Methane is a transient gas in the atmosphere, so it ought to plateau if the emission flux is steady, but the shape of the concentration curve suggested some sudden
decrease in the emission rate, stemming from the collapse of economic activity in the former Soviet bloc, or by drying of wetlands, or any of several other proposed and unresolved explanations.
Not exact matches
Even if clouds were
decreasing there would be the clear sky super greenhouse effect where the
rate at which downwelling thermal radiation grows relative to increasing temperatures is actually higher
in the tropics than the
rate at which surface thermal radiation
emissions increase.
First, the original
emission rates of SO2 and H2SO4 (3 % of total anthropogenic SO2 emitted)
in the model (including
emissions, boundary conditions, and initial conditions) were
decreased by a factor of 4 compared with the 2005 base case to be consistent with the
decrease in measured ambient SO2 concentrations since 2005 (SI Appendix, section 1 and Fig.
The choice is between leaving CO2
emissions to the markets with every expectation of large and rapid
decreases in CO2
emissions or pursuing a government regulatory and subsidy approach that is unlikely to achieve anything except a bitter political and legal fight, rapidly increasing electricity
rates, and rapidly declining electricity reliability.
And even with strong international climate policies, more rapid decarbonization (the
rate of
decrease in emissions per unit of GDP) will require higher costs and major policy change.
Overall, the average annual SF6
emission rate for the Partnership has
decreased approximately 87 percent from the 1999 baseline
emission rate of 14.2 percent to 1.9 percent
in 2013.
(5) explains the cause of the slowdown
in global warming after around 2000 — cooling from increased Eastern SO2
emissions offset the warming caused by Western Clean Air efforts, resulting
in a net slowdown
in the
rate of
decreasing global SO2
emissions.
Danny, I meant a
decrease in the
emissions growth
rate.
One may, however, question the studies that indicate very rapidly increasing and
decreasing N2O
emissions, given the main sources of N2O (these are mostly agricultural and will grow at a modest
rate,
in the future, but to some degree are also difficult to abate).
But
in his book, Dr. Lomborg cites figures from the United States Census Bureau, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank and the European Environment Agency to show that the
rate of world population growth has actually been dropping sharply since 1964; the level of international debt
decreased slightly from 1984 to 1999; the price of oil, adjusted for inflation, is half what it was
in the early 1980's; and the sulfur
emissions that generate acid rain (which has turned out to do little if any damage to forests, though some to lakes) have been cut substantially since 1984.
The observations of figure 17 - F dispel the myth that all the increase of the CO2 of the air is from anthropic origin; the anthropic
emissions remaining
in the air for a 5 years life time have surged since 2003 while the overall the CO2 growth
rate has been slowly
decreasing!
The US, which has had much more limited subsidies for wind and solar, has not experienced rapidly rising
rates as yet (except
in ultra-green California) and has
decreased CO2
emissions significantly.
The projection from China is taken from Scenario 2 (a linear
decrease in growth
rate with
emissions leveling off
in 2030).
It means if CO ₂
emissions were
decreased right now to a level that matches natural removal
rate, that is, if atmospheric CO ₂ concentration flatlined from now on,
in 70 years we could avoid a warming
in the range of 0.35 °C to 0.88 °C.
The effect of this increase on the growth
rate of atmospheric methane has been masked by a coincident
decrease in wetland
emissions, but atmospheric methane levels may increase
in the near future if wetland
emissions return to their mean 1990s levels.
According to analysis from Project Catalyst hitting this goal requires a 17 gigaton
decrease in annual greenhouse gas
emissions to 44 gigatons per year from the projected increase of global
emissions of 61 gigatons by 2020 if we continue polluting at current
rates (Figure 1).