Poland could halve
its demand for coal by 2030 with a shift to renewable energies that would end its image as a laggard in European Union efforts to slow climate change, a study showed on Friday.
Not exact matches
Under this scenario,
by 2040 global energy
demand will be significantly larger than it is now; oil,
coal, and natural gas each will account
for about one - quarter of total
demand, and solar and wind together will account
for roughly 5 %.
By the mid 2020s, the IEA expects the U.S. to become the world's biggest exporter of liquefied natural gas,
demand for which is set to rise strongly as China, India, and Southeast Asia all turn away from
coal to cleaner energy sources.
Plus, he noted, because
coal from western states, including Wyoming —
by far the nation's top
coal producer — is considerably cheaper than Appalachia's, «even if there's a big resurgence in
demand, it's not likely to be
for Kentucky
coal.»
A key element in this shift is China; the value of Chinese exports to Canada tripled over this period and Canadian exports to China, while still small relative to exports to the US, have grown steadily in value driven
by commodity exports which have been buoyed
by high prices and huge
demand in China
for key Canadian exports such as minerals (nickel, coking
coal, potash, copper and iron ore), pulp and lumber.
Rapid growth in global steel
demand has also boosted contract prices
for other bulk commodities; coking
coal contract prices increased, on average,
by 25 — 35 per cent in US dollar terms in recent negotiations, while iron ore contract prices have risen
by close to 20 per cent.
The
coal industry is booming driven
by growth in export
demand for coal world wide and the large number of
coal - fired power plants currently scheduled to come online.
The increase in foreign
demand is being driven
by industrialization and attendant
demand for coal fired electricity generation in the developing world including India and China.
As a result of the strong global
demand for steel, coking
coal producers negotiated an increase of around 120 per cent in contract prices, with iron ore contract prices generally rising
by more than 70 per cent (Graph 39).
China's
demand for coal helped Mongolia's economy grow
by 17.5 percent in 2011.
Since they were presumably going to operate as base load as opposed to peaker power, it's likely they were intending to sign long term contracts so that their incremental addition to the
demand for coal would be absorbed not
by creating an additional
demand on the spot market but
by identifying a fixed source with a standing order and putting a few American miners to work on a full - time basis.
Addressing potential investors in Manhattan on Thursday, Gregory Boyce, the chairman and chief executive officer of the world's biggest
coal company, Peabody Energy, simply gushed as he described how the company is ideally positioned to take advantage of «a long - term supercycle
for coal,» driven
by rapidly growing
demand in Asia.
In 2014, falling
demand for coal in China meant that consumption fell
for the first time, dipping
by around 0.9 %.
The study is the first to model
demand for oil, gas and thermal
coal under the International Energy Agency's Beyond 2 Degrees Scenario introduced last year, aligned with 1.75 C, the mid-point of the Paris Agreement, and compare it with the IEA's New Policies Scenario, aligned with 2.7 C, consistent with emissions policies announced
by global governments.
By rebranding coal as «dispatchable», the government's National Energy Guarantee looks set to preserve demand for coal - fired power by giving it a new role — one it's not well equipped to fulfi
By rebranding
coal as «dispatchable», the government's National Energy Guarantee looks set to preserve
demand for coal - fired power
by giving it a new role — one it's not well equipped to fulfi
by giving it a new role — one it's not well equipped to fulfil.
The WCA released a report in November 2015 «The Case
for Coal: India's Energy Trilemma» looking at the growing coal demand and the significant potential offered by high efficiency low emission coal technologies in reducing CO2 emissi
Coal: India's Energy Trilemma» looking at the growing
coal demand and the significant potential offered by high efficiency low emission coal technologies in reducing CO2 emissi
coal demand and the significant potential offered
by high efficiency low emission
coal technologies in reducing CO2 emissi
coal technologies in reducing CO2 emissions.
[v] Even phasing out Australia's
coal exports would merely cause Australian GDP to double
by 2031 instead of
by 2030 [vi], paling in comparison to the impacts of the several degrees of global warming associated with continuing
demand for those exports.
Addressing potential investors in Manhattan on June 17, 2010 Peabody's chairman and chief executive, Gregory Boyce, stated that «a long - term supercycle
for coal,» driven
by rapidly growing
demand in Asia, would be extremely profitable.
