David@288, I'm just going with physics, and I don't see how you get enough negative feedback to get a negative sensitivity AND get 33
degrees of warming over Earth's blackbody temperature.
Indeed, you can not get 33
degrees of warming over and above the blackbody temperature without positive feedback.
The degree of warming over the last 20 years or so has been hotly debated, as I'm sure you are aware.
Not exact matches
Use a candy thermometer to bring the mixture
of sugar, butter, and corn syrup up to 300
degrees F, then pour it
over warmed, salted peanuts.
You could also use 5.6 grams
of instant yeast] 1/3 cup (80gm)
warm water (not
over 100
degrees F) 3 1/2 cups (438gm) all - purpose flour 2 1/4 (13gm) teaspoons salt 1 1/4 cups (300gm) tepid water (70 to 74
degrees F)::::::::::::::::::::::::::::::
Directions: Saute chopped leeks and garlic in butter, medium low heat, until very soft — 10 — 15 minutes / Add 1 t fresh thyme if you have it / Mix milk and egg together with salt & pepper / When tart shell is done and slightly cooled, sprinkle one half
of the cheese on the bottom / Spread cooked leeks
over cheese, pour egg milk mixture
over the leeks / Sprinkle top with remaining cheese / Bake in a 375
degree oven until egg is barely set and tart is lightly golden — 15 — 20 minutes, longer for a larger pan with more filling / Remove from oven, lift out
of tart pan base, place on a rack to cool a bit / Serve while
warm / Swoon.
Keep it at a low temperature (200 to 250
degrees F) and gently
warm a plate
of food
over the course
of 20 to 30 minutes.
Each
of the team was required to swim for
over an hour at a time for as long as it took to reach the French coast, in water no
warmer than 16
degrees Celsius.
During the Eocene, the concentration
of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere was more than 560 parts per million, at least twice preindustrial levels, and the epoch kicked off with a global average temperature more than 8
degrees Celsius — about 14
degrees Fahrenheit —
warmer than today, gradually cooling
over the next 22 million years.
Because
of the strong recent
warming, the updated trend
over 1906 to 2005 is now 0.74 ± 0.18
degree C. Note that the 1956 to 2005 trend alone is 0.65 ± 0.15
degree C, emphasizing that the majority
of 20th - century
warming occurred in the past 50 years.
The previous IPCC assessment reported a
warming trend
of 0.6 ± 0.2
degree Celsius
over the period 1901 to 2000.
But Jones is not sure if Manley did as well at capturing slower changes,
of a few tenths
of a
degree over decades, which is important for detecting the onset
of warming due to the burning
of fossil fuels.
The project's chief engineers counted on cooling sticks and other tricks to help the rails withstand soil
warming of 0.2
degree C and air
warming of 2
degrees C on the plateau
over the next 50 years.
Jacobson said the sum
of warming caused by all anthropogenic greenhouse gases — CO2, methane, nitrous oxide, chlorofluorocarbons and some others — plus the
warming caused by black and brown carbon will yield a planetary
warming effect
of 2
degrees Celsius
over the 20 - year period simulated by the computer.
«These creatures are already living at their physiological limits, so a two -
degree change — a conservative prediction
of the
warming expected
over the next 80 years or so — can make a big difference,» said Kordas.
(Im) permafrost According to a 2007 global outlook from the U.N. Environment Programme (UNEP), the frozen soil
of the Tibetan plateau has
warmed about 0.3
degree Celsius
over the past 30 years — after the poles, faster than anywhere else on the planet.
And achieving any stabilization target — whether 2
degrees C
of warming or 450 ppm or 1,000 gigatons
of carbon added to the atmosphere by human activity — will require at least an 80 percent cut in emissions from peak levels by the end
of this century and, ultimately, zero emissions
over the long term.
«Hurricanes almost always form
over ocean water
warmer than about 80
degrees F. in a belt
of generally east - to - west flow called the trade winds.
In the latter half
of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global surface temperatures about 0.1
degree C colder than average — a small effect compared with long - term global
warming but a substantial one
over a decade.
Over the past 60 years, winter temperatures in the northwestern part
of the peninsula have soared by 11
degrees F. Year - round temperatures have risen by 5
degrees F and the surrounding ocean is
warming.
If the water temperature off the West Coast rises 2
degrees Celsius
over the next 100 years as expected, the Mediterranean mussel «takes
over most
of the West Coast, simply based on its ability to attach well under these
warming conditions.»
Doubling carbon dioxide levels, alone, should produce just
over 1
degree C
of warming.
Vahmani and Jones ran a simulation
of the most extreme case — a complete cessation
of irrigation — and found a mean daytime
warming of 1
degree Celsius averaged
over the San Francisco Bay Area.
The 700 -
degree Fahrenheit (370 -
degree Celsius) fumes left
over contain at least 30,000 parts per million
of carbon dioxide (CO2)-- the primary greenhouse gas responsible for global
warming — along with other pollutants.
«I would say it is significant that temperatures
of the most recent decade exceed the
warmest temperatures
of our reconstruction by 0.5
degrees Fahrenheit, having few — if any — precedents
over the last 11,000 years,» Marsicek says.
«
Warming greater than 2
degrees Celsius above 19th - century levels is projected to be disruptive, reducing global agricultural productivity, causing widespread loss
of biodiversity and — if sustained
over centuries — melting much
of the Greenland ice sheet with ensuing rise in sea levels
of several meters,» the AGU declares in its first statement in four years on «Human Impacts on Climate.»
A prior study cited by the paper found that an increase in shrub cover
of roughly 20 percent could spur as much as 1.8
degrees Celsius
of additional regional
warming over the next century.
A spate
of studies has shown
over the past year that even if countries honored the pledges they made in the Copenhagen Accord in December 2009,
warming would still blow past the agreed limit
of two
degrees.
Realistic large - scale solar panel coverage could cause less than half a
degree of local
warming, far less than the several
degrees in global temperature rise predicted
over the next century if we keep burning fossil fuels.
There are some caveats with their study: The global climate models (GCMs) do not reproduce the 1930 - 1940 Arctic
warm event very well, and the geographical differences in a limited number
of grid - boxes in the observations and the GCMs may have been erased through taking the average value
over the 90 -
degree sectors.
I expect the rate
of warming to proceed at a steady pace, about one and a half
degrees over land in the next 50 years, less if the oceans are included.
L. pneumophila, a ubiquitous aquatic organism that thrives in
warm environments (25 to 45
degrees Celsius with an optimum around 35
degrees Celsius) causes
over 90 percent
of Legionnaires» Disease cases.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a
degree since the late 19th century; levels
of CO2 in the atmosphere have increased by about 30 %
over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s recent report said the rate
of warming over the past 15 years has been 0.05
degrees Celsius per decade — quite a bit smaller than the 0.12
degrees per decade calculated since 1951.
Given the one percent rise
of temperature
over the last century is an «average», and the Arctic and Antarctic regions are now
warming faster, purportedly by up to eleven
degrees, there must be areas that are now cooler.
Put together, all
of the
warming caused by biomass - related CO2 emissions and black and brown carbon particles creates a planetary
warming effect
of 2
degrees Celsius (35.6
degrees Fahrenheit)
over the two - decade period simulated by the computer.
I can understand that approaching equilibrium takes a long, long time, while TCR gives a better measure
of what will happen
over the next few decades (and that technology and society may be very different in 200 years time); but on the other hand, I thought nations had agreed to try to limit global
warming to less than 2
degrees C overall, and not just to limit it to less than 2
degrees C by 2100.
With
warming rates
of 0.5 to
over 1.3
degrees C per century this has caused considerable alarm for many.
The public, press and policy makers have been repeatedly told that three claims have widespread scientific support: Global temperature has risen about a
degree since the late 19th century; levels
of CO2 [carbon dioxide] in the atmosphere have increased by about 30 percent
over the same period; and CO2 should contribute to future
warming.
-- raw nuts and seeds contain «anti nutrients» which prevent untimely sprouting and being «exterminated» by all the nut lovers like insects, animals and us included — If you eat raw nuts and nut butters daily, in larger amounts, you SHOULD soak the raw nuts and seeds in
warm water with a couple
of teaspoons
of seasalt
over night and then thorougly rinse, drip dry and dehydrate in the oven at about 150
degrees Fahrenheit — Wilderness Family sells nutbutters from soaked and dehydrated nuts, but it is spendy!
I got the rare joy
of running errands alone
over the weekend, on a unseasonably
warm (55
degree) day and this is what I wore.
The initial issue was around the
warm air that, on the coupe, escapes through the air - vent in the front bonnet and up and
over the car and across the rear deck; with no roof the 70 -
degree C air would head
over the header rail into the laps
of the passengers.
You'll enjoy 100ft / 30m visibility 365 days a year, with
warm water (80 — 87
degrees), beautiful coral gardens and
over 220 varieties
of colorful reef fish — corals and spongest galore.
I earlier asked how serious 0.065
degrees of ocean
warming over 45 years was in the greater scheme
of things.
I wrote yesterday (# 7): «A high
degree of confidence is appropriate, given that catastrophic anthropogenic global
warming is already occurring right before our eyes, all
over the world.
No one can know what will happen
over the next decade, but this data does not support the IPCC assertion that we can be 90 % certain that increasing CO2 concentrations have been responsible for a substantial part
of the 20th century
warming, or that we an expect 3
degrees C
of warming over the next century.
Given the one percent rise
of temperature
over the last century is an «average», and the Arctic and Antarctic regions are now
warming faster, purportedly by up to eleven
degrees, there must be areas that are now cooler.
We find a higher sensitivity
of extreme events to aerosol reductions, per
degree of surface
warming, in particular
over the major aerosol emission regions.
The actual prevailing view
of the paleoclimate research community that emerged during the early 1990s, when long - term proxy data became more widely available and it was possible to synthesize them into estimates
of large - scale temperature changes in past centuries, was that the average temperature
over the Northern Hemisphere varied by significantly less than 1
degree C in previous centuries (i.e., the variations in past centuries were small compared to the observed 20th century
warming).
Now, perhaps you can explain to us how you get 33
degrees of greenhouse
warming over blackbody temperatures without significant contributions from positive feedback.