Sentences with phrase «deep ocean temperature changes for»

In fact, Bova et al. (2016) conclude that deep ocean temperature changes for the last 200 years are apparently so negligible they are «below the detection limits».
Thus, we take 4.5 °C as our best estimate for LGM cooling, implying an amplification of surface temperature change by a factor of two relative to deep ocean temperature change for this climate interval.

Not exact matches

For as much as atmospheric temperatures are rising, the amount of energy being absorbed by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep oceans and the change in the global heat content (Figure 4).
I am also interested in how long is required for the surface temp to «achieve» 95 % of the ECS change: e.g. if climate sensitivity is 2K, how much time is required for the surface temp to increase by 1.9 K; and then how much longer for the deep oceans to increase by 1.9 K (or whatever 95 % of the projected increase in deep ocean temperature works out to.)
Gavin Schmidt says: «The deep ocean is really massive and even for the large changes in OHC we are discussing the impact on the deep temperature is small (I would guess less than 0.1 deg C or so).
For as much as atmospheric temperatures are rising, the amount of energy being absorbed by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep oceans and the change in the global heat content (Figure 4).
The surface temperature response, T, to a given change in atmospheric CO2 is calculated from an energy balance equation for the surface, with heat removed either by a radiative damping term or by diffusion into the deep ocean.
For seasonal temperature changes, that gives about 5 ppmv / °C, mainly from NH extra-tropical vegetation For year to year variability (1 - 3 years), that gives 4 - 5 ppmv / °C, mainly from tropical vegetation For very long term changes (MWP - LIA, glacial - interglacial changes), that gives ~ 8 ppmv / °C, mainly from the deep oceans.
If there is deep - water formation in the final steady state as in the present day, the ocean will eventually warm up fairly uniformly by the amount of the global average surface temperature change (Stouffer and Manabe, 2003), which would result in about 0.5 m of thermal expansion per degree celsius of warming, calculated from observed climatology; the EMICs in Figure 10.34 indicate 0.2 to 0.6 m °C — 1 for their final steady state (year 3000) relative to 2000.
HS12 assume that deep ocean temperature change was similar to global mean surface temperature change for Cenozoic climates warmer than today, but this relationship does not hold true for colder climates.
Fortunately, sufficient information is available on surface temperature change in the Pliocene and Pleistocene to allow us to scale the deep ocean temperature change by appropriate factors, thus retaining the temporal variations in the δ18O while also having a realistic magnitude for the total temperature change over these epochs.
The total deep ocean temperature change of 6 °C for the change of δ18O from 1.75 to 4.75 is then divided two - thirds (4 °C) for the δ18O range 1.75 — 3.25 and 2 °C for the δ18O range 3.25 — 4.75.
The 800 years is for the reaction of the deep oceans on glacial - interglacial transitions, but the reverse reaction needs several thousands of years, while small changes (< 1 K) like the MWP - LIA transition have only a lag of ~ 50 years and some 6 ppmv CO2 drop after the temperature drop:
In the letter, Clement also expressed deep concern for other victims of climate change impacts, such as the recent set of devastating hurricanes, more frequent and severe flooding, marine life die - offs as a result of warmer ocean temperatures, forests at risk from invasive insects, and so on.
The internally imposed structural changes to the climate system include the injection of the non-condensing greenhouse gases (CO2, CH4, N2O, CFCs, etc), volcanic and anthropogenic aerosols, and episodic contact to the deep ocean cold temperature reservoir (this is responsible for the «natural», «internally forced», or «unforced» variability of the climate system).
I am also interested in how long is required for the surface temp to «achieve» 95 % of the ECS change: e.g. if climate sensitivity is 2K, how much time is required for the surface temp to increase by 1.9 K; and then how much longer for the deep oceans to increase by 1.9 K (or whatever 95 % of the projected increase in deep ocean temperature works out to.)
Obviously the deep ocean > 700 meters is the most difficult place to sample temperature changes (and to drill for oil).
More succinctly, if deep ocean temperatures can naturally rise by 1 °C in 100 years without any change in CO2, then attributing changes in ocean temperature that are already «below the detection limit» for the last 200 years (or just ~ 0.1 °C since 1955) to anthropogenic CO2 forcing is highly presumptuous at best.
The temperature record is less complete for the deep ocean, and its massive volume and separation from the surface subdues its response to climatic changes.
The long term changes may involve the deeper ocean temperatures and / or flows, which gives larger changes of CO2 for a similar temperature change.
This is a quite rapid process (for the upper oceans), but much slower for deep ocean temperature changes, which results in the above differences in ratios for short term and long term temperature variations...
Even in the ARGO era (2003 --RRB-, the error bars and uncertainty ranges for our educated guesses (that's what they are) about deep ocean heat are 10 times greater (and more) than the suggested temperature changes (hundredths of a degree) themselves.
That indeed are very long - term averages and probably involve the deep oceans, which is not the case for current (2 - 4 ppmv / °C) temperature changes.
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