The report, which predicts trends in the
coal market to 2017, suggests
coal demand will reach the energy equivalent of 4.32 billion tonnes of oil
by that year — narrowly below 4.4 billion tonnes of
demand for oil itself.
Forecasts
for global
coal demand, made
by the IEA in 2011 through 2017 (blue lines), compared to data on actual use (red), in millions of tonnes of
coal equivalent.
In turn, Asian
demand is dominated
by China;
demand in China increased almost five-fold between 1980 - 2010 and accounted
for 73 % of Asia's consumption and almost half of
coal consumption globally in 2010.
In the United States,
coal's dominance in the power sector has been eroded
by low gas prices; in China,
coal demand has fallen due to lower use in the industrial and residential sectors linked to efforts to improve air quality; while in the United Kingdom a recently introduced carbon price floor has rung the death knell
for coal use in power generation.
By creating a
demand for this supposedly dispatchable power, the policy discourages the retirement of the very
coal units that AEMO has identified as ill - suited to our needs.
Demand for coal over the period is found to be far outweighed
by supply from existing leases alone, meaning that no new federal acreage in the Powder River Basin is required to be leased
by the Federal government through the end of our assessment period in 2040.
The company expects energy
demand to grow at an average of about 1 % annually over the next three decades — faster than population but much slower than the global economy — with increasing efficiency and a gradual shift toward lower - emission energy sources: Gas increases faster than oil and
by more BTUs in total, while
coal grows
for a while longer but then shrinks back to current levels.
For example, the IEA see
coal demand as flat over the next five years, which will likely be followed
by a steady decline as CO2 emissions continue to decouple from economic growth.
The CTI report says there will be no need
for new
coal mines, oil
demand will peak around 2020, and growth in gas will disappoint industry expectations if world leaders agree and then implement the policies needed to meet the UN commitment to keep climate change below 2 ˚C − the threshold agreed
by most governments.
The first, is a major focus on mapping out the implications of the energy transition involved
for key stakeholders, with a focus on
coal, oil and gas sectors, on capital expenditure
by companies and scenario planning around
demand and supply.
Analysts say this is the first time Beijing has put a ban on the opening of new mines: the move has been prompted both
by falling
demand for coal as a result of a slowing economy and
by increasing public concern about hazardous levels of pollution, which have blanketed many cities across the country over recent months.
In China,
demand for coal in 2010 resulted in a traffic jam 75 miles long caused
by more than 10,000 trucks carrying supplies from Inner Mongolia.
Global
demand for coal is expected to grow to 8.9 billion tons
by 2016 from 7.9 billion tons this year, with the bulk of new
demand — about 700 million tons — coming from China, according to a Peabody Energy study.
Besides strong
demand for thermal
coal, which is burned in power plants, use of metallurgical
coal or coking
coal, used in blast furnaces, is also expected to more than double in China, to about 1.7 billion metric tons
by 2016, as the country's steel mills churn out more steel
for automobiles, skyscrapers and export goods, the Peabody study says.
CSE also recommends enacting CEA's plan to retire 48 GW of India's oldest
coal generation
by 2027, allowing cleaner distributed electricity sources to meet India's power
demand while raising capacity factors
for newer «cleaner»
coal plants, simultaneously reducing financial risks
for utilities and consumers.
Illinois Basin
coal prices declined just 5 %, partially offset
by a 9 % increase in production because of robust
demand for the low - cost, high - sulfur
coal from the region.
But while India's power
demand will double over the next decade, its draft National Electricity Plan (NEP) calls
for rising
demand to be met with 275 gigawatts (GW) total renewable energy capacity
by 2027, without requiring new
coal plants beyond those already under construction.
Environmental regulatory requirements may have been the straw that broke a baseload's camel's back — particularly
for coal plants — but it appears that most baseload plants were already burdened
by the effects of low natural gas prices, eroding customer
demand, and lower capacity factors before the incremental burden of new regulations tipped the balance over to retirement.»
Using more renewable energy can lower the prices of and
demand for natural gas and
coal by increasing competition and diversifying our energy supplies.
