This deleveraging will act to affect the stock market in the exact opposite manner as the leveraging
did in the bull market.
And if
you did it in a bull market, you lost very little relative to an all - stock portfolio, and you got to sleep for the whole period.
So, what is the best thing to
do in a bull market?
You don't need to
do that in bull market, because valuations go above average, so you can just buy and hold.
Not exact matches
«If you line up the previous El Niño outlier of 1998 with this March 2016 El Niño (as we might
do in lining up
bull market highs) it gives an idea of when 2 degrees Celsius might first be broached
in a future El Niño effect: just 17 years!»
What to me is remarkable is that all we've
done, almost
in this entire
bull market, is bounce back and forth between panic and relief.
«This
does need to go back down (maybe not go quite as low as it was
in February) to say the
bulls are back, we're oversold enough to get that good rally
in the
market.»
Still, despite a flight to shiny metals, a bear
market in stocks
does not make a
bull market in gold, he said.
Archard doesn't think we're
in a
bull run, but he
does say that at this point the
market is «a pretty fast cow.»
Despite a flight to shiny metals, a bear
market in stocks
does not make a
bull market in gold, said a widely - followed
market timer.
If you are new to stock trading, you must know that
bull markets do not trend
in a straight line (the same is true of bear
markets).
Peter Boockvar,
market strategist at The Lindsey Group, said he
does believe the
bull market peaked
in May, and the
market is heading into a bear
market.
I
do agree with you that
bull markets produce many more «investing experts» because
in a
bull market everybody wins.
The wealthy own most of the assets
in the world which is why most people don't feel the same amount of satisfaction
in a
bull market.
In a raging
bull market, you can
do pretty well by simply buying nearly any stock that breaks out to new highs on strong volume.
You can see that the 75/25 outperformed
in the 1950s and 1960s when rates rose (although the enormous
bull market in stocks
did much of the heavy lifting
in the 50s).
What it really
did was prevent people from embracing one of the best cyclical
bull markets of our lifetime —
in both stocks and bonds.
Guy Wolf, an analyst with Marex Spectron Group, told Bloomberg that he doesn't «see anything» to make him doubt the firm's belief that metals «are now
in a
bull market.»
B / c we are
in a
bull market, it
DOES N'T feel comfortable sitting on too much cash.
This way, if a bear
market occurs, you have a year of cash becoming available at the maturity date so that you
do not have to sell stocks, and
in a
bull market you can buy new bonds as the ones you own mature, and you thereby benefit from the higher interest rates that high quality bonds give versus cash or CDs.
I suppose they
did this because of the 30 + year
bull run
in the bond
market.
It's easy to say
do XYZ
in hindsight, especially now that we are back to
bull markets.
The end of the decades long
bull market in bonds has been anticipated for years, but that doesn't mean the bond
market is headed for a precipitous decline.
«This is why people didn't figure out that it was the Great Depression until two years after the worst point
in the crisis
in the 1930s; and why it took decades, not months, quarters or even years, for the complete transition to the next sustainable economic expansion and
bull market.
If current levels were to turn out,
in hindsight, to be the final lows of this decline, I suspect that the overall return over the next cycle (by the time we
do observe a full 20 % loss) will be as tame as we've seen since the
bull market started
in 2003.
It's important to keep
in mind the old investing adage, «
Bull markets don't die of old age.»
Just like a non-pro investor picking stocks
in a
bull market is going to
do well even with little knowledge of how to pick stocks.
Orlando the cat picking random stocks
in a
bull market is probably likely to
do better than pro's.
Despite the historic
bull market in stocks, I've
done much better
in real estate
in the last 5 years due to leverage.
«This is significant because we [were] at all - time highs, and you usually don't see a
bull market where everything is up, including bonds, stocks and gold,» says Chartered Financial Consultant Chris McMahon, founder of McMahon Financial Advisors
in Pittsburgh.
