We find that Conservative support is holding up better in its
key marginal seats than the rest of the country, and also that the Liberal Democrats are recovering strongly, albeit from a low base, in the
seats they are
defending.
Conservative backbenchers were expressing fears on Saturday that Ukip — which leapfrogged the Conservatives into second place in Thursday's Eastleigh byelection — represents a serious threat to their support not just in the south of England but also in the north, where the Tories face a struggle to
defend a number of
key marginal seats at the 2015 general election.