The current
decline in market correlations started following the US elections and was largely driven by macro (rather than stock specific) forces.»
Not exact matches
The
decline in the
market appears to have coincided with the publishing and circulation of a research note from JP Morgan strategist Marko Kolanovic, who among other things noted that the recent
decline in stock
correlations we've seen mirrors action investors saw before big sell - offs
in 1994 and 2001.
We suspected that the
decline in correlation of improvement
in economic welfare and growth
in market activity had continued, and we thought that using a widely recognized measure, developed by respected economists, would give some authority to the results.
These long - term
correlation trends will need to reverse if investors expect international developed
markets to hold up
in the face of meaningful
declines in the U.S. stock
market.
That argument is that since
correlations in the U.S. equity
market are
declining (perhaps as Read more -LSB-...]
That argument is that since
correlations in the U.S. equity
market are
declining (perhaps as a consequence of the Federal Reserve tapering its support of the Treasury
market), stock selection strategies will perform better than
in a more macro-driven investment environment.
It's not just bonds» higher yields that historically have contributed to their downside protection
in declining equity
markets but also the low
correlations bonds have maintained with equities
in these events.
The two series had a negative
correlation of 0.23 for the period studied and low or negative annual
correlation, which implies that as overproduction and - supply occur
in the
market, futures prices tend to
decline, a pattern that can be more clearly seen after September 2011.
A US recession, or steep
decline in US
markets, will almost certainly push those
correlations even higher, at least temporarily.