Sentences with phrase «doing modelling of the climate»

I think one of the important issues is to be doing modelling of the climate system consequences of fully 1.5 C pathways and maybe even more than that.

Not exact matches

Darin Kingston of d.light, whose profitable solar - powered LED lanterns simultaneously address poverty, education, air pollution / toxic fumes / health risks, energy savings, carbon footprint, and more Janine Benyus, biomimicry pioneer who finds models in the natural world for everything from extracting water from fog (as a desert beetle does) to construction materials (spider silk) to designing flood - resistant buildings by studying anthills in India's monsoon climate, and shows what's possible when you invite the planet to join your design thinking team Dean Cycon, whose coffee company has not only exclusively sold organic fairly traded gourmet coffee and cocoa beans since its founding in 1993, but has funded dozens of village - led community development projects in the lands where he sources his beans John Kremer, whose concept of exponential growth through «biological marketing,» just as a single kernel of corn grows into a plant bearing thousands of new kernels, could completely change your business strategy Amory Lovins of the Rocky Mountain Institute, who built a near - net - zero - energy luxury home back in 1983, and has developed a scientific, economically viable plan to get the entire economy off oil, coal, and nuclear and onto renewables — while keeping and even improving our high standard of living

And now Variety comes out of nowhere with this report where the numbers just don't seem to make sense in the current climate, especially for ESPN for reasons already mentioned including the existing Fight Pass business model.

You are saying, the model says that we could run the risk at two degrees of climate change and these are reasons why we might do that, or you could run it at 1 % and these are the political implications.

However, the recent period of cooling does suggest that either manmade global warming may be smaller or that the impact of other factors may be greater than climate models have so far assumed.

In the Department of Meteorology at Stockholm University (MISU), researchers have done a series of model simulations investigating tropical cyclone activity during an earlier warm climate, the mid-Holocene, 6,000 years ago.

«Models do a good job at simulating some elements of the climate system, but they disagree on key aspects of the land - atmosphere CO2 exchange, and in particular the amount of carbon being sequestered,» Rawlins said in a statement.

However, most climate system models have not done a good job of showing the relationship between permafrost and soil carbon dynamics.

Even if the near future doesn't unfold like the 2004 climate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate Reclimate - gone - haywire film The Day After Tomorrow, scientists need to be able to produce accurate models of what abrupt change (more likely spanning hundreds or thousands or years, rather than days) would look like and why it might occur, explains Zhengyu Liu, lead author of the study and director of the University of Wisconsin — Madison's Center for Climate ReClimate Research.

Despite that risk, current climate models do not include the risk of emissions from thawing permafrost, the UNEP analysis warned.

Instead of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead of time, into the climate models.

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

Studies of past climates usually point to the high end of this range, as do climate models.

The calculations are in line with estimates from most climate models, proving that these models do a good job of estimating past climatic conditions and, very likely, future conditions in an era of climate change and global warming.

The uncertainty associated with future climate projections linked to economic possibilities of what people will do is far larger than the uncertainty associated with physical climate models.

An ethical approach to climate change including consideration of wealth redistribution to repay «climate debt» is one model for doing this.»

«Do [climate models] have the right sort of nature of the overturning and its variability?»

«We're trying to understand how what we're doing to the Earth's atmosphere and oceans will play out in the future,» says Bette Otto - Bliesner, who runs a full - complexity climate model — and its 1.5 million lines of code — through a supercomputer named Yellowstone at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder.

«One reason that we haven't appreciated the role of aerosols in the climate system is that many — most — models don't include aerosol - cloud interactions,» including only a handful of those used in IPCC's fifth assessment report, released in 2014.

The team also wanted to know whether the conditions on land interacted with the atmosphere to affect climate, because most of the current climate models don't simulate the Green Sahara period well, she said.

A DRAM used by a supercomputer doing climate modeling might read or erase data one quintillion (one million trillion) times over the course of three or four years, Williams says.

The impact of these results is wide - reaching, and Dr Pullen suggests that it may even change how we think about global climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.climate data: «Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.Climate models need to incorporate genetic elements because at present most do not, and their predictions would be much improved with a better understanding of plant carbon demand.»

Sixteen other climate models did a poorer job of this.

They did so by adding the extra emissions to an existing model used in the UK government's 2006 Stern Review, designed to assess the economic cost of coping with climate change between now and 2200.

«Most modeling studies that look at the impact of climate change on crop yield and the fate of agriculture don't take into account whether the water available for irrigation will change,» Monier says.

He emphasized the importance of looking further into the future with climate models, something that isn't often done because of the computational resources such modeling requires.

«Our model can help predict if forests are at risk of desertification or other climate change - related processes and identify what can be done to conserve these systems,» he said.

The new modeling, conducted by the Washington, D.C. — based nonprofit group Climate Interactive, assumes annual emissions will remain flat for the remainder of the century after 2025 to 2030; nations will neither do more to clamp down on annual emissions, nor allow them to rise.

«Most climate models that incorporate vegetation are built on short - term observations, for example of photosynthesis, but they are used to predict long - term events,» said Bond - Lamberty, who works at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a collaboration between PNNL and the University of Maryland in College Park, Md. «We need to understand forests in the long term, but forests change slowly and researchers don't live that long.»

That's basic physics and chemistry and people who claim that they don't believe that, they don't believe we're warming the planet through increasing CO2 levels because of climate models, they don't understand the fact that you don't need a climate model to come to that conclusion.

For instance, the models did not tie the record Colorado floods after five days of heavy rainfall in September 2013 to climate change (ClimateWire, Oct. 30, 2013).

In climate science, for example, where we don't need an elaborate climate model to understand the basic physics and chemistry of greenhouse gases, so at some level the fact that increased CO2 warms the planet is a consequence of very basic physics and chemistry.

The global climate models do a good job of simulating the process of sea ice formation over large areas in the open ocean.

While this underestimate does not call into question the response of climate to carbon dioxide concentration in the IPCC models, the researchers say, it does suggest that a better understanding of what happened during the last 50 years could improve projections of future ecosystem changes.

Isaac Held, a National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration climate scientist, said he agreed with the researchers about the «the importance of getting the ice - liquid ratio in mixed - phase clouds right,» but he doesn't agree that global climate models generally underestimate climate sensitivity.

On the other hand, statistical analysis of the past century's hurricanes and computer modeling of a warmer climate, nudged along by greenhouse gases, does indicate that rising ocean temperatures could fuel hurricanes that are more intense.

The researchers found climate models that show a low global temperature response to carbon dioxide do not include enough of this lower - level water vapour process.

Climate models do not predict an even warming of the whole planet: changes in wind patterns and ocean currents can change the way heat is distributed, leading to some parts warming much faster than average, while a few may cool, at least at first.

However, unlike the climate model simulations, the new precipitation reconstruction does not show an increase of wet and dry anomalies in the twentieth century compared to the natural variations of the past millennium.

When the researchers compared their results with the output of a number of climate models, they found that several of the newer models that have higher resolution and use updated ice sheet configurations do «a very good job» of reproducing the patterns observed in the proxy records.

Current climate models do not take into account glacial flow and therefore underestimate the impact of glacial melt and the calving of ice flows, the researchers argue in a paