And at last they have found a new one: they suggest that
the difference in the temperature increase over land and the oceans during the last decades might be due to contaminations of the land temperature record — They call it an anomalous behaviour — ignoring that it corresponds fully to what is physically expected.
Based on the decrease in SO2 emissions in Europa, there should be a huge
difference in temperature increase between less polluted areas and more polluted areas, downwind from the main sources.
Failures in the Earth system are already beginning to occur in a number of ways at a GMT increase of only 0.8 oC; GMT does not address huge regional
differences in temperature increase; a temperature target doesn't even address ocean acidification; and we are frittering our time here (and in numerous scientific papers) addressing 2oC as if it is a reasonable target???
Not exact matches
«We found that development
differences were due to moisture interacting with
temperature where
increased water content of the sand resulted
in temperatures that were 2 to 3 degrees Celsius lower than air
temperatures,» said Wyneken.
«What we found was that when the
difference of the monthly average
temperature in the current month compared with the previous one month
increased by 1 degree, there was a 3 per cent
increase in suicide
in Brisbane and Sydney,» Dr Qi said.
«For example, when looking at Sydney, if the
temperature difference between September and October (2.55 degrees) was 1.5 degrees higher than that between August and September (1.05 degrees), then we saw a 4.5 per cent
increase of suicide
in October compared with September.
So when wind pulls warm water up from down deep, the
temperature difference experienced at the interface of the water and ice can effectively submerse the glacier
in a hot bath, with some areas experiencing more than a 10-fold
increase in melt rate.
The team's research shows that
in addition to contributions from natural forcings and global warming,
temperature differences between the Atlantic and Pacific oceans play a role
in causing drought and
increasing wildfire risks.
This decrease results because plant respiration also
increases with
temperature, and some of the photosynthetic gains (that lead to
increased productivity) are lost through a) growth and maintenance respiration (Ryan et al. 1995), or b) seasonal
differences between photosynthetic gains
in the spring and
increased respiration
in the fall.
So the mechanism should cause a decline
in skin
temperature gradients with
increased cloud cover (more downward heat radiation), and there should also be a decline
in the
difference between cool skin layer and ocean bulk
temperatures - as less heat escapes the ocean under
increased atmospheric warming.
In reality, the
difference is minor, about 1 percent for every 15 degree Fahrenheit
increase according to a California Energy Commission Fuel Delivery
Temperature Study.
So to me the graphic is correct i.e. Corrections applied by GISS have
increased the
difference between the January 1910 and January 2000
temperature from 0.43 C
in 2008 to 0.71 C
in 2016.
The significant
difference between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y per decade) and the expected
increase due solely to rising atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y per decade) due to changes
in other atmospheric forcing (winds, surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
This is the
difference between countries» pledged commitments to reduce emissions of heat - trapping greenhouse gases after 2020 and scientifically calculated trajectories giving good odds of keeping global warming below the threshold for danger countries pledged to try to avoid
in climate talks
in 2010 (to «hold the
increase in global average
temperature below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels»).
Given this, it is quite clear that any reduction
in the efficiency of upward radiation (by, say, reflecting it right back down again), will have to be compensated for by
increasing the air / sea (skin)
temperature difference, hence having a warmer subsurface
temperature.
An
increase in the quantity of carbonic acid will of course diminish the
difference in temperature between day and night.
If a doubling of CO2 resulted
in a
temperature increase of approximately 1 K before any non-Planck feedbacks (before water vapor, etc.), then assuming the same climate sensitivity to the total GHE, removing the whole GHE would result
in about a (setting the TOA / tropopause distinction aside, as it is relatively small relative to the 155 W / m2 value) 155/3.7 * 1 K ~ = 42 K. Which is a bit more than 32 or 33 K, though I'm not surprised by the
difference.
IMHO, the
increase in speed of the Hadley / Walker cells may be the result of higher ocean
temperatures (or
temperature differences over long distances), not the origin (or to a lesser extent, as less clouds lead to some extra insolation, thus warming).
