This uncertainty
depends on climate sensitivity, the length of time and the size of the unforced variability.
A lot
depends on climate sensitivity — on a variety of timescales.
The emission limit
depends on climate sensitivity, but central estimates [12]--[13], including those in the upcoming Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [14], are that a 2 °C global warming limit implies a cumulative carbon emissions limit of the order of 1000 GtC.
Of course,
this all depends on climate sensitivity and what is regarded as a dangerous level of warming, as discussed on other posts on this site.
The emission limit
depends on climate sensitivity, but central estimates [12]--[13], including those in the upcoming Fifth Assessment of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [14], are that a 2 °C global warming limit implies a cumulative carbon emissions limit of the order of 1000 GtC.
The precise amount of warming will
depend on climate sensitivity and the exotic feedbacks that are factored in, but I think you are dancing on the head of a pin with your comments -
If we assume that the climate is equally sensitive to radiative forcing from each of these causes, the net increase of 1.2 watts should have brought about an increase in global mean temperature of 0.3 to 1.1 °C,
depending on the climate sensitivity that is assumed.
Not exact matches
As the
Climate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a sta
Climate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future
climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a sta
climate change
depends significantly
on «remaining uncertainty in the
sensitivity of Earth's
climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a sta
climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a statement.
Climate sensitivity depends on a number of properties of the earth's climate system, such as the composition of clouds and cloud
Climate sensitivity depends on a number of properties of the earth's
climate system, such as the composition of clouds and cloud
climate system, such as the composition of clouds and cloud cover.
Does
climate sensitivity depend on the cause of the change?
The impact
on climate when thinking «by 2100»
depends not only
on the
sensitivity, but also
on socio - economic pathways and carbon cycle uncertainties, which determine what the CO2 concentration will be.
Model results don't
depend critically
on resolution — the
climate sensitivity of the models is not a function of this in any obvious way, and the patterns of warming seen in coarse resolution models from the 1980s are very similar to those from AR4 or the upcoming AR5 (~ 50 times more horizontal grid points).
I had noted from James Hansen's writings talk of
climate sensitivity depending on the current
climate (I remember seeing a graph of this but can't find it right now).
This is similar to how the denier claims of no global warming, or of no anthropogenic influence upon warming, or of low
climate sensitivity,
depend on all observational data being wrong in the same direction.
This kind of forecast doesn't
depend too much
on the models at all — it is mainly related to the
climate sensitivity which can be constrained independently of the models (i.e. via paleo -
climate data), moderated by the thermal inertia of the oceans and assuming the (very likely) continuation of CO2 emissions at present or accelerated rates.
Sensitivity analysis shows that future fire potential
depends on many factors such as
climate model and emission scenario used for
climate change projection.
The
sensitivity of Earth's
climate to an external radiative forcing
depends critically
on the response of water vapor.
This paper is nonetheless interesting for the link that they make to the carbon cycle and the potential for feedbacks that may amplify the CO2 concentration in the future that will
depend on the warming, and hence
on climate sensitivity.
That is a more complex matter as it will
depend on the elusive value of
climate sensitivity.
One indicator for their
sensitivity to a
climate change can be how their character
depends on the season, geography, natural variations, or if they exhibit pronounced long - term trends.
Depending on meridional heat transport, when freezing temperatures reach deep enough towards low - latitudes, the ice - albedo feedback can become so effective that
climate sensitivity becomes infinite and even negative (implying unstable equilibrium for any «ice - line» (latitude marking the edge of ice) between the equator and some other latitude).
The figure for
climate sensitivity to doubling of CO2 of 3.6 to 8.1 degrees Fahrenheit
depends on water vapor being a large positive feedback.
But of course the pace of the temperature trend also
depends on the global future emissions outlook and
on remaining uncertainties surrounding
climate sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concent
climate sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 con
sensitivity — or the politically most relevant metric «Equilibrium
Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concent
Climate Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 con
Sensitivity» (ECS), the amount of warming expected
on a decades timescale after doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration.
Somehow we have
climate sensitivity values that vary
depending on which decade.
Well it
depends on whether you are talking about
Climate Sensitivity (Charney sensitivity... which is modelled) or Earth System Sensitivity (where things like ice sheet extent, vegetation cover etc are regarded as able to respond quickly t
Sensitivity (Charney
sensitivity... which is modelled) or Earth System Sensitivity (where things like ice sheet extent, vegetation cover etc are regarded as able to respond quickly t
sensitivity... which is modelled) or Earth System
Sensitivity (where things like ice sheet extent, vegetation cover etc are regarded as able to respond quickly t
Sensitivity (where things like ice sheet extent, vegetation cover etc are regarded as able to respond quickly to warming).
This «
climate sensitivity» not only
depends on the direct effect of the GHGs themselves, but also
on natural «
climate feedback» mechanisms, particularly those due to clouds, water vapour, and snow cover.
Unfortunately, determining the correct range
depends on where the home is located (
climate), how the home is constructed (the thermal resistance of surfaces determines surface temperatures), the time of year (the month or season determines surface temperatures), and the
sensitivity of the occupants.
In general, diversity shifts towards the coast and northwards, and the degree
depends on the dispersal assumptions, emission scenarios, and the
sensitivity of
climate simulations.
The magnitude of
climate change beyond the next few decades will
depend primarily
on the amount of greenhouse (heat - trapping) gases emitted globally and
on the remaining uncertainty in the
sensitivity of Earth's
climate to those emissions (very high confidence).
