Sentences with phrase «dependent model forecasts»
The available tools are time - dependent model forecasts which incorporate the improved observations of changes in the ocean and simulate its likely influence on the short - to medium - term future.
http://www.realclimate.org/ Not exact matches
Analyst forecasts of global sales in 2015 will be highly dependent on when the Model X is introduced and at what volumes.
Our model indicates that going forward, long - term yields will likely be subject to three upward pressures: (1) Our forecasted increase in inflation will boost nominal GDP growth; (2) As forward guidance is replaced by a data - dependent monetary tightening, volatility in short rates will increase; and (3) As the impact of QE on the Treasury market fades, long - term yields will trend back to their historical link with nominal GDP growth.
Apart from ground stations, weather forecasts are heavily dependent on weather satellites for information to start or «initialize» the numerical weather prediction models that are the foundation of modern weather prediction.
Valuation - dependent Models 3 — 6 all have positive correlations between their forecasts and subsequent returns, and all beat Model 0 in this regard; the correlation is undefined for Model 0 because its forecasts are always constant.
This is quite subtle though — weather forecast models obviously do better if they have initial conditions that are closer to the observations, and one might argue that for particular climate model predictions that are strongly dependent on the base climatology (such as for Arctic sea ice) tuning to the climatology will be worthwhile.
In addition to the fact that «for the predictions through the spring season in the growth phase of El Niño events, the prediction errors induced by both initial errors and model errors tend to have a prominent season - dependent evolution and yield a prominent spring predictability barrier (SPB)» Duan et al., 2012, it is important to note that even after the SPB passes, our ENSO forecasting skills are abysmal, i.e.: