We were able to expose [our teachers] to
different observation models, the purposes behind them, and we were able to gauge (through feedback) the preferred methods that teachers here had.
The CCRP model really builds on this and was borne out of the school collaboratively looking at
different observation models with staff.
The CCRP model was really borne out of exploring
different observation models and AITSL's Classroom Practice interactive was particularly helpful with this process.
Not exact matches
The search for such
models linking two sciences having quite
different observation terms would not be encouraged by the fictionalist position.
«Radio
observations point to likely explanation for neutron - star merger phenomena: Data distinguish between
different theoretical
models.»
Combining
observations from satellites and ground stations with climate
models, they evaluated
different factors that affect telescope vision, such as the amount of water vapour, wind speeds and atmospheric turbulence.
The problem is there are dark matter, dark energy, inflation, and there are so many sets of
different observations pointing to the same new stuff, so it's very difficult, I mean, people try to come up with alternative
models, but there is always
observations which constrain them.
Mitchell's current analysis covered studies involving a
different mouse
model that did allow for the
observation of p - tau.
Using many
different types of analysis, they found that their
model closely matched the satellite
observations.
Faced with such ignorance of the nature of dark matter, astronomers try inputting
different models of the dark matter into the simulations and see if the results match the
observations.
Researchers looked at
different ways Enceladus could be generating the heat to maintain the liquid ocean, producing
models to find one that fits with Cassini
observations.
To account for changes in
observation times, the RSS group used a number of
different approaches and
models to try and estimate what the temperature would have been if the measurement time remained constant.
This involves a combination of satellite
observations (when
different satellites captured temperatures in both morning and evening), the use of climate
models to estimate how temperatures change in the atmosphere over the course of the day, and using reanalysis data that incorporates readings from surface
observations, weather balloons and other instruments.
The factors and caveats that impact all of these
different recorders are also widely available in the literature, and more recently isotope - enabled general circulation
models have become more widely used in sync with
observations (e.g., see Gavin Schmidt and others 2007 paper)
Explanations are provided that enable to understand how
observations of planetary movements provide evidence for the
different models of the solar system.
Information is not the same as data, and we know that
observations and
models often represent
different things.
The magnitude it actually had actually risen, how
different these temperatures were from the 1940s, the conflict between
model prediction / theory and
observation, etc, were the issues the satellite data raised.
[Response: Uncertainty in the
observations is very
different from the uncertainty due to possible weather variations that might have happened but didn't (the dominant term in the near - future
model spread).
In the global mean, there isn't much of an issue for the mid-troposphere — the
models and data track each other when you expect they would (the long term trends or after volcanoes, and don't where you expect them not to, such as during La Niña / El Niño events which occur at
different times in
models and
observations).
There are basically two key points (explored in more depth here)-- comparisons should be «like with like», and
different sources of uncertainty should be clear, whether uncertainties are related to «weather» and / or structural uncertainty in either the
observations or the
models.
There is a «
model» which has a certain sensitivity to 2xCO2 (that is either explicitly set in the formulation or emergent), and
observations to which it can be compared (in various experimental setups) and, if the data are relevant,
models with
different sensitivities can be judged more or less realistic (or explicitly fit to the data).
Some of them are optimal fingerprint detection studies (estimating the magnitude of fingerprints for
different external forcing factors in
observations, and determining how likely such patterns could have occurred in
observations by chance, and how likely they could be confused with climate response to other influences, using a statistically optimal metric), some of them use simpler methods, such as comparisons between data and climate
model simulations with and without greenhouse gas increases / anthropogenic forcing, and some are even based only on
observations.
And are those predictions in
different cases then tested against
observations again and again to either validate those
models or generate ideas for potential improvements?
So the question is, what range of predictions can we get out of climate
models by tweaking them in
different ways so that they still match
observations.
Many
different models have now demonstrated that our understanding of current forcings, long - term
observations of the land surface and ocean temperature changes and the canonical estimates of climate forcing are all consistent within the uncertainties.
We know for instance that the temporal / spatial variability in these in - filled regions is
different to where there are
observations, which need to be thought about when comparing with
model variability.
