Sentences with phrase «different forcing scenarios»

They respond in similar ways once the different forcing scenarios start to apply, but I presume they are all being forced with historical data from 1850 to now in their «spin ups» — there must be a lot of differences in how the models treat the present state?
Additionally they will estimate the likelihood of these changes occurring given different forcing scenarios and how sensitive estimates of these changes are to the way each model is formulated.

Not exact matches

The benefit is that it forces you to consider many different scenarios and decide up front how you're going to handle them.
The scenario contemplated then is very different from the situation that has emerged, and the language used, at least by the UK, does not hint at a use of force on the basis of national interest.
@DrunkCynic - Sure it does (since there is a follow - up to the title that is quite different)- «is there a scenario where the President gets forced out in a way that prevents the Vice President from succeeding him or her?»
A study released last month in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres used three different models to run the same SSCE scenario in which sea - salt engineering was used in the low - latitude oceans to keep top - of - atmosphere radiative forcing at the 2020 level for 50 years and was then abruptly turned off for 20 years.
Half the respondents were asked to check off whether the emotional or sexual aspect of infidelity was the most upsetting to them in four different infidelity scenarios — a so - called «forced choice» paradigm.
The bill makes funding recommendations based on two different budget scenarios — an «aspirational» level where the caps set by the 2011 Budget Control Act (BCA) are removed and a «constrained» level where the caps remain in force.
Once the driving force behind change at PIG was identified, future predictions could be made using different ocean condition scenarios, and the likelihood of significant retreat can be identified.
Note that the old GISS model had a climate sensitivity that was a little higher (4.2 ºC for a doubling of CO2) than the best estimate (~ 3ºC) and as stated in previous years, the actual forcings that occurred are not the same as those used in the different scenarios.
Finally, due to the mechanistic nature of the climate forcing models, we project historical and future nesting trajectories based on available climate data and under different climate change scenarios.
Methods: To understand the effects of economic forces from climate policy on terrestrial carbon and land use changes, the researchers used the MiniCAM, an integrated assessment model developed by the PNNL team over the last two decades, to compare different scenarios.
This isn't just training the physiology of the athlete - a lot of the benefit here comes from forcing the athlete to learn how to adapt to different work / rest scenarios and understand what they're capable of in varied situations.
Some people would call it prostitution — although I think when a woman has a real choice about whether or not she wants to do something like that — when she's not forced into it by some abusive pimp — it becomes a very different scenario.
It's a room - escape game; you choose your room, each has a different scenario, and you get an hour to work with your teammates to defeat a mysterious evil force, travel back to Ancient China and find a hidden treasure, or work with an immortal alchemist to discover a vast and ancient power.
Scenarios A, B, and C are the same model, but with different forcings (different greenhouse gas emissions forecasts).
The different scenarios have net radiative forcing in 2010 (with respect to 1984) of 1.6 W / m2, 1.2 W / m2 and 0.5 W / m2 — compared to ~ 1.1 W / m2 in the observed forcing since then.
In a paper published soon after that testimony, Hansen et al, 1988 presented three model simulations for different scenarios for the growth in trace gases and other forcings (see figure).
If you want uncertainty due to the forcings, then take the span of Scenario A to C, if you want the uncertainty due to the climate model, you need to compare different climate models which is a little beyond this post — but look at IPCC AR4 to get an idea.
First, the Clarke et al. (2007) scenario considered a slightly different definition of radiative forcing than RCP4.5.
Contributions of the different greenhouse gases to total radiative forcing in the RCP4.5 scenario
Inverse modeling using Kaya's identity could identify the number of different pathways among the various combinations of possible input variables that could result in a specific radiative forcing scenario (say + / - 10 %).
The term «projection», of course, is just another word for a «prediction» when specified forcings are prescribed; e.g. such as different CO2 emission scenarios - see Pielke (2002).
These new sea ice proxy records are needed (1) to fully prove the scenarios of a succession from an extended ice shelf to polynya / open - water conditions (cf., Fig. 6), (2) to reconstruct in more detail the changes in sea ice cover for early, middle and late LIG intervals characterized by very different external forcings and related internal feedback mechanisms, and (3) to allow a more fundamental proxy data / modeling comparison that results in model improvements and better reproduction of the LIG climatic evolution and prediction of future climatic scenarios20, 21,22,23, 64.
Representative Concentration Pathways, are referred to as pathways in order to emphasize that they are not definitive scenarios, but rather internally consistent sets of time - dependent forcing projections that could potentially be realized with more than one underlying socioeconomic scenario... They are representative in that they are one of several different scenarios, sampling the full range of published scenarios (including mitigation scenarios) at the time they were defined, that have similar RF and emissions characteristics.
The red and magenta lines show the forcing from anthropogenic greenhouse gases for the two different emission scenarios.
Figure 2: Global mean temperature anomalies 1900 to 2100 relative to the period 1961 to 1990 for the A1B (red lines) and A2 (magenta lines) scenarios and for three different solar forcings corresponding to a typical 11 - year cycle (solid line) and to a new Grand Minimum with solar irradiance corresponding to recent reconstructions of Maunder - minimum irradiance (dashed line) and a lower irradiance (dotted line), respectively.
In the case of the CMIP5 models, Weaver et al. (2012) showed that the behavior of the AMOC was similar over the 21st century under four very different radiative forcing scenarios (RCP 2.6; RCP4.5; RCP 6.0; RCP8.5 — these Representative Concentration Pathways [RCPs] are detailed in Moss et al., 2010).
Each simulation was subject to an identical scenario of historical «radiative forcing» (effectively an identical scenario of atmospheric carbon dioxide increase over the period) but each was started from a very slightly different atmospheric state — that is, with an almost infinitesimal difference in the initial value of global temperature.
Then you have a transient run started from the end of that spin - up point with historical forcings up to nearly present - day, and various different scenario forcings up to 2100.
I will explore the potential for distinguishing among different radiative forcing scenarios via their impact on regional climate changes, illustrated by a particular case study.
Future assessments of possible climate change need to account for these different spatial and temporal dynamics of GHG and SO2 emissions, and they need to cover the whole range of radiative forcing associated with the scenarios.
Depending on the forcing scenario in the future, such models would generally give very different projections from one that had all those factors correct.»
This categorization can guide comparisons using either scenarios with different driving forces yet similar emissions, or scenarios with similar driving forces but different emissions.
Presumably, adverse impacts and effective adaptation measures would vary among the scenarios from different families that share similar cumulative emissions but have different demographic, socio - economic and technological driving forces.
That alarm — a piercing, shrieking banshee — does its job admirably and can be set to trip based on different scenarios, such as if someone tries to force the lock or if the door is rammed.
The benefit is that it forces you to consider many different scenarios and decide up front how you're going to handle them.
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