Sentences with phrase «decreasing emissions scenario»

Below we find the decreasing emissions scenario that would achieve the 350 ppm target within the present century.
Below we find the decreasing emissions scenario that would achieve the 350 ppm target within the present century.

Not exact matches

Under a scenario where emissions increase through 2050 and gradually decrease afterward, the assessment predicts that the median area burned each year in the Northwest could quadruple, reaching 2 million acres annually by the 2080s.
Under one scenario, the researchers projected that global food production could fall by 15 percent, but when they accounted for large emissions decreases, that figure shrank to a 9 percent drop in food production.
Scenario B assumed reductions in CO2 emissions, and C assumed a major decrease in emissions starting in 2000.
This team, led by Jose Marengo of the Brazilian National Institute for Space Research (INPE), assesses the local impacts of the global SRES A1B emissions scenario, an old IPCC scenario for (A1) a world with rapid economic growth, decreasing population after 2050 and rapid implementation of efficient technologies with (B) a «balanced mix of energy sources».
• For a ~ 20 % real cost increase, the renewables option gives 62 % decrease c.f. nuclear 91 % decrease in emissions (compare scenarios 2 and 5).
2: Our Changing Climate, Key Message 5).2 Regional climate models (RCMs) using the same emissions scenario also project increased spring precipitation (9 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) and decreased summer precipitation (by an average of about 8 % in 2041 - 2062 relative to 1979 - 2000) particularly in the southern portions of the Midwest.12 Increases in the frequency and intensity of extreme precipitation are projected across the entire region in both GCM and RCM simulations (Figure 18.6), and these increases are generally larger than the projected changes in average precipitation.12, 2
• For the same real cost increase to 2050 (i.e. 15 %), BAU gives a 21 % increase in emissions c.f. the nuclear option a 77 % decrease in emissions (compare scenarios 1 and 3)
They offset emissions from the A2 scenario with a gradually decreasing solar constant.
These range from decreases of 10 - 15 % over much of the industrialized Northern Hemisphere for the mid-range scenario to CO increases worldwide under the high - emission projection, with the largest changes over central Africa (20 - 30 %), southern Brazil (25 - 40 %) and South and East Asia (20 - 50 %).
Under the A1fi emissions scenario the number of sapflow days decreases by up to 14 days.
All of the IPCC emission scenarios for the next century that were published in 2000 assume that the carbon intensity of energy and the energy intensity of gross domestic product (GDP) will decrease continuously.
As mentioned earlier (see Section 5.5.2), at some point in time sulfur emissions will be controlled in all the scenarios and, together with shifts to essentially sulfur - free energy resources, they will decrease in the developing regions as they are decreasing now in the industrialized world.
But without these decreases, emissions up to 2100 could be several times greater than the scenarios currently predict.
The MIT analysis in the generic 80 % GHG emissions reductions below 1990 levels below 2050 (the scenario with the largest GHG emissions decrease) found that by 2030, GDP would increase by just 0.44 % less as compared to BAU.
«For the high emissions scenario, it is likely that the frequency of hot days will increase by a factor of 10 in most regions of the world», said Thomas Stocker the other Co-chair of Working Group I. «Likewise, heavy precipitation will occur more often, and the wind speed of tropical cyclones will increase while their number will likely remain constant or decrease».
Moreover, using the average emission scenario (IS92a) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we predict that the calcification rate of scleractinian - dominated communities may decrease by 21 % between the pre-industrial period (year 1880) and the time at which pCO2 will double (year 2065).
When the cooling really gets going and the atmospheric CO2 growth decreases, are you gonna claim that it's scenario C then, in spite of rapidly growing emissions?
The best scenario from here on out is that 2014 was the year — in all of human history — that humans emitted the most greenhouse gases and that annual emissions will now start to decline, with the sharpest decreases from China, the United States, and Europe.
Absolute emissions are always reduced if the emissions scenario used has a decreasing trend.
The projection from China is taken from Scenario 2 (a linear decrease in growth rate with emissions leveling off in 2030).
But with my scenario D, 60 % gas and 40 % renewables, involving no nuclear at all, electricity bills increase only 14 % while emissions decrease by 54 %.
«To avoid the worst outcomes, we need to immediately adopt an emission reduction scenario in which emissions peak within the next two decades and then decrease very significantly, replacing fossil fuels with cleaner energy sources like solar and wind.»
The change in the number of people under high water stress after the 2050s greatly depends on emissions scenario: substantial increase is projected for the A2 scenario; the speed of increase will be slower for the A1 and B1 emissions scenarios because of the global increase of renewable freshwater resources and the slight decrease in population (Oki and Kanae, 2006).
a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z