Here are some simple tests: How well
do macroeconomic models forecast, particularly at turning points?
Not exact matches
Klitgaard and Weir note that
macroeconomic models — which often are based on interest rates, prices, and GDP — can help explain exchange rate changes over long horizons, but
do a poor job of tracking daily, weekly, or monthly changes.
In this case, if your
models of
macroeconomics can't accommodate the boom / bust cycle, you don't deserve to be an economist.
One weakness of many
macroeconomic models is that they don't take account of the long - term resilience of economies, but focus on short - term losses, as if that were all that goes on.
pdf) Dirk J Bezemer of Groningen University takes a scholarly look at which
macroeconomic models helped anticipate the credit crisis and economic recession and which
did not.