As has been noted by others, this is comparing
model temperatures after 2020 to an
observation - based temperature in 2015, and of course the latter is lower — partly because it is based on HadCRUT4 data as discussed above, but equally so because of comparing
different points in time.
All in all the science of hurricanes does appear to be much more fun and interesting than the average climate change issue, as there is a debate, a «fight» between
different hypothesis, predictions compared to near - future
observations, and all that does not always get pre-eminence in the exchanges about
models.
This could have a number of
different reasons, and the discrepancy could be considered not significant given the error ranges of
observations and
models.
The factors and caveats that impact all of these
different recorders are also widely available in the literature, and more recently isotope - enabled general circulation
models have become more widely used in sync with
observations (e.g., see Gavin Schmidt and others 2007 paper)
A series of sensitivity tests show that our detection results are robust to observational data coverage change, interpolation methods, influence of natural climate variability on
observations, and
different model sampling (see Supplementary Information).
According to that chart of actual satellite and surface temperature
observations vs. what was predicted by 90
different climate
models, 95 percent of
models overestimated... C3: Climate
Model — Charts / Graphs C3 Headlines» climate - model - chartsg
Model — Charts / Graphs C3 Headlines» climate -
model - chartsg
model - chartsgraphs
Three
different ozone databases provide regression fits to the ozone
observations, and are available for use in
model studies of the influence of ozone changes on stratospheric and tropospheric temperatures.
One could take the outcomes of
different starting conditions, or use of
different model parameters, and compare them against
observations.
«Using all these
different observations that have been collected over time, it pretty much verifies the trend that we have from the
model for the past 13 years, though our estimate of thinning compared to previous decades may have been a little slow,» co-researcher Axel Schweiger added.
In this study we examine the impact of SAL effects on ocean mass redistribution under
different surface loads (land hydrology, atmospheric pressure, ocean dynamics), using a number of geophysical
models and GRACE
observations.
They are convinced by a «consilience of evidence» (Oreske's phrase) that includes the
model's relation to theory and physical understanding of the processes involved, consistency of the simulated responses among
different models and
different model versions, and the ability of the
model and
model components to simulate historical
observations.
Based on our assumptions of observational values, we conclude the AR4
model - mean or — best estimate ‖ of the SR (1.38 ± 0.08) is significantly
different from the SRs determined by
observations as described above.
Climate projections have been remarkably difficult to constrain by comparing the simulated climatological state from
different models with
observations, in particular for small ensembles with structurally
different models.
The AR4 spaghetti graph shows the average of runs within a
model for 21
models (A1B) and
observations fall outside the range shown in Figure 10.5 A1B, giving a much
different impression than that of the re-stated Figure 1.4.
Another point: — it's clear that an individual
models separate runs can generate many
different potential futures, so that you wouldn't necessarily expect the mean to match the actual mean of the individual future of the
observations if the variance of the simulations was wide.
How hard would it be to just collect source code for the various
models, and test them against
different input parameters, as well as newer
observations, and see which physics is likely to be more realistic?
-- the idea that the
different models are drawn from some «
model population» with a large variance that covers the
observation is really hard to swallow.
Agreement between
observations and
model simulations of Sun» $» Earth system variability differs markedly among
different regimes.
For the 2009 SEARCH Sea Ice Outlook, regional perspectives on ice evolution during the summer had been solicited, both to synthesize relevant field
observations and
modeling activities and to encourage communication between
different sea ice experts and user groups.
The goal of the Sea Ice Outlook effort is to synthesize and integrate
different observation and
modeling efforts and to provide a broad - based assessment of arctic sea ice change.
And
different models may project
different outcomes even under the same assumptions, due to the variety of «equally plausible numerical representations, solutions and approximations for
modelling the climate system, given the limitations in computing and
observations» [AR5, FAQ 12.1, p. 1036].
Within the Outlook project, there may be differences in how each group obtains their area (e.g.,
model grid cells of varying resolution, sea ice charts, and satellite
observations); each of these could produce a
different value for ice extent.
Structural uncertainty is attenuated when convergent results are obtained from a variety of
different models using
different methods, and also when results rely more on direct
observations (data) rather than on calculations.
The IPCC report acknowledges the scientific debate that continues over the issue of climate sensitivity and the
different results between
models and analysis based on
observations.