Largely owing to the secular
decline in interest rates over the last generation, Canadians have developed a cavalier attitude toward debt that leaves many highly vulnerable to misfortune.
The secular
decline in interest rates over the past generation correlates strongly with rising land values.
Not exact matches
Economy: Long term
interest rates in both the US and Australia have
declined sharply
over the past week as the economic outlook
in both Australia and US point to a slowdown
in economic activity.
Unlike traditional bond funds, a DMF's price sensitivity to changes
in interest rates declines gradually
over time, approaching zero near the fund's target end - date.
Foremost is the significant
decline in the natural
rate of
interest, or r * (r - star),
over the past quarter - century to historically low levels.
What we have really seen
over the past several years,
in terms of the appreciation of markets and the
decline of
interest rates based on what the Fed has been doing, is a result which has eliminated the possibility of investors
in bonds and stocks to earn an adequate return relative to their expected liabilities.
Unlike traditional bond funds, a DMF's price sensitivity to changes
in interest rates declines gradually
over time, approaching zero near its target end date.
Over the last twenty years, investors have witnessed a steady
decline in the
interest rate on investment grade bonds, GICs and term deposits.
In the most recent period, following the tightening of monetary policy in May, market interest rates declined for a time as participants assessed that the cumulative tightening over the previous six months might have been sufficient to reduce the risks on inflatio
In the most recent period, following the tightening of monetary policy
in May, market interest rates declined for a time as participants assessed that the cumulative tightening over the previous six months might have been sufficient to reduce the risks on inflatio
in May, market
interest rates declined for a time as participants assessed that the cumulative tightening
over the previous six months might have been sufficient to reduce the risks on inflation.
All
in all, the Fed continues to expect inflation to rise gradually toward 2 %
over the medium term as the labor market improves further and the transitory effects of energy price
declines and other factors dissipate, but the pace for hikes
in interest rates could well be moderate, as the Fed has been indicating.
Over the first six weeks of the year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
declined 10 %, as the prospect of
interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, a slump
in oil prices, and concerns about economic conditions
in Europe and China caused the long - running bull market to stumble.
The most recent and thorough of these, by Lukasz Rachel and Thomas Smith at the Bank of England, concluded that for the industrial world, neutral real
interest rates have
declined by about 4.5 percentage points
over the last 30 years and are likely to stay low
in the future.
In my view, investors who view current valuations as «justified relative to
interest rates» are really saying that a decade of zero total returns on stocks is perfectly adequate compensation for the risk of a 45 - 55 % market loss
over the completion of the current market cycle - a
decline that would historically be merely run - of - the - mill given current valuations, and that certainly can not be precluded by appealing to low
interest rates.
Consequently, unlike traditional bond funds, a DMF's price sensitivity to changes
in interest rates declines gradually
over time, approaching zero near its target end date.
The higher level of liabilities that must be serviced would normally have significantly increased the NID
over this period, but this effect was substantially offset by trend
declines in global
interest rates over the past two decades.
The
decline in world
interest rates over the past few years has seen the servicing burden of foreign debt fall to around the levels of the early 1980s.
Profits after
interest have tended to
decline over the past couple of years, reflecting the impact of the 1994
interest rate increases and a tendency for corporate leverage to increase, but they remain at high levels compared with historical averages; they can be expected to receive a further modest boost as
interest -
rate reductions
in the second half of last year begin to feed through into profit results.
The main contributors remain the same:
declining oil and commodity prices, renewed concerns
over the pace of expansion
in China, and the impact of rising
interest rates and a strong dollar on the U.S. economy.
The sudden and sharp
declines in equity markets
over the last couple of sessions is still being attributed to higher
interest rate expectations although the move appears to have been exacerbated by a combination of automated trading and panic selling.
Interest rates in the eighties tended to be much higher than over the past decade, although it's worth remembering, when Labour boasts of kickstarting interest - rate stability, that the trend of decline from double - digit rates started in 1992, four - and - a-half years before the party came t
Interest rates in the eighties tended to be much higher than
over the past decade, although it's worth remembering, when Labour boasts of kickstarting
interest - rate stability, that the trend of decline from double - digit rates started in 1992, four - and - a-half years before the party came t
interest -
rate stability, that the trend of
decline from double - digit
rates started
in 1992, four - and - a-half years before the party came to power.
Over the five years since the financial crisis bottomed, pundits have warned
interest rates must rise soon, and with it
declines in bond prices.
Dividends of mortgage REITs have
declined substantially
over the last two years as companies adjusted their dividend payouts
in light of higher
interest rate volatility and lower earnings forecasts.
Consequently, unlike traditional bond funds, a DMF's price sensitivity to changes
in interest rates declines gradually
over time, approaching zero near its target end date.
ARMs carry risks
in periods of rising
interest rates, but can be cheaper
over a longer term if
interest rates decline.
Home values continued to
decline until last year
in many parts of the state and country, and
interest rates have also moved lower
over the past 3 1/2 years creating the possibility for more homeowners to benefit.
It should also be noted that stocks benefitted from the same
decline in interest rates that bonds did
over much of this time.
Financial economists such as World Pensions Council (WPC) researchers have argued that durably low
interest rates in most G20 countries will have an adverse impact on the funding positions of pension funds as «without returns that outstrip inflation, pension investors face the real value of their savings
declining rather than ratcheting up
over the next few years» [19]
The gradual
decline in long - term
interest rates over the last few years propelled many of the recent gains
in real estate trusts and it's difficult to see how
rates can go much lower than current levels.
In a rising interest rate environment, it is risky to have investments tied up in longer - term bonds when their value has yet to decline as a result of higher yields over tim
In a rising
interest rate environment, it is risky to have investments tied up
in longer - term bonds when their value has yet to decline as a result of higher yields over tim
in longer - term bonds when their value has yet to
decline as a result of higher yields
over time.
If you find yourself
in a financial position to pay off your student loans
in full
over the next few years and
interest rates are on the
decline, then it's possible to get a great deal on student loan refinancing by choosing a variable
interest rate and paying the entirety of your student loans before
interest rates go back up.
Unlike traditional bond funds, a DMF's price sensitivity to changes
in interest rates declines gradually
over time, approaching zero near the fund's target end - date.
(
Interesting side note, this
rate and also the absolute CO2 emission from electricity generation
in NY state has
declined substantially
over the past 30 years — mostly due to a shift from coal to natural gas.)
Insurers can pay death benefit
in installments
over a definite period of time and at a defined
rate of
interest, as approved under the «file and use» procedure on the
declining balance if such an option is provided at the inception of the policy.
Matching the rise
over time of housing prices was the almost lock - step
decline in interest rates.
After reaching the highest level
in over six years, pending home sales
declined in June, with rising mortgage
interest rates beginning to impact the market.
To be sure, cap
rates have followed a gradual long - term
decline over the past 30 years, coinciding with a long - term slide
in interest rates.
Take a cup of investor conservatism, stir
in three tablespoons of inflation fear and a teaspoon of lost tax benefits, add a pinch of higher
interest rates, then bake
over a year - and - a-half
decline in the market.
The combination of
declines in the contract
rate and initial fees took the average effective
interest rate on new home loans (which amortizes initial fees
over the estimated life of the loan) down 8 basis points to 4.39 percent (after two consecutive months above 4.40).