I wouldn't give people like Nic Lewis an inch, as they clearly do not know how to
do climate analysis.
Not exact matches
Also, while Planet Labs can beat older competitors on price, those expensive features
do matter, said David Friedberg, chief executive of
Climate, an agricultural data
analysis firm owned by Monsanto.
Despite that risk, current
climate models
do not include the risk of emissions from thawing permafrost, the UNEP
analysis warned.
An
analysis by New Scientist finds scant evidence of data abuse, but
does show persistent efforts to suppress work by
climate sceptics.
According to McFadden, not only
does this
analysis demonstrate that wintertime
climate can be important for northern cities, it also shows the effects in terms of flood risks.
David Fahey, an atmospheric scientist at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in Boulder, Colorado, said that the researchers will need to
do additional
analyses to reduce the «significant uncertainties associated with the role of black carbon in the
climate.»
(Carbin
did a basic
analysis using data that is independent of the tornado reports used in the study and found a signal «that would suggest that their findings are valid,» he told
Climate Central.)
Moreover, their results were nonsynchronous: «Their
analysis doesn't consider whether the warm / cold periods occurred at the same time,» says Peter Stott, a
climate scientist at the U.K.'s Hadley Center for Climate Prediction and Research in Bra
climate scientist at the U.K.'s Hadley Center for
Climate Prediction and Research in Bra
Climate Prediction and Research in Bracknell.
On the other hand, statistical
analysis of the past century's hurricanes and computer modeling of a warmer
climate, nudged along by greenhouse gases,
does indicate that rising ocean temperatures could fuel hurricanes that are more intense.
Analysis of the data shows that biodiversity
does indeed increase the resistance of grassland primary productivity for a broad range of
climate events, whether wet or dry, moderate or extreme, and brief or prolonged.
According to an
analysis done by the council that accompanied the new plan, the carbon tax - and - dividend system would «allow the United States to meet the upper end of its 2025 Paris commitment,» meaning it would achieve the goal of a 28 percent emissions reduction that the U.S. promised under the major international Paris
climate agreement.
One challenge with storms in Germany is that
climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two
do a much better job, meaning that attribution
analyses on such events should become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.
Moreover, our
analysis does not depend on large, complex global
climate models, the huge computer programs that are notorious for their hidden assumptions and adjustable parameters.
That didn't sit well with Andrew Jones, co-director of
Climate Interactive, a prominent climate analysis
Climate Interactive, a prominent
climate analysis
climate analysis group.
The
climate models aren't really good enough in their representation of present - day circulation to give you much confidence in the specifics of their predictions [so that you could use them to
do a cost - benefit
analysis for example], but the risk of widespread change is still there.
The complexity of the new study «had a big impact on how certain we were» that «we would be able to
do a sensible
analysis,» said Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, a Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
climate scientist who was involved with this and prior rapid attribution studies.
These
analyses, whilst not disproving the anthropogenic global warming theory,
do show that the
climate we are in today is not unusual in recent history, and therefore the possibility of natural variability causing the warming can not be ruled out, as it seemingly has been by many «independent» scientists, and the IPCC.
Currently available data
do not allow a comprehensive
analysis of the likely impact of
climate change on all commercially significant insect pests.
Most
climate analyses do not account for changes in land cover with climatic trends.
In general,
climate predictions are «best case»
analyses because
climate scientists (actually all scientists)
do not include things that they are not sure about.
While the Strengthening Forensic Science panel included two statisticians, the National Academies» America's
Climate Choices panels
did not include a single statistician, despite the many data, data
analysis, uncertainty, and decisionmaking issues.
Frigid weather like the two - week cold spell that began around Christmas is 15 times rarer than it was a century ago, according to a team of international scientists who
does real - time
analyses to see if extreme weather events are natural or more likely to happen because of
climate change.
Now that the work has been
done to combine these airborne measurements, Schroeder said he plans to expand this type
analysis to other glaciers, a move that could improve scientists» understanding of the hidden ways
climate change is affecting ice.
We Completed Our First Student Voice Audit In 2015, Involving Student - Facilitated Roundtables, Surveys, And
Analysis To Give Students And Staff A Better Understanding Of Their School's
Climate And What They Can
Do To Make It Better.
Now, clouds
do not make heat exchange imponderable, especially in long term trends of
climate analysis, the averages due to what we already know about dynamic equilibrium outcomes and what we observe in the feedbacks going back even greater then 30 years.
I think that short commentaries like this on recent
climate science papers and reports that are «in the news» are very valuable to your readers, and hopefully don't take as much time and effort as the longer, in - depth
analyses of studies that you
do so well.
