A good friend of mine who works at a public pension did an internal study of all major State pension plans and determined that a 10 % or more
decline in the stock market for an extended period of time would blow up every single public pension in the country.
Following a
grinding decline in stock market values beginning in late 2007 and culminating in the free fall collapse of equity values near the end of 2008 and beginning of 2009, the stock markets bottomed out in March of 2009.
But as shrinking third - quarter results poured in from many Wall Street banks in mid-October, the prospect of added layoffs seemed as inevitable as huge
daily declines in the stock market.
So far, it did produce another 50 %
decline in the stock market in 2008 and early 2009 as a credit crisis in 2007 caused the worst recession since the Great Depression.
A colleague of mine who works at a pension fund did a study last year in which he concluded that, because of the extreme degree of public pension underfunding, a 10 %
decline in the stock market for a sustained period — i.e. more than 3 or 4 months — would cause every single public pension fund to blow up.
Incidentally, the catalyst that put a halt to
the decline in the stock market in January 2016 occurred on January 29 at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
The chart above, from Deutsche Bank strategist Keith Parker, shows the extent to which fund positioning has helped fuel the recent
decline in the stock market.
A last question concerned Brown's comment early in the presentation that President Donald Trump had tweeted that the FBI was somehow responsible for
the decline in the stock market.
«The risk is that if that process gets started again and we only traverse back to the average level of expensiveness never mind cheap... that would mean
a decline in the stock market of 50 %.
But also this week, we noted that market history tells us there will, in time, be
a decline in the stock market.
Those rising payouts and
declines in the stock market - which hurt the pension funds» value - have led to a bigger drain on the state's already shaky budget.
Pension costs for the state and municipalities are soaring, a result of enhanced retirement benefits for public employees and
the decline in the stock market over the past two years.
The risk to investors is if there is
a decline in the stock market and the value of their pledged securities decline.
Even after
this decline in the stock market, over the past 12 months the market is up 17 % with dividends reinvested, which is well above the long - term average.
October 1987 saw a single - day 22.6 %
decline in the stock market.
Since we have been covering stock market history extensively this letter, it should be noted that based solely on historical averages (this is not a prediction), we are well overdue for
a decline in the stock market of 20 % or greater.
This often leads to
a decline in stock market investment, causing a decline in overall stock market value.
Rethinking Your Retirement Plans
The decline in the stock market eroded the value of many retirement accounts.
Incidentally, the catalyst that put a halt to
the decline in the stock market in January 2016 occurred on January 29 at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Does an increase in interest rates signal
a decline in the stock markets and in the price of stocks?
The question is does this increase in interest rates signal
a decline in the stock markets and in the price of stocks?
The decline in the stock market has resulted in diminished retirement funds, so there is a decrease in personal savings rate coupled with record - high debt.
Borrowing money from the insurance company in the form of a policy loan allows for the policy owner to take advantage of buying opportunities, such as
declines in the stock market or real estate market.
The decline in the stock market came in a month in which Bitcoin declined by over 35 percent to bring the first quarter loss of the cryptocurrency to 47 percent.