Raw climate model results for a business - as - usual scenario indicate that we can expect global
temperatures to
increase anywhere
in the range of 5.8 and 10.6 degrees Fahrenheit (3.2 to 5.9 degrees Celsius) over preindustrial levels by the end of the century — a
difference of about a factor of two between the most - and least - severe projections.
Without getting into the discussions of how much
difference we are making to any
increase in temperature, presumably you - or your faculty - must have made some calculations as to what effect an aggressive carbon mitigation policy will have
in actually REDUCING
temperatures?
«
In the southern hemisphere, the increase in wind power depends on the land - sea thermal gradient, and apparently the stronger emissions scenario (RCP8.5) is needed to make the difference in temperature and thus pressure between land and sea strong enough to amplify the winds.&raqu
In the southern hemisphere, the
increase in wind power depends on the land - sea thermal gradient, and apparently the stronger emissions scenario (RCP8.5) is needed to make the difference in temperature and thus pressure between land and sea strong enough to amplify the winds.&raqu
in wind power depends on the land - sea thermal gradient, and apparently the stronger emissions scenario (RCP8.5) is needed to make the
difference in temperature and thus pressure between land and sea strong enough to amplify the winds.&raqu
in temperature and thus pressure between land and sea strong enough to amplify the winds.»
There will be deep philosophical and ethical
differences on whether we have the right to coerce billions of people for an unclear likelihood of preventing a 2 - 4 C
increase in global mean surface
temperatures by 2100.
Similarly, if there is an
increase in the
difference between land and ocean
temperatures, the rising air over land draws
in moist air from the ocean and lifts it, leading to monsoons.
So now we have surface temps of 160 F [71 C] and air
temperature normal cooler by +20 C. Without an
increase in atmospheric pressure, and with higher surface
temperature one would see a larger
difference in surface
temperature between the surface and air
temperature.
The models also project
increases in the magnitude of seasonal
temperature differences in most areas.
The main dynamical driver of the monsoon is therefore the positive moisture - advection feedback (Fig. 1 A): The release of latent heat from precipitation over land adds to the
temperature difference between land and ocean, thus driving stronger winds from ocean to land and
increasing in this way landward advection of moisture, which leads to enhanced precipitation and associated release of latent heat.
I suspect it's not 1C over all the globe but just over relatively dry parts of the globe (higher latitudes over continents) where conduction (and hence surface
temperature) has to
increase make up for the higher impedence through the radiative path because there's no latent path (and hence no rise
in temperature) to make up the
difference.
One degree celsius might not sound like a big
increase in temperature, but it's the
difference between life and death for thousands of people.
What
difference between energy absorption and radiation do we need to induce
in order to make the air
temperature increase by 1 degree C, assuming no change
in albedo?
Increasing evidence of small aerosol forcing supports the importance of internal variability
in explaining inter hemispheric
differences in temperature variability.
Since 1659, the linear trend
in summer
temperatures has been +0.0009 degrees Celsius per year (they went up
in about 1995 - 2005 and are now declining again) and for winter
temperatures, the trend is +0.0037 degrees Celsius per year (with an
increase from about 1995 - 2010, followed by a decline) so the
difference (summer minus winter
temperatures) is
in fact becoming less extreme by 0.0028 degrees Celsius per year.
DES MOINES (AP)-- Warmer and wetter weather
in large swaths of the country have helped farmers grow corn, soybeans and other crops
in some regions that only a few decades ago were too dry or cold, experts who are studying the change said... The change is due
in part to a 7 %
increase in average U.S. rainfall
in the past 50 years, said Jay Lawrimore, chief of climatic analysis for the Asheville, N.C. - based National Climactic Data Center... Brad Rippey, a U.S. Department of Agriculture meteorologist, said warming
temperatures have made a big
difference for crops such as corn and soybeans... For example, data from the National Agricultural Statistics Service show that
in 1980, about 210,000 soybean acres were planted
in North Dakota.
The
increase in average
temperature between the nineteenth and twentieth centuries exceeded the
temperature difference between all other consecutive centuries
in each region, except Antarctica and South America.»
Instead of this evidence showing that there is no UHI
increase in the main
temperature indices, an alternative explanation for the empirical evidence is that, for whatever reason, actual urban changes do not result
in a material
difference in trend for calm Tmin than for windy Tmin.
