«The fact that there is a distribution of future climate changes arises not only because of incomplete understanding of the climate system (e.g. the unknown value of the climate sensitivity,
different climate model responses, etc.), but also because of the inherent unpredictability of climate (e.g. unknowable future climate forcings and regional differences in the climate system response to a given forcing because of chaos).
Not exact matches
Moreover, similar answers were found in
different climate models, suggesting that this is a very simple way of ascertaining some of the mechanisms that can explain
climate system
response to
climate change.
«A deeper look at the differences between the
different land surface and Earth system
models may help better constrain the
response of mid-latitude ecosystems to
climate variability.»
Full - complexity Earth system
models (ESMs) produce spatial and temporal detail, but an ensemble of ESMs are computationally costly and do not generate probability distributions; instead, they yield ranges of
different modeling groups» semi-independent «best estimates» of
climate responses.
The recent paper by Kate Marvel and others (including me) in Nature
Climate Change looks at the different forcings and their climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modeling
Climate Change looks at the
different forcings and their
climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous modeling
climate responses over the historical period in more detail than any previous
modeling study.
Some of them are optimal fingerprint detection studies (estimating the magnitude of fingerprints for
different external forcing factors in observations, and determining how likely such patterns could have occurred in observations by chance, and how likely they could be confused with
climate response to other influences, using a statistically optimal metric), some of them use simpler methods, such as comparisons between data and
climate model simulations with and without greenhouse gas increases / anthropogenic forcing, and some are even based only on observations.
It is also robust to the use of
different climate models,
different methods for estimating the
responses to external forcing and variations in the analysis technique.
Attribution analyses normally directly account for errors in the magnitude of the
model's pattern of
response to
different forcings by the inclusion of factors that scale the
model responses up or down to best match observed
climate changes.
The
climate fingerprints in
response to
different forcing factors are typically estimated with computer
models, which can be used to perform the controlled experiments that we can not conduct in the real world.
Coupled simulations, using six
different models to determine the ocean biological
response to
climate warming between the beginning of the industrial revolution and 2050 (Sarmiento et al., 2004), showed global increases in primary production of 0.7 to 8.1 %, but with large regional differences, which are described in Chapter 4.
In particular, two commonly used methods for converting cumulus condensate into precipitation can lead to drastically
different climate sensitivity, as estimated here with an atmosphere — land
model by increasing sea surface temperatures uniformly and examining the
response in the top - of - atmosphere energy balance.
An estimate of the forced
response in global mean surface temperature, from simulations of the 20th century with a global
climate model, GFDL's CM2.1, (red) and the fit to this evolution with the simplest one - box
model (black), for two
different relaxation times.
Here, we introduce the Precipitation Driver and
Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP), where a set of idealized experiments designed to understand the role of
different climate forcing mechanisms were performed by a large set of
climate models.
When imposing such orbital variations,
climate models suggest
different global - mean temperature
responses.
[~ 17
model years](Motivation: Variation in the
climate response across
models will be a function of (a)
different climate sensitivity in the GCMs, (b)
different impact of aerosols on
climate (due to location with respect to clouds, water uptake, natural aerosols, mixing, etc), and (c)
different 3D constituent fields from the composition
models.
To cover this vast amount of ground, it discusses, at a high level, subjects ranging from observations of various parts of the
climate system and
climate modelling to the limits of economic assessments, the
different pathways of greenhouse gas emissions considered, adaptation
response strategies and methods of mitigation that include everything from from taxing greenhouse gas emissions to removing carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere.
To better assess confidence in the
different model estimates of
climate sensitivity, two kinds of observational tests are available: tests related to the global
climate response associated with specified external forcings (discussed in Chapters 6, 9 and 10; Box 10.2) and tests focused on the simulation of key feedback processes.
They then used 34
different climate models to identify how the winds, and flight times, might have responded to
climate variation, and how the
response might continue.
Researchers investigated the
response of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) to the rise of atmospheric CO2 in the NCAR
Climate System
Model version 3, with the focus on the
different responses under modern and glacial periods.
They are intended to be scenario simulations, illustrating the
response of the
climate system to a range of
different emission scenarios, with all other factors (like volcanoes, solar, landcover) remaining the same (although some
models are starting to put in interactive vegetation).