«During the latter stage of the
bull market culminating
in 1929, the public acquired a completely different attitude towards the investment merits of common stocks... Why
did the investing public turn its attention from dividends, from asset values, and from average earnings to transfer it almost exclusively to the earnings trend, i.e. to the changes
in earnings expected
in the future?
Conversely,
in a
bull correction the U.S. dollar typically strengthens against emerging
market currencies and the yen doesn't budge.
The
market dogs that didn't bark Stocks plunged, but oil prices, bond prices and currencies were calmThe correction
in the stock
market probably doesn't mean the end of the
bull market, because of the dogs that didn't bark, writes Anatole Kaletsky.
How Angels Think — OK, let me start by saying that I rarely
do angel investing since I mostly think it's a sucker's bet unless you have very deep pockets or unless you're
in a tech
bull market -LRB-» 97 — 00,» 05 -» 08) where exits can happen without a lot of follow - on rounds of funding.
Though our investment horizon of interest is a complete
market cycle, we don't generally think
in terms of
bull and bear
markets, because they can only be determined
in hindsight.
Don't be disappointed
in lagging a
bull market, it's often the price to pay for admission to long - term
market - beating results.
Travis Hoium (Colgate - Palmolive): When the stock
market is
in bull or bear territory,
do you change your toothbrushing or dishwashing habits at all?
We are not perma -
bulls and
do not consider ourselves «gold bugs», we simply see
market conditions as bullish for gold
in the longer term.
Know your companies and outpace your competition and you will
do very well
in this
bull market.
While it may be easy to determine that one
does not want or need bonds
in the midst of a rampant
bull stock
market run, the next sharp equity correction may determine whether you are correct
in that assessment or not.
Technical damage has been
done on all but the biggest pictures as we watch for secular
bull market down leg 4 to be put
in.
We're now more than six years into this
bull market rebound from the financial crisis, and the S&P 500 doesn't seem to be
in a hurry to relinquish its place around all - time highs.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for
market losses, particularly given that the current
bull market has now outlived the median and average
bull, yet at higher valuations than most
bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other
market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness
in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index
in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we
do observe economic weakness.
So while you probably don't want to dump all your stocks because we are still
in the midst of a
bull market, you probably
do want to shift your exposure to protect yourself from the coming decline
in equities.
I have no views about whether a bear
market has started
in stocks, because I don't really think
in terms of
bull and bear
markets (which can only be identified
in hindsight).
Poor liquidity will move price a lot
in the short - term but that doesn't constitute a new medium - term
bull market until the price charts confirm them.
In contrast, I don't believe that we have the ability to «call»
market bottoms,
market tops, rallies, declines,
bull markets or bear
markets.
-- 4 reasons why «gold has entered a new
bull market» — Schroders — Market complacency is key to gold bull market say Schroders — Investors are currently pricing in the most benign risk environment in history as seen in the VIX — History shows gold has the potential to perform very well in periods of stock market weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold
market» — Schroders —
Market complacency is key to gold bull market say Schroders — Investors are currently pricing in the most benign risk environment in history as seen in the VIX — History shows gold has the potential to perform very well in periods of stock market weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold
Market complacency is key to gold
bull market say Schroders — Investors are currently pricing in the most benign risk environment in history as seen in the VIX — History shows gold has the potential to perform very well in periods of stock market weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold
market say Schroders — Investors are currently pricing
in the most benign risk environment
in history as seen
in the VIX — History shows gold has the potential to perform very well
in periods of stock
market weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold
market weakness (see chart)-- You should buy insurance when insurers don't believe that the «risk event» will happen — Very high Chinese gold demand, negative global interest rates and a weak dollar should push gold higher
Fortunately, you don't need to be a fervent believer
in the «new gold
bull market» story to make money from the rallies
in gold and gold stocks.
To be frank, one doesn't exactly need to be Warren Buffett to profit from stock
market trading
in a steady
bull market.