Conversely I note that if CO2 directly causes warming as you appear to be claiming, the fact that ice cores show that temperatures increased about 800 years before a CO2 increase (and a latter
decline in temperatures before CO2 levels declined) casts doubt upon CO2 as a driver.
Not exact matches
Incidentally, as I see it, your reconstruction of Manns data showing the 15th century to be warmer than now is even more damming than Manns original construct, as it indicates a gradual
decline in global
temperatures until 1850,
before human influence reversed that trend.
But the evidence shows this can't be true;
temperature changes
before CO2
in every record of any duration for any time period; CO2 variability does not correlate with
temperature at any point
in the last 600 million years; atmospheric CO2 levels are currently at the lowest level
in that period;
in the 20th century most warming occurred
before 1940 when human production of CO2 was very small; human production of CO2 increased the most after 1940 but global
temperatures declined to 1985; from 2000 global
temperatures declined while CO2 levels increased; and any reduction
in CO2 threatens plant life, oxygen production, and therefore all life on the planet.
-- Muller believes humans are changing climate with CO2 emissions — humans have been responsible for «most» of a 0.4 C warming since 1957, almost none of the warming
before then — IPCC is
in trouble due to sloppy science, exaggerated predictions; chairman will have to resign — the «Climategate» mails were not «hacked» — they were «leaked» by an insider — due to «hide the
decline» deception, Muller will not read any future papers by Michael Mann — there has been no increase
in hurricanes or tornadoes due to global warming — automobiles are insignificant
in overall picture — China is the major CO2 producer, considerably more than USA today — # 1 priority for China is growth of economy — global warming is not considered important — China CO2 efficiency (GDP per ton CO2) is around one - fourth of USA today, has much room for improvement — China growth will make per capita CO2 emissions at same level as USA today by year 2040 — if it is «not profitable» it is «not sustainable» — US energy future depends on shale gas for automobiles; hydrogen will not be a factor — nor will electric cars, due to high cost — Muller is upbeat on nuclear (this was recorded pre-Fukushima)-- there has been no warming
in the USA — Muller was not convinced of Hansen's GISS
temperature record; hopes BEST will provide a better record.
However, the
temperature profile for a cold day actually has
temperature increasing from 0 to 1 km, then levelling off up to 4 km,
before beginning a
decline as
in the standard atmosphere.
As for the period, the paper chose a local max
in 1940 just
before a
decline in temperature that wasn't representative of the rise after 1959 and they figure that
decline in to their
temperature change.