Results of climate policy analysis under
deep uncertainty with imprecise probabilities (Kriegler, 2005; Kriegler et al. 2006) are consistent with the previous findings using classical models.
by Judith Curry The impact of climate change looms large as
a deep uncertainty with global consequences.
Not exact matches
But the fix is provisional; insurers have been exiting the Affordable Care Act marketplaces over
deep uncertainty about the health law's future, and insurance commissioners in some states have had to plea
with firms to remain committed to the exchanges.
With an abortion, the pain of
deep regret and
uncertainty can continue for a lifetime.
But standing up to Ukip also means engaging
with people's
deepest and most visceral fears in an era of economic
uncertainty when racism is on the rise.
«In an interview
with the Observer, Ed Davey describes a «Tea Party tendency» among Conservative MPs who question climate change and green investment as «perverse», and says it is creating
deep uncertainty for an industry that could do much to help lift the country out of the economic doldrums.»
Crossing from Warren to Washington counties, the road between Glens Falls to Fort Edward is a reflection of the district's
uncertainty: slightly dreary, rough around the edges and spotted
with decay and strip mall pockmarks, but also containing
deep pockets of aching beauty and historic architecture.
And here, there's an even
deeper uncertainty: We don't know if supersymmetry has anything to do
with the real world.
For Francisco and Lohmann it took three field expeditions to different states of the Brazilian Amazon, combined
with deep morphological and molecular studies, to set straight
uncertainties in the complex taxonomic history of Pachyptera lianas.
But I have to confess that I've seen nothing at the NYFF that resonated as deeply or engaged me as thoroughly as Looper — yes, a Bruce Willis action movie, but one
with an ingeniously worked - out plot, surprisingly
deep emotions, and a thing or two to say about the
uncertainty of inevitability.
Compounding the
uncertainty around PEIA is teachers» perhaps
deeper dissatisfaction
with how much West Virginia's political and judicial branches value the quality of their work, and in turn the long - term prospects for the state's young people — concerns that resonate
with educators across the United States.
NEW YORK (Reuters)- The New York Federal Reserve officials tasked
with prying interest rates off the floor have been meeting
with bankers and traders to plot how best to do it, amid
deep uncertainty over how much control they will really have over short - term lending markets.
It comes attached
with deep emotions, major nerves, and perhaps even
uncertainty.
Here we quantify the effects of key parametric
uncertainties and observational constraints on thermosteric SLR projections using an Earth system model
with a dynamic three - dimensional ocean, which provides a mechanistic representation of
deep ocean processes and heat uptake.
Malpede's play is laced
with darkness and humor, even in the double meaning of the word «whether» in the title — which I found nicely reflects the
deep uncertainty that still surrounds the worst - case outcomes from the continuing buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
This does not even mention to risks and
uncertainty associated
with sending people to work in
deep shafts.
Instead, they discuss new ways of playing around
with the aerosol judge factor needed to explain why 20th - century warming is about half of the warming expected for increased in GHGs; and then expand their list of fudge factors to include smaller volcanos, stratospheric water vapor (published
with no estimate of
uncertainty for the predicted change in Ts), transfer of heat to the
deeper ocean (where changes in heat content are hard to accurately measure), etc..
Unfortunately, Australia's plan, like Europe's, gave away far too much to major emitters of CO2 and does far too little to reduce emissions, aiming for a 5 percent cut in carbon by 2020,
with uncertainty as to how
deep the cuts may be beyond then.
Other times, these conversations develop over the course of multiple coffees as my peer grapples
with the
uncertainty being arrest brings and their
deep desire to take action.
Assuming that climate change and other
deep uncertainties can not be eliminated over the short term (and probably even over the longer term), it then summarizes existing decision - making methodologies that are able to deal
with climate - related
uncertainty, namely cost - benefit analysis under
uncertainty, cost - benefit analysis
with real options, robust decision making, and climate informed decision analysis.
These are indeed events
with «
deep uncertainty», but more importantly they 1.
Climate science consists of a very large number of pieces, extending from
deep in the understood sections of the puzzle, where they fit perfectly
with all of accepted physics, out to regions on the boundary where there is still
uncertainty.
So how,
with those
uncertainties in the movement rates, are you still 100 % certain that — for example — the
deep sea clathrates are not outgassing more CO2 because of a current warmed 800 years ago during the MWP?
Even just acknowledging more openly the incredible magnitude of the
deep structural
uncertainties that are involved in climate - change analysis — and explaining better to policymakers that the artificial crispness conveyed by conventional IAM - based CBAs [Integrated Assessment Model — Cost Benefit Analyses] here is especially and unusually misleading compared
with more ordinary non-climate-change CBA situations — might go a long way toward elevating the level of public discourse concerning what to do about global warming.
Lee breaks new ground (as far as I know, anyways) regarding the ethics of decision making under
deep uncertainty,
with some profound conclusions regarding mitigation versus adaptation:
Figure 3.2: b) Observation - based estimates of annual five - year running mean global mean mid-depth (700 — 2000 m) ocean heat content in ZJ (Levitus et al., 2012) and the
deep (2000 — 6000 m) global ocean heat content trend from 1992 — 2005 (Purkey and Johnson, 2010), both
with one standard error
uncertainties shaded (see legend).
Lee breaks new ground (as far as I know, anyways) regarding the ethics of decision making under
deep uncertainty,
with some profound conclusions regarding mitigation versus adaptation: «I assume here that the greater the speculation and
uncertainties involved, the weaker the ethical claim.
With additional resources, the current program at the U.S. Department of Energy would grow both
deeper and broader, serving to reduce financial risks and
uncertainties.
Combining her
deep intuitive abilities
with her Harvard - trained brain, Carolyn specializes in helping individuals navigate change and
uncertainty by tapping into their own inner brilliance and emotional resilience.
Allow yourself to hold the now — your daughter as healthy and growing, a sense of safety,
deep relief that she's home
with you — alongside the was — your daughter in need of intensive care, a sense of
uncertainty,
deep fear that she won't come home
with you.