Not exact matches
Evidence from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) shows that
global sea levels in the last two
decades are rising dramatically as surface temperatures warm oceans and...
«Ice loss from this part of West Antarctica is already making a significant contribution to
sea - level rise — around 1 mm per
decade, and is actually one of the largest uncertainties in
global sea - level rise predictions.
Melting
sea ice has accelerated warming in the Arctic, which in recent
decades has warmed twice as quickly as the
global average, according to a new study.
«When we look forward several
decades, climate models predict such profound loss of Arctic
sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on
sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center in Seattle and co-author of a study on projections of the
global polar bear population.
But Richard Feely of NOAA, a co-author on the study, says that the site serves as a «harbinger» for what
global seas will be experiencing
decades hence.
A release of methane in the Arctic could speed the melting of
sea ice and climate change with a cost to the
global economy of up to $ 60 trillion over coming
decades, according to a paper published in the journal Nature.
The two measurements, plus warming of the deep ocean, would equal the
global sea - level rise of 2.78 millimeters over the last
decade.
People who claim we can stop worrying about
global warming on the basis of a cooler year or a cooler
decade — or just on questionable predictions of cooling — are as naive as a child mistaking a falling tide, or a spring low tide, for a real long - term fall in
sea level.
These changes have been compounded by stronger waves in the North
Sea in recent
decades, and could be further exacerbated if predictions that storminess will increase with
global warming prove accurate.
A relatively small amount of melting over a few
decades, the authors say, will inexorably lead to the destabilization of the entire ice sheet and the rise of
global sea levels by as much as 3 meters.
But in mid-2010, scientists noticed a curious trend: For the first time in two
decades,
global average
sea level began dropping.
A new review analyzing three
decades of research on the historic effects of melting polar ice sheets found that
global sea levels have risen at least six meters, or about 20 feet, above present levels on multiple occasions over the past three million years.
In addition, his own fieldwork, published last year, indicates that increased evaporation of the Indian Ocean caused by
global warming has actually caused the
sea level there to fall 30 centimeters in the past few
decades.
The Greenland ice sheet (GIS) has been melting so slowly and so negligibly in recent
decades that the entire ice sheet's total contribution to
global sea level rise was a mere 0.39 of a centimeter (0.17 to 0.61 cm) between 1993 and 2010 (Leeson et al, 2017).
This implies that large - scale observations — for example, of
global mean
sea - level change or of the change mass of the Antarctic ice sheet — will not on their own significantly narrow the range of late - century
sea - level projections for
decades to come.
«
Global sea levels rose about 2 mm per year over the last century, but this rate increased to 3.4 mm / yr over the last
decade.
Once melt passed 1 mm per year, rapid collapse (within
decades) occurred as the grounding line reached the deepest parts of the marine basin (for reference, total
global sea level rise today is ~ 3 mm per year, so this is a significant contribution!).
However, the share of thermal expansion in
global sea level rise has declined in recent
decades as the shrinking of land ice has accelerated (Lombard et al 2005).
Human - caused climate change has been contributing to
global sea level rise for
decades.
In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with
global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer
sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent
decades.
Kerry Emanuel, who's been studying Atlantic Ocean hurricanes in the context of climate change for
decades, spoke on the Warm Regards podcast about the mix of subsidized seaside development and rising
sea levels driven by
global warming.
Yet we know well that our current flooding predictions will be entirely obsolete in less than two
decades, as thousands of miles of coastlines are slowly claimed by rising
seas, due both to coastal subsidence and
global warming.
The most exciting thing is we'll get a chance to see the relative strength of all of these over the next few years, and it will most interesting to compare the total
decade of 2010 - 2019 to previous
decades in terms of the trends in Arctic
Sea ice,
Global Temps, and of course, OHC.
The higher
sea surface temperatures in the tropics (~ 0.85 K /
decade in recent
decades) have lead to an increase in LW (infrared) radiation, and a loss to space of some 3 W / m2 all over the tropics (50 % of the surface), which more than halves the — theoretical —
global influence (~ 2.4 W / m2) of all extra GHGs together since the start of the industrial revolution.
Updated, 3:10 p.m. Using climate models and observations, a fascinating study in this week's issue of Nature Climate Change points to a marked recent warming of the Atlantic Ocean as a powerful shaper of a host of notable changes in climate and ocean patterns in the last couple of
decades — including Pacific wind,
sea level and ocean patterns, the
decade - plus hiatus in
global warming and even California's deepening drought.