Ultimately, if you start the gas
in any hydrodynamically stable initial state with a thermal gradient, a constant, it is absolutely trivial to show that entropy will strictly
increase as heat is conducted between adjacent layers of the gas to reduce their
temperature difference.
In terms of ten millions of year, the earth oceans have had 10 C increase or difference in ocean temperatur
In terms of ten millions of year, the earth oceans have had 10 C
increase or
difference in ocean temperatur
in ocean
temperature.
I understand the
difference between «
temperature» and «heat», but aren't we talking about global «warming» (i.e. an
increase in temperature) as opposed to global «delta - heat»?
One of expected consequences of the global warming is an
increase in the
temperature difference between the Tropics and the Polar Regions at altitudes of about 5 - 15 kilometres.
This is because at night, when the surface is cooler and not being bombarded by solar energy, the
increased amount of greenhouse gases are able to make more of a
difference in the surface
temperature.
But
in any case the
difference between constant pressure and constant volume is only a factor of 7/5
in the case of air, whereas latent heat
increases PV about five times as fast as vapor loss contracts it at any realistic
temperature.
Differences in the amount of maximum
temperature increase ranges from 1.29 °C to 2.92 °C, but why?
By examining past ice shelf collapse and projecting the next century of
temperature change onto current ice shelves, Trusel and his fellow researchers found a huge
difference between a business - as - usual fossil fuel emission scenario,
in which ice melt may
increase eight-fold, and a scenario where emissions are stabilized relatively rapidly and ice melt remains relatively linear.
fine, as long as you can resolve the problems outlined aabove with the values taken from biology and the problem of the
difference in temperature values from a black box at 235
increasing to 470w / m2 with no additional radiation input - along with quite a number of problems associated with its application rather than just censoring them.
The research, detailed Monday
in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, lays bare how even seemingly small
increases in average
temperatures can make a big
difference to the extreme weather that people experience.
See, the first thing to do is do determine what the
temperature trend during the recent thermometer period (1850 — 2011) actually is, and what patterns or trends represent «data»
in those trends (what the earth's
temperature / climate really was during this period), and what represents random «noise» (day - to - day, year - to - random changes
in the «weather» that do NOT represent «climate change»), and what represents experimental error
in the plots (UHI
increases in the
temperatures, thermometer loss and loss of USSR data, «metadata» «M» (minus) records getting skipped that inflate winter
temperatures,
differences in sea records from different measuring techniques, sea records vice land records, extrapolated land records over hundreds of km, surface
temperature errors from lousy stations and lousy maintenance of surface records and stations, false and malicious time - of - observation bias changes
in the information.)
As P.r ² / R ² < P follows that: a) the shell has a lower
temperature than the inner sphere b) the shell and the inner sphere are not
in thermal equilibrium (e.g there is a net flux going from the inner sphere to the shell) c) The
difference of
temperature between the shell and the inner sphere (so the net flux)
increases as R
increases..
For example, one year there was a
difference of 0.4 °C between their global annual averages, which doesn't sound like much, but consider this against the claim that a 0.7 °C
increase in temperature over the last approximately 130 years.
Namely, if the
temperature of the air is
increasing by 0.0163 K each year due to the
increase of the CO2 content
in the air (which corresponds to the addition of 0.062 W / m ^ 2 per year to the back radiation) then the
difference between the water
temperature 5 cm down and the
temperature of the surface skin layer will reduce by 0.002 K / (W / m ^ 2) * 0.062 W / m ^ 2 = 0.000124 K if the
increase of CO2 content
in air is continued at the present rate.
The
temperature curve
in Fig. 1 does have a net
increase from 1880 to 2014, but if we are free to choose both the start date and the interval, wide ranges of slopes and
differences are possible so any comparison with climate models becomes rather subjective.
This would mean that
in the Minnett experiment, the absolute SST would drop but the relative
temperatures between the SST and the 5 cm depth may well
increase for a time because the amount radiated by the ocean must decrease (due to the
increased DLR making up the
difference) and so convection will tend to
increase the 5 cm warmth.