Sentences with phrase «deep uncertainty changes»

In the next slide you answer «Not at all, but deep uncertainty changes the environment for making robust decisions, relative to optimal decision making».

Not at all, but deep uncertainty changes the environment for making robust decisions, relative to optimal decision making.

Not exact matches

«In an interview with the Observer, Ed Davey describes a «Tea Party tendency» among Conservative MPs who question climate change and green investment as «perverse», and says it is creating deep uncertainty for an industry that could do much to help lift the country out of the economic doldrums.»

Their discussions have been driven largely by the release of a World Bank working paper, «Investment decision making under deep uncertainty — application to climate change.»

My goal in creating the image (a larger version is here) was to distinguish elements in the science pointing to greenhouse - driven climate change that are clearcut from those surrounded by deep and enduring uncertainty.

While persistent and deep uncertainty surrounds the most important potential impacts from and responses to greenhouse - driven global warming (see David Roberts, Michael Levi and this list of reviewed research for more), the long - term picture of a profoundly changed Earth is clear.

Your piece makes the important point that, on vital questions, there's enduring deep uncertainty behind the «97 Percent of Climate Scientists Agree» headlines and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report summary language.

c) The uncertainties in the ocean heat uptake may be underestimated by Levitus, and there are additional uncertainties regarding the role of deep ocean heat uptake (Meehl et al. 2011 Nature Climate Change).

See the World Bank paper on «Investment Decision Making under Deep Uncertainty — Application to Climate Change.»

Instead, they discuss new ways of playing around with the aerosol judge factor needed to explain why 20th - century warming is about half of the warming expected for increased in GHGs; and then expand their list of fudge factors to include smaller volcanos, stratospheric water vapor (published with no estimate of uncertainty for the predicted change in Ts), transfer of heat to the deeper ocean (where changes in heat content are hard to accurately measure), etc..

Good judgment requires recognizing that climate change is characterized by conditions of deep uncertainty.

Deep moist atmospheric convection controls the development of major weather systems like hurricanes, drives the global transport of energy within the climate system and strongly influences the uncertainty of projected climate change.

by Judith Curry The impact of climate change looms large as a deep uncertainty with global consequences.

And this:» Good judgment requires recognizing that climate change is characterized by conditions of deep uncertainty.»

Assuming that climate change and other deep uncertainties can not be eliminated over the short term (and probably even over the longer term), it then summarizes existing decision - making methodologies that are able to deal with climate - related uncertainty, namely cost - benefit analysis under uncertainty, cost - benefit analysis with real options, robust decision making, and climate informed decision analysis.

While persistent and deep uncertainty surrounds the most important potential impacts from and responses to greenhouse - driven global warming, the long - term picture of a profoundly changed Earth is clear.

The original question: While persistent and deep uncertainty surrounds the most important potential impacts from and responses to greenhouse - driven global warming, the long - term picture of a profoundly changed Earth is clear.

The World Bank has a new white paper entitled: Investment decision making under deep uncertainty — application to climate change.

Robert Lempert characterizes the decision making environment surrounding climate change as one of deep uncertainty, owing to long time horizons, substantial uncertainty in our understanding of the climate system, and the potential for surprises.

Optimal decision making strategies are arguably a mismatch for the climate change problem owing to the deep uncertainty surrounding climate sensitivity, among other sources of uncertainty.

Does the deep uncertainty characterization mean that we should not act on the threat of climate change?

In your interesting presentation you ask «Does the deep uncertainty characterization mean that we should not act on the threat of climate change» (slide 5).

Rather, it both offers a tool for exploring the sea level implications of polar ice sheets» complex physical responses to global warming and highlights the deep uncertainty that characterizes sea level change in a high - emissions future.

However, the uncertainty in the reconstructed sea level is tens of metres and the uncertainty in the Mg / Ca temperature is sufficient to encompass the result from our δ18O prescription, which has comparable contributions of ice volume change and deep ocean temperature change at the Late Eocene glaciation of Antarctica.

Even just acknowledging more openly the incredible magnitude of the deep structural uncertainties that are involved in climate - change analysis — and explaining better to policymakers that the artificial crispness conveyed by conventional IAM - based CBAs [Integrated Assessment Model — Cost Benefit Analyses] here is especially and unusually misleading compared with more ordinary non-climate-change CBA situations — might go a long way toward elevating the level of public discourse concerning what to do about global warming.

Even in the ARGO era (2003 --RRB-, the error bars and uncertainty ranges for our educated guesses (that's what they are) about deep ocean heat are 10 times greater (and more) than the suggested temperature changes (hundredths of a degree) themselves.

Combining her deep intuitive abilities with her Harvard - trained brain, Carolyn specializes in helping individuals navigate change and uncertainty by tapping into their own inner brilliance and emotional resilience.