Chevron seems to acknowledge that in a two -
degrees demand scenario, oil demand might have gone ex-growth by 2035, but does not discuss the implications of that crucial development.
Not exact matches
The study is the first to model
demand for oil, gas and thermal coal under the International Energy Agency's Beyond 2
Degrees Scenario introduced last year, aligned with 1.75 C, the mid-point of the Paris Agreement, and compare it with the IEA's New Policies
Scenario, aligned with 2.7 C, consistent with emissions policies announced by global governments.
The Shell document says: «Both our (oceans and mountains)
scenarios and the IEA New Policies
scenario (and our base case energy
demand and outlook) do not limit emissions to be consistent with the back - calculated 450 parts per million (Co2 in the atmosphere) 2
degrees C.»
In this paper, produced by Carbon Tracker, Energy Transition Advisors and Earth Track, potential coal supply from the PRB is compared with a
demand profile consistent with an International Energy Agency (IEA)
scenario to restrict global warming to a two
degrees Celsius (2 °C) outcome, in line with the upper limit at the recent COP21 agreement in Paris.
In 2017, over 60 % of shareholders voted for Exxon to begin disclosing how the company would be affected in a
demand - constrained environment in line with a two -
degree scenario, following the Paris Agreement.
Where
demand for oil is expected to fall in a 2 -
degree scenario,
demand for natural gas is expected to hold steady or grow.
The climate change report says oil
demand will drop to 78 million barrels a day by 2040 under a
scenario whereby global temperatures do not rise by more than 2
degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels by 2100.