Chart: The sustainable development scenario relative to other recent
decarbonisation scenarios
Not exact matches
In its
scenario, 20 % of the
decarbonisation options identified are economically viable without consideration of welfare benefits, while the remaining 80 % are economically viable if benefits, such as reduced climate impacts, improved public health, and improved comfort and performance, are considered.
The BLUE Map
scenario is very challenging for the transport sector and requires significant
decarbonisation of transport, which is likely to be costly in a sector dominated by oil products and the internal combustion engine.
Costs and reduced externalities of
decarbonisation in 2050, according to IRENA
scenario.
«Regardless of the rapid
decarbonisation» in the
scenario, Ecofys researchers write, «the 1.5 °C carbon budget is most likely still exceeded.»
While many challenges remain, it is difficult not to be optimistic about the potential for change that has been opened by
decarbonisation, decentralisation and digitalisation in an overall context of electrification of final demand as outlined in the latest energy
scenarios published by the Council.
The paper applies a Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE)[1] sensitivity analysis across three
scenarios: the 2016 reference case
scenario, an updated 2016
scenario and a 2020 2 ˚C pathway setting, where investment decisions take into account
decarbonisation trends.
• Energy and Climate Change, Marco Baroni, Senior Energy Analyst, IEA • Coming challenges for Europe in meeting
decarbonisation objectives, Geoff Blanford, Program Manager, EPRI and Ifo Institute • Resource adequacy forecasts to 2030 under different
scenarios, Jean Verseille, Board member, ENTSO - E • Power plant retirements and mothballing, Tomas Björnsson, Head of Business Strategy, Vattenfall
These
scenarios do not reflect the huge potential for reducing fossil fuel demand in accordance with
decarbonisation pathways.
Emissions
scenarios compatible with 1.5 C could also require very high maximum rates of
decarbonisation, comparable only with those seen for past emissions during short periods of recession or war.