Variability in the prevailing winds (which can extend over
decades, England et al. 2014) will therefore lead to variability in the water level along the coasts — but of course we know that the wind can not change
global sea level at all as it merely redistributes the water.
--
Sea level continued to rise: Global mean sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two decad
Sea level continued to rise:
Global mean
sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two decad
sea level continued to rise during 2013, on pace with a trend of 3.2 ± 0.4 mm per year over the past two
decades.
This section focuses on
global and regional
sea level variations, over time spans ranging from the last
decade to the past century; a brief discussion of
sea level change in previous centuries is given in Section 5.5.2.4.
Study from
decades ago proved remarkably accurate in showing how
global warming would affect the Arctic's
sea ice, currently in steep decline.
Global sea levels are currently rising at a rate of nearly 1.3 inches per
decade.
That, and the effects of
decades of
sea level rise due to
global warming.
With
global GHG emissions and concentrations continuing to increase; with climate change intensifying changes in ecosystems, ice sheet deterioration, and
sea level rise; and with fossil fuels providing more than 80 % of the world's energy, the likelihood seems low that cooperative actions will prevent increasingly disruptive climate change over the next several
decades.
The quote from the article: «Their models suggest that this would cause the glacier to uncontrollably retreat about 25 miles (40 kilometers) over the next several
decades, potentially raising
global sea levels by more than 0.4 inches (1 centimeter).»
As for
global warming advocates, we have been warned for
decades that the arctic would be ice free and
sea levels up astronomically and no snow by now et al..
Currently, we are in a period of
global cooling and «Arctic
sea ice extent... for April 2010 was the largest for that month in the past
decade.»
At this stage, you are probably thinking ``... but, it's not just the weather record analysis — there's loads of other evidence for
global warming — the Arctic
sea ice is melting, the oceans are heating up,
sea levels are rising, etc.» You're right — there is plenty of evidence that there has been some
global warming in recent
decades.
At the risk of oversimplifying, the effects of groundwater storage can be differentiated between shallow - aquifer effects that modulate
global sea level on year to year and
decade to
decade timeframes, versus deep aquifer effects that modulate
sea level trends over centuries and millennia.
If both Greenland and West Antarctica shed the entirety of their ice burden,
global sea levels would rise by 12 to 14 m. Although these icecaps would not disintegrate within a century, the loss of even a third of their mass — quite plausible if the rate of polar ice loss continues to double each
decade — would force up the oceans by at least 4 m, with disastrous socioeconomic and environmental consequences.
We might expect «
global warming» (i.e., an increase in average surface air temperatures over a few
decades) to lead to a rise in
global mean
sea levels.
Doesn't he claim
global sea level fell over the past few
decades?
Just last week, preliminary research at the Leibniz Institute of Marine Sciences in Kiel, Germany, suggested that natural variations in
sea temperatures will cancel out the
decade's 0.3 C
global average rise predicted by the IPCC, before emissions start to warm the Earth again after 2015.
As most of you are aware, Arctic
sea ice has shrunk dramatically over the last several
decades, because of man - made
global warming.
Global set of local
sea - level projections to inform decisions on timescales ranging from the coming
decades through the 22nd century with complete probability distributions, informed by a combination of expert community assessment, expert elicitation, and process modeling.
But his trip was a few
decades ago when the average
sea ice depth was 3.1 meters; now it is down to 1.7 meters and models suggest that it will continue thinning and retreating with our
global warming.
A new study by NASA has indicated that climate change has accelerated the
global sea level rise in the past few
decades.
Under the IPCC Business As Usual emissions scenario, an average rate of
global mean
sea level rise of about 6 cm per
decade over the next century (with an uncertainty range of 3 — 10 cm per
decade).
However, it has been hypothesized that warmer
global sea surface temperatures can enhance the El Niño phenomenon, and it is also true that El Niños have been more frequent and intense in recent
decades.
3) In my comment https://judithcurry.com/2011/08/04/carbon-cycle-questions/#comment-198992 I have explained that during recent three
decades the increase of CO2 content in atmosphere is controlled by the rising temperature of
global sea surface.
The acceleration of the
sea level rise is 0.019 mm per year ^ 2 and that of the
global warming acceleration is 0.00072 deg C per
decade per year.
The current long term
sea level rise rate is 2.7 mm per year and the
global warming rate is about 0.1 deg C per
decade, not IPCC's 0.2 deg C per
decade.