Not exact matches
Anomalous cyclonic atmospheric circulation throughout the Arctic Basin during June has continued to precondition
sea ice, making the
ice cover vulnerable to a precipitous drop
in sea ice extent; however the persistence of the June cyclonic circulation (and cloudiness associated with the surface lows) has induced divergence
within the
sea ice cover, and has delayed the onset of the rapid
sea ice extent
decline typically observed
in June.
As
sea ice declines, it becomes thinner, with less
ice build - up over multiple years, and therefore more vulnerable to further melting.15 Models that best match historical trends project northern waters that are virtually
ice - free by late summer by the 2030s.25, 26,12
Within the general downward trend
in sea ice, there will be time periods with both rapid
ice loss and temporary recovery, 27 making it challenging to predict short - term changes
in ice conditions.
They also fail to mention that despite the long - term
decline in solar forcing — and the short - term
decline of the last 50 years — Arctic
sea ice extent is plummeting and will reach conditions similar to HCO summer minima
within decades (again, without help from the sun; indeed, with the sun trying to cool).
Within this uncertainty range, this reconstruction suggests that the pronounced
decline in summer Arctic
sea ice cover that began
in the late twentieth century is unprecedented
in both magnitude and duration when compared with the range of variability of the previous roughly 1,450 years.