The head - turning
decline in sea ice in 2007, for example, was caused mainly by sunny skies and a prolonged dipole: high pressures over the Beaufort Sea, combined with lows near Siberia, pulled in considerable warmth from the Pacific side and increased ice export to the Atlantic.
Not exact matches
«As krill stock started to
decline dramatically with the lack of
sea ice in the late 1980s, so did the survival of these young,» said Trivelpiece, whose work will be published online this week by the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Now, a new modeling study finds a link between these winters and the
decline of
sea ice in a part of the Arctic Ocean known as the Barents - Kara
sea region, bordering Norway and Russia.
Sea ice - associated
decline in body condition leads to increased concentrations of lipophilic pollutants
in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from Svalbard, Norway.
The increase
in the amount of water vapor could be related to the
decline in sea ice, they say.
The Interior Department lists the polar bear as a «threatened» species — one at risk of becoming endangered — due to dangerous
declines in their
sea ice habitat
«This shift is characterized by the persistent
decline in the thickness and summer extent of
sea -
ice cover and by a warmer, l
After a decade with nine of the lowest arctic
sea -
ice minima on record, including the historically low minimum
in 2012, we synthesize recent developments
in the study of ecological responses to
sea -
ice decline.
An international «Red List» of threatened species says that the polar bear is vulnerable to extinction because of a projected
decline in its habitat linked to climate change that is melting
sea ice in the Arctic.
Climate sceptics point to increased sightings by indigenous Canadian communities, though that could be due to
declines in sea ice driving the animals ashore.
May and June this year also saw record low
sea ice levels, though the
decline eased off
in July.
«One societally relevant implication is that more storminess probably means more erosion of Arctic coastlines, especially
in tandem with
declines in buffering
sea ice cover and increases
in thawing coastal permafrost,» concluded Dr. Vavrus.
An earlier study based on maps of the Antarctic
ice produced by American weather satellites, by Joe Jacka and colleagues at the Australian Antarctic Division
in Hobart, Tasmania, showed a similar
decline in Antarctic
sea ice.
In one of them, the bear numbers
declined directly proportionally with
sea ice.
He pointed to computer models he and his colleagues studied that project a 30 percent
decline in sea ice by 2050.
«The Arctic is facing a
decline in sea ice that might equal the negative record of 2012: Data collected by the CryoSat - 2 satellite reveal large amounts of thin
ice that are unlikely to survive the summer.»
U.S. District Court Judge Claudia Wilken
in Oakland, Calif., on April 29 ordered the Bush administration to stop dragging its feet on the fate of polar bears and decide by May 15 whether
declining sea ice in the Arctic threatens their existence.
The rate of
decline in albedo
in the
sea ice zone during August was approximately 3 % per decade.
The study also determined what factors had the greatest impact on the
decline in sea ice albedo.
Documented
declines in sea ice and anticipation of massive melting that threatens the bears» habitat prompted the action.
The trends revealed by the data were clear: The average albedo
in the northern area of the Arctic Ocean, including open water and
sea ice, is
declining in all summer months (May - August).
Although researchers have been generally successful at modelling the huge
declines in Arctic
sea ice, the extent of Antarctic
sea ice has actually increased
in recent years, contrary to the predictions of models.
But «while the Arctic maximum is not as important as the seasonal minimum, the long - term
decline is a clear indicator of climate change,» Walt Meier, a
sea ice researcher at the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, said
in a statement.
«Because these plants are photosynthetic, it's not surprising to find that as the amount of
sea ice cover
declined, the amount of [photosynthesis] increased,» says biological oceanographer Kevin Arrigo of Stanford University's School of Earth Sciences, who led an effort to use the MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) devices on NASA's Terra and Aqua satellites to determine changes
in phytoplankton growth.
What's happening
in the Arctic would be impossible without a century of global warming causing a long - term
decline in sea ice levels — but it is actually a short - term weather event.
In September 2007 less
sea ice covered the Arctic than at any point since the U.S. government began keeping records of its
decline.
Amstrup adds, «It fills a gap
in our otherwise extensive knowledge of polar bear ecology and corroborates previous findings that the key to polar bear conservation is arresting the
decline of their
sea ice habitat.»
