After pulling 33 percent in the Democratic primary against a sitting governor just two years ago, Teachout seems a good bet to get the House nomination now — and a real threat to win even a Republican - leaning
district in a presidential election year.
Not exact matches
They will represent
districts Democrats carried with big margins
in presidential election years — seats the newly minted Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Ben Ray Luján will probably want back.
But until polls are released suggesting otherwise, there's no reason to think Gipson will enjoy the turnout edge that Democrats typically benefit from
in presidential election years: The
district contains parts of Dutchess and Putnam counties, both of which went to Bernie Sanders
in the Democratic primary and overwhelmingly to Donald Trump
in the GOP's contest.
The constituency, which was previously under the West Akim
district, has over the
years voted massively for the governing National Democratic Congress NDC
in both parliamentary and
presidential elections.
Kingson said he likes the chances for a Democrat to recapture the 24th
District in 2016, a
presidential election year that is likely to have former U.S. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, D - N.Y., at the top of the Democratic ticket.
The Hudson Valley Senate
district has long been eyed by Democrats as a possible pickup opportunity, especially given the
presidential election year in which down - ballot Democratic candidates tend to do better.
(c) False information
in registering or voting; penalties Whoever knowingly or willfully gives false information as to his name, address or period of residence
in the voting
district for the purpose of establishing his eligibility to register or vote, or conspires with another individual for the purpose of encouraging his false registration to vote or illegal voting, or pays or offers to pay or accepts payment either for registration to vote or for voting shall be fined not more than $ 10,000 or imprisoned not more than five years, or both: Provided, however, That this provision shall be applicable only to general, special, or primary elections held solely or in part for the purpose of selecting or electing any candidate for the office of President, Vice President, presidential elector, Member of the United States Senate, Member of the United States House of Representatives, Delegate from the District of Columbia, Guam, or the Virgin Islands, or Resident Commissioner of the Commonwealth of Puer
district for the purpose of establishing his eligibility to register or vote, or conspires with another individual for the purpose of encouraging his false registration to vote or illegal voting, or pays or offers to pay or accepts payment either for registration to vote or for voting shall be fined not more than $ 10,000 or imprisoned not more than five
years, or both: Provided, however, That this provision shall be applicable only to general, special, or primary
elections held solely or
in part for the purpose of selecting or electing any candidate for the office of President, Vice President,
presidential elector, Member of the United States Senate, Member of the United States House of Representatives, Delegate from the
District of Columbia, Guam, or the Virgin Islands, or Resident Commissioner of the Commonwealth of Puer
District of Columbia, Guam, or the Virgin Islands, or Resident Commissioner of the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico.
But between the new
district lines and the Democratic enrollment edge
in a
presidential election year, the Republicans are probably going to need every penny to assist members
in tough general
election battles, and perhaps
in trying to help non-incumbents like Bob Cohen, who's making his second attempt at winning retiring Democratic Sen. Suzi Oppenheimer's seat.
Dadey said he wants a strong Republican candidate with the ability to hold the seat
in a
presidential election year, which favors Democrats and their small enrollment advantage
in the
district.
The 13th CD spans two assembly
districts where Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump 5 to 1 (80AD) and 3 - 1 (82AD)
in last
year's
presidential election.
But Democrats outnumber Republicans by 63,000
in the
district, an enrollment advantage that could be difficult to assail
in a
presidential election year that will boost turnout dramatically.
The Independence Party
in the past two
elections has meant about 4,900 votes
in the First
District — less than 2 percent of the vote
in a
presidential year.
But Democrats
in the Senate typically make gains
in a
presidential election years, and they are playing offense
in districts on Long Island and
in the Hudson Valley (Republicans want to flip a western New York seat as well as a
district in Westchester County).
Hannon is running for re-
election in a Nassau County Senate
district Democrats have long coveted, especially
in presidential election years when his margins of victory are often smaller than
in non-
presidential cycles.
A swing
district more beneficial to Democrats
in presidential years, it could buoy Ms. Teachout with a large Democratic turnout for the
presidential election this November.
While the 1st Congressional
District has traditionally been flipped
in mid-term
election years, the current political climate makes it difficult to predict whether it could turn Democrat again without the boost
in voter turnout typically seen
in a
presidential election year, when the party benefits from increased participation by minority and female voters.
Since the 1952
election, the 1st
District seat has flipped just three times
in a
presidential year, but each time it turned over
in favor of the party that won the presidency.
Katko is also the first Republican to win the 24th
District seat
in a
presidential election year since 2004, when Walsh won his ninth term.
«But heading into a
presidential election year in his
district — which has flipped back and forth between the two parties
in the 2010 and 2014 GOP waves — the seat is prime for a flip again this cycle,» Rothenberg and Gonzales wrote.
Two
years later, the GOP's Mitt Romney carried the
district by 4 points
in the
presidential election.
«Nothing that happens on Tuesday is a reflection of what's likely to happen a
year from now
in a
presidential election year, high turnout
year, when there are real campaigns going on across the state
in a variety of
districts between the Democrats and Republicans for control of the Senate.
The group points to President Barack Obama's performance
in the 24th Congressional
District — he won the district in 2012 with 57 percent of the vote — as they make the case that Katko can be defeated in 2016, a presidential electi
District — he won the
district in 2012 with 57 percent of the vote — as they make the case that Katko can be defeated in 2016, a presidential electi
district in 2012 with 57 percent of the vote — as they make the case that Katko can be defeated
in 2016, a
presidential election year.
The 24th
District race wouldn't be a close contest if the same people who voted
in the
presidential election in 2012 voted this
year, Clinton said.
In the 2010 general election, not a presidential year, just 10,117 people — 1 - in - 5 registered voters in Assembly District 34 — selected DenDekker's name at the poll
In the 2010 general
election, not a
presidential year, just 10,117 people — 1 -
in - 5 registered voters in Assembly District 34 — selected DenDekker's name at the poll
in - 5 registered voters
in Assembly District 34 — selected DenDekker's name at the poll
in Assembly
District 34 — selected DenDekker's name at the polls.