But even during post-credit crisis periods, some combinations of market conditions have warranted at least a moderate speculative exposure to market fluctuations
despite rich valuations.
I've long noted that the analysis of market action can help to overcome some of this frustration, as stocks have often provided good returns
despite rich valuations so long as market internals were strong, and the environment was not yet characterized by a syndrome of overvalued, overbought, overbullish, and rising yield conditions.
Not exact matches
So
despite periodic speculative runs,
rich valuations have an annoying way of ruining the fun.
The «canonical» market peak typically features
rich valuations, rising interest rates, often a reasonably extended and «flattish» period where,
despite marginal new highs, momentum has gradually faded while internal divergences have widened, and finally, an abrupt reversal in leadership, from a preponderance of new highs over new lows (both generally large in number) to a preponderance of new lows over new highs, with the reversal often occurring over a period of just a week or two.
This
despite the fact that the 2007 peak reflected
rich valuation multiples against earnings that were themselves inflated by abnormally elevated profit margins.