In addition to long - term projections, more
detailed climate predictions spanning the next ten years were performed for the first time.
Not exact matches
A controversial
prediction that found its way into the most recent report by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change said they'd be gone by 2035, but a
detailed new analysis contradicts it.
The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire
predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most
detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the
climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.
June 16, 12:36 p.m. Updated Douglas Biesecker, a scientist at the Space Weather
Prediction Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the leader of an international effort to chart and forecast trends in sunspots, has offered a
detailed new critique of three lines of analysis predicting a long and deep lull in sunspot activity, with substantial potential impacts on Earth's
climate (and
climate policy).
Britain's Met Office, for example, while providing
detailed climate projections on its website, acknowledges that such
predictions are «always subject to uncertainty», thanks largely to the current limitations on scientific knowledge of how the Earth's
climate system works and on the relatively - limited amount of data available.
There needs to be a close collaboration with
climate physicists, and a
detailed interplay between
prediction from theory and observation.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial
detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the ocean, for assimilation into coupled ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications in short - term numerical weather
prediction and longer term
climate change detection.
The weather
prediction model used in this research is advantageous because it assesses
details about future
climate at a smaller geographic scale than global models, providing reliable simulations not only on the amounts of summer precipitation, but also on its frequency and timing.
The experimental protocol for the Decadal
Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6 is described in
detail in Boer et al. (2016).
Climate models, unfortunately, are still unable to provide skillful predictions of changes in regional climate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the detail desired by the impacts commu
Climate models, unfortunately, are still unable to provide skillful
predictions of changes in regional
climate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the detail desired by the impacts commu
climate statistics on multi-decadal time scales at the
detail desired by the impacts communities.
«I have no more faith in global
climate model (GCM)
predictions than I have in all those emails from Nigeria advising me that I have won the Lotto, or those proposals from rich widows in Dubai who have just lost their husbands, or from the less frequent emails from my bank asking for
details of my banking account.
And the purpose of the models is NOT to provide
detailed predictions of every behavior the
climate may exhibit, but rather so we can compare qualitative and quantitative trends in nature and in the models.