Similarly,
climate deniers don't limit their complaints to errors in
analysis.
In fact, the more I think about it, the more I think that
doing the basic
analysis is so easy that it ought to be required of anyone who wants to be taken seriously in a discussion of
climate in which math, data, and science are involved.
In the MM07 case, it is very difficult for someone coming from the
climate side to test the robustness of their
analysis to updates in economic data and so that wasn't
done.
I think we need Tamino to
do a statistical
analysis of how quickly Judith Curry has a new post on her blog, after Gavin and company
do a take down of something she has just written on there, compared with how often she posts on her blog generally... Judging by the comments on both her blog and Real
Climate, it appears she had a new post up only three hours after Gavin posted his take down of her!
Even as far more effort is put into improving
analysis of the
climate system, monitoring changes, and forecasting what is to come, the country must also work to build the intellectual capacity not only to
do the science but to have such information meaningfully incorporated in policies at scales down to the town manager.
A full systems
analysis of this, the ultimate wicked problem, is what we should be
doing, instead of focusing solely on
climate change.
You please look in to WMO (1966) mannual on «
climate change» for the types
analysis used to separate trend from cyclic variations which I
did since early 1970s.
And his citing of the «WMO mannual on «
climate change» for the types
analysis used to separate trend from cyclic variations which I
did since early 1970s» is not what he was citing it for in his December 2013 posting on Wattsupia.
With regard to the economic cost - benefit
analyses of global warming, or of a
climate treaty to brake it, it should be pointed out that economists must ignore the alternate new pathways that the economy will doubtless take under the vibrancy of capitalism, because these
do not presently exist.
Finally, Montford asks the question as to why the scientists and the IPCC promoted the hockey stick at such a high confidence level so prematurely, and why such extraordinary efforts were made to defend it when it arguably isn't a critical piece of the
climate puzzle, rather than to learn from outside statisticians and
do a credible error
analysis on the data and the inferences.
Their
analyses showing CO2 doesn't affect
climate (* snork *... erm... sorry)?
It starts with... «A spike in the amount of carbon dioxide released into the atmosphere between 2001 and 2003 appears to be a temporary phenomenon and apparently
does not indicate a quickening build - up of the gas in the atmosphere, according to an
analysis by NOAA
climate experts.»
There is a huge need to
do «applied»
climate change ethics as most ethical
analysis in the academy on environmental issues has not engaged policy - makers or the general public.
She said that the
analysis she and co-authors
did for a paper on «irreversible
climate change» helped lead her, as a non-expert citizen when considering energy technology, to conclude that such research is vital, even as efforts are made to find successors to fossil fuels.
Climate science
does not provide the values and economic
analysis to determine how much or whether to cut CO2 emissions.
This post is, like the majority of posts on RealClimate, not about «views what should be
done», but
analysis of how the planetary
climate system works and what consequences we can expect from our collective actions.
[Response: That «modeller» is me (I don't like that label, as I've
done sea - going measurements and published papers on data
analysis and theory — my topic is
climate, and models are just one tool for its investigation).
I'm seeing the work and
analysis being
done now with various «natural» carbon sequestration options similar to where
climate science was at in the 1990s.
I can't
do more at the moment because I'm tied up this week visiting the Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis near (roasting) Vienna, one of the world's top hubs assessing economic, population and
climate trends, as well as energy and resource demands.
Relevant — Don't Count on Long - Term Success in
Climate Policy, Warns Paper in Decision Analysis Journal (``... consideration of path dependence in the context of climate policy justifies greater near - term emissions reductions in what amounts to a hedging strategy.&
Climate Policy, Warns Paper in Decision
Analysis Journal (``... consideration of path dependence in the context of
climate policy justifies greater near - term emissions reductions in what amounts to a hedging strategy.&
climate policy justifies greater near - term emissions reductions in what amounts to a hedging strategy.»)
It comes from the 2009 survey for the Six Americas
analysis of
climate attitudes (the survey was
done in the fall of 2008):
But we
do hope that when it
does, this
analysis will provide a foundation for a more thoughtful discussion about what
climate scientists were and were not saying back in the 1970s.
Instead, we
did an extensive parallel set of sensitivity
analyses using an EBM w / different estimates of the forcings, different
climate sensitivities, etc. and showed that our key conclusions are quite robust.
An important point with reanalyses, is that the model used doesn't change over the time spanned by the
analysis, but reanalyses are generally used with caution for
climate change studies because the number and type of observations being fed into the computer model changes over time.