(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270
Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery
Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain
Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading
for 400 Million: No Cause
for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing
for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy
Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western Economic Model Will not Work
for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S. Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «
Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use of Water» (3/13/03) «Global Temperature Near Record
for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle
for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short
by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing
for Land» (2/14/01) «Obesity Epidemic Threatens Health in Exercise - Deprived Societies» (12/19/00) «HIV Epidemic Restructuring Africa's Population» (10/31/00) «Fish Farming May Overtake Cattle Ranching As a Food Source» (10/3/00) «OPEC Has World Over a Barrel Again» (9/8/00) «Climate Change Has World Skating on Thin Ice» (8/29/00) «The Rise and Fall of the Global Climate Coalition» (7/25/00) «HIV Epidemic Undermining sub-Saharan Africa» (7/18/00) «Population Growth and Hydrological Poverty» (6/21/00) «U.S. Farmers Double Cropping Corn And Wind Energy» (6/7/00) «World Kicking the Cigarette Habit» (5/10/00) «Falling Water Tables in China» (5/2/00) Top of page
In its annual World Energy Outlook 2016 report, the International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that
coal will remain the largest single source of electricity generation through to 2040, most of the new
demand for coal will be driven
by India and Southeast Asia.
WWF's report, produced with researchers at Dutch organizations Ecofys and the Office
for Metropolitan Architecture, says the share of oil,
coal, gas and nuclear in the global energy mix could be cut down to 5 %
by 2050, and energy saving measures can cut total
demand by 15 % from 2005 levels, starting from an assumed baseline of 520EJ / a.
The fact that fossil carbon is bad does not make wind turbines and solar panels and bird frying solar concentrators good, unless,
by some miracle of modern engineering, the wind and sun that
coal replaced can win back an industrial world with seven to ten times the
demand for energy.
China, on the other hand, has emerged as a leader in developing clean, renewable energy, but its
demand for coal is still staggering, and growing, and China is predicted to build 2,200 new
coal - fired electric plants
by 2030.
However, more interestingly, some of the reduction in
demand for coal has been driven
by much higher plant efficiencies in China's
coal power fleet.
And ironically enough, Goodell argues, it's China's quickly growing
demand for energy that presents us with a solution: «Energy
demand is expected to double
by 2030, and at that pace, there is not enough oil,
coal and gas in the world to keep their economy humming,» he writes.
The report highlights: Trends in domestic energy
demand and supply prospects to 2040, broken down
by fuel and sector The outlook
for the power sector and the increasing share of
coal in the region's electricity generation The role that Southeast Asia will play in international energy trade and the implications
for its energy expenditures The potential energy and environmental benefits of implementing pragmatic measures that would help limit the rise in the region's greenhouse - gas emissions An in - depth analysis of energy prospects in Malaysia to 2040 A focus on four key issues that will shape the direction of the region's energy system: power grid interconnection, energy investment, energy access and fossil - fuel subsidies
In Oregon,
for example, Governor Kate Brown signed a bill that will move the state to 50 percent renewable energy production
by 2040 and end the state's use of
coal power by 2030; in Montana, sagging demand and economic pressures caused Arch Coal to scrap its plans for a massive strip - mining operation on federal land; and in a recent Gallup poll, 64 percent of Americans said they worried a «great deal» or «fair amount» about global warming, up from 55 percent only a year
coal power
by 2030; in Montana, sagging
demand and economic pressures caused Arch
Coal to scrap its plans for a massive strip - mining operation on federal land; and in a recent Gallup poll, 64 percent of Americans said they worried a «great deal» or «fair amount» about global warming, up from 55 percent only a year
Coal to scrap its plans
for a massive strip - mining operation on federal land; and in a recent Gallup poll, 64 percent of Americans said they worried a «great deal» or «fair amount» about global warming, up from 55 percent only a year ago.
The clear direction of travel
for coal consumption is underscored
by the IEA's 2016 World Energy Outlook that brought forward the peak
for thermal
coal demand in China
by 17 years in its New Policies Scenario - recognising
demand peaked in 2013 as opposed to 2030.
One global
coal player, Peabody, recently told the World Coal Conference that it assumes demand for coal will increase by over 50 per cent by 2
coal player, Peabody, recently told the World
Coal Conference that it assumes demand for coal will increase by over 50 per cent by 2
Coal Conference that it assumes
demand for coal will increase by over 50 per cent by 2
coal will increase
by over 50 per cent
by 2030.
Instead, the use of
coal for generating electricity has rocketed, driven
by developing countries increased power
demand.
The Three Year Action Agenda, released on Thursday
by the National Institution
for Transforming India (Niti Aayog), laid out a nine - point plan
for boosting
coal production in India in order to feed increasing
demand from India's
coal power sector.