Arctic warming has caused a rapid
decline in sea ice cover during the past decade that could seriously affect everything from Arctic ecosystems to shipping and oil drilling.
Researchers also tracked
sea ice cover
in the Arctic over these two periods and found that the
ice declined substantially from the first to the second period.
Exactly how
sea -
ice decline might affect species interactions
in this and other types of food webs on land
in the Arctic is a question that deserves greater attention,» Post said.
Through satellite images, researchers have observed a steep
decline in the average extent of Arctic
sea ice for every month of the year.
A comprehensive review (pdf) by the US Fish and Wildlife Service concluded that shrinking
sea ice is the primary cause for the
decline seen
in these populations, and it recently proposed listing polar bears as threatened (pdf) under the Endangered Species Act.
Projected 21st Century
Decline Snow Cover Overlying the Arctic
Sea Ice and Implications for the
Sea Ice and Arctic Climate
in CESM / CCSM Benjamin Blazey
Something that goes along with this change
in atmospheric circulation is reduced
sea ice in the region (while
sea ice in Antarctica has been increasing on average, there have been significant
declines off the West Antarctic coast for the last 25 years, and probably longer).
«So there's a definite recent
decline in sea ice,» Jessica Blunden, a climatologist with ERT, Inc. at NCEI and the lead editor of the report, said.
Cvijanovic, I. & Caldeira, K. Atmospheric impacts of
sea ice decline in CO2 induced global warming.
I guess I am surprised that with better understanding of the importance of water vapor feedback, sulfate aerosols, black carbon aerosols, more rapid than expected
declines in sea ice and attendant decreases
in albedo, effects of the deposition of soot and dust on snow and
ice decreasing albedo, and a recognition of the importance of GHGs that were probably not considered 30 years ago, that the sensitivity has changed so little over time.
The findings suggest that while the response of Antarctic summer
sea ice to human - caused climate change may be less dramatic than
in the Arctic,
sea ice cover may have
declined by as much as 14 % over the last 100 years.
Over
in the northern hemisphere, meanwhile, Arctic
sea ice has
declined rapidly over the same period.
That is contributing to the quickness
in overall
sea ice decline.
You can see how Arctic
sea ice volume has
declined through the satellite record
in the chart below.
Overall, though, Arctic
sea ice has seen a clear
decline since satellites first began monitoring it
in 1979.
Notably, both the
decline in sea level and the
decline in temperature occurred during the so - called European «Medieval Warm Period,» providing additional evidence that the «Medieval Warm Period» and «Little
Ice Age» were not globally synchronous phenomena.
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Sea Ice Declines, Winter Shifts
in Northern Alaska Record Warmth
in Eastern U.S., Temps Tumble
in Alaska NOAA to Map Alaska's Increasingly
Ice - Free Arctic Waters Coverage of 2012 Summer Heat Waves
One study, published
in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
in January, hinted at such a mechanism when it linked
sea ice decline to apparent changes
in the Arctic Oscillation during several winters preceded by large
sea ice losses.
However, the share of thermal expansion
in global
sea level rise has
declined in recent decades as the shrinking of land
ice has accelerated (Lombard et al 2005).
Observed decreases
in arctic
sea ice extent have been shown to be inconsistent with simulated internal variability, and consistent with the simulated response to human influence, but SH
sea ice extent has not
declined.
In contrast, the scenario in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decade
In contrast, the scenario
in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then declining slowly, should allow summer sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decade
in Fig. 5A, with global warming peaking just over 1 °C and then
declining slowly, should allow summer
sea ice to survive and then gradually increase to levels representative of recent decades.
Acidity
decline in Antarctic
ice cores during the Little Ice Age linked to changes in atmospheric nitrate and sea salt concentratio
ice cores during the Little
Ice Age linked to changes in atmospheric nitrate and sea salt concentratio
Ice Age linked to changes
in atmospheric nitrate and
sea salt concentrations.
Locally,
declining sea ice is affecting the feeding and migration patterns of polar bears, whales, walrus and seals, and the people who live
in the Arctic and rely on seasonal
ice for their livelihoods.