Alec Rawls,
on the other hand, points out that if his criticism of Chapter 7 of the AR5 is valid, and it has been accepted by the authors of Chapter 7, then the value of
climate sensitivity estimated by Nic Lewis is a MAXIMUM value, which could be less
depending on the effect of clouds.
The
sensitivity of the earth's
climate vs. GHG
depends on how much GHG warming has been offset by cooling from aerosols.
The IEA's calculation of a carbon budget
depends on a parameter called «
climate sensitivity.»
Before discussing this, a methodological point affecting estimates of S needs to be mentioned: results from methods estimating a PDF of
climate sensitivity depend strongly
on their assumptions of a prior distribution from which
climate models with different S are sampled [Frame 2005].
On current trends, the IPCC finds, emissions will continue to soar and global average temperatures will rise between 2.5 and 7.8 degrees Celsius before the century is out, depending on the pace of economic growth and the sensitivity of the climate system to CO
On current trends, the IPCC finds, emissions will continue to soar and global average temperatures will rise between 2.5 and 7.8 degrees Celsius before the century is out,
depending on the pace of economic growth and the sensitivity of the climate system to CO
on the pace of economic growth and the
sensitivity of the
climate system to CO2.
Admittedly, part of my confusion is because the
climate system has multiple definitions of
sensitivity depending on the timescale of interest.
It
depends on the modelled
climate sensitivity and carbon cycle feedbacks.
I hope it keeps increasing as if it does and if temperatures remain stagnent, it could influence estimates of
climate sensitivity to CO2
depending on the time frame involved»
Carbon residence time
depends on the turnover rates of plant parts and the mortality rates of individuals, processes modeled using baseline rates,
climate sensitivities (including fire), and competitively induced mortality, and are affected indirectly through shifts in vegetation composition, although not all these processes are treated in all models (SI Text).
This
depends greatly
on a parameter called «
climate sensitivity».
The United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change, a global effort involving hundreds of climate scientists and the governments of 100 nations, projected in 2001 that, depending on the rate of greenhouse gas emissions and general climate sensitivities, the global average temperature would rise 2.5 to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit between 1990 an
Climate Change, a global effort involving hundreds of
climate scientists and the governments of 100 nations, projected in 2001 that, depending on the rate of greenhouse gas emissions and general climate sensitivities, the global average temperature would rise 2.5 to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit between 1990 an
climate scientists and the governments of 100 nations, projected in 2001 that,
depending on the rate of greenhouse gas emissions and general
climate sensitivities, the global average temperature would rise 2.5 to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit between 1990 an
climate sensitivities, the global average temperature would rise 2.5 to 10.4 degrees Fahrenheit between 1990 and 2100.
On the other hand the projected positive feedbacks you support, which are COMPLETELY theoretical, depend on the LEAST understood aspects of the affect of water vapor and cloud formation, so the strong feedbacks PROJECTED are the least dependable, while the «OBSERVATIONS» used by Lindzen, Spencer, and others, support the lower estimates of climate sensitivit
On the other hand the projected positive feedbacks you support, which are COMPLETELY theoretical,
depend on the LEAST understood aspects of the affect of water vapor and cloud formation, so the strong feedbacks PROJECTED are the least dependable, while the «OBSERVATIONS» used by Lindzen, Spencer, and others, support the lower estimates of climate sensitivit
on the LEAST understood aspects of the affect of water vapor and cloud formation, so the strong feedbacks PROJECTED are the least dependable, while the «OBSERVATIONS» used by Lindzen, Spencer, and others, support the lower estimates of
climate sensitivity.
«The whole idea of a
climate sensitivity to CO2 (i.e., that we could dial up a chosen temperature by setting CO2 levels at some calculated level) is simply bizarre because the response of the temperature to Anthropogenic CO2 is simply not a constant, and will vary
depending, as it does,
on the state of the system as a whole at the time of the CO2 introduction.»
As for the LGM, equilibrium
climate sensitivity estimates
depend strongly
on the temperature data used.
The IPCC AR4 states that equilibrium
climate sensitivity is likely (> 66 %) to lie in the range 2 — 4.5 C and very unlikely (< 10 %) to lie below 1.5 C. Annan and Hargreaves demonstrate that the the widely - used approach of a uniform prior fails to adequately represent «ignorance» and generates rather pathological results which
depend strongly
on the selected upper bound.
This doesn't just raise issues for measuring and reporting
climate sensitivity, it extends
on into any decision theory that may
depend upon it.
The problem with JA's argument about bounding
climate sensitivity is that even with a Cauchy prior, the result
depends critically
on the location of the prior.
In the case of the
climate sensitivity the outcome
depends on, how the empirical data is used.
The MIT model permits one to systematically vary the model's
climate sensitivity (by varying the strength of the cloud feedback) and rate of mixing of heat into the deep ocean and determine how the goodness - of - fit with observations
depends on these factors.
«Results imply that global and regional warming rates
depend sensitively
on regional ocean processes setting the [ocean heat uptake] pattern, and that equilibrium
climate sensitivity can not be reliably estimated from transient observations.»
Potentials for adaptation to
climate change in informal sectors in developing countries
depend largely
on the context: e.g., the impacts involved, the
sensitivity of the industrial activity to those impacts, and the resources available for coping.