that in the last decade the period of monitoring almost corresponds to a hiatus in global w
Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) explained that in the last
decade the period of monitoring
almost corresponds to a hiatus in global
warmingwarming.
To cut a long story short, Rose is confusing the historically observed rate of
warming since 1950 (an annual rate of 0.12 degrees per
decade,
almost exactly as reported in 2007) with estimates of the likely future rate of
warming (generally about 0.2 degrees per
decade).
Basil Newmerzhycky: I won't bore you with the «2014 will be
warmest year of all» hype, but it is
almost certain, and with a greater likelihood of an accelerated
warming trend well into the next
decade at twice the rate of the previous one, similar to the 0.2 deg C.
Brandon Shollenberger made the slope of GISS go
almost to zero, around 0.01 C per
decade warming trend.
And because heat can be stored in places other than at the surface, a lack of surface
warming for a
decade tells you
almost nothing about the underlying long - term
warming trends... I judge that there is virtually no merit to suggestions that the «hiatus» poses a serious challenge to the standard model [of human - caused global
warming].»
But the new report says the observed
warming over the more recent 15 years to 2012 was just 0.05 C per
decade - below
almost all computer predictions.
Re: HaroldW (Nov 8 04:31), The newer Jones et al paper comments on this difference: «An urban - related
warming trend of 0.1 C /
decade is
almost an order of magnitude larger than that given by Jones et al. [1990] and Li et al. [2004b].
But after many
decades, Hansen says, «models show that daytime
warming will be
almost as great as nighttime
warming.»
After a slow start, the smoothed version of the
warming trend has stayed
almost constant since 1910 at 0.07 — 0.08 °C /
decade.
If the trajectory were extended a few
decades ahead (by which time the harm of global
warming would
almost certainly become painfully clear to everyone), much that now seemed out of the question might be negotiated belatedly into action.
18F implies
almost two degrees a
decade, a huge number considering the
warming over the last
decade has been close to zero and no
decade has had
warming of more than about 0.3 F. Further, I am sure the Sierra Club found someone who actually produced such a study, but the IPCC «consensus», which I think is exaggerated, calls for only about 4 - 6F increases in the next century.
First, tropical
warming is equally strong over both the 1959 — 2012 and 1979 — 2012 periods, increasing smoothly and
almost moist - adiabatically from the surface (where it is roughly 0.14 K /
decade) to 300 hPa (where it is about 0.25 K /
decade over both periods), a pattern very close to that in climate model predictions.
Yes, so it's been
almost continually
warming since the early 1800s — and the early 2000's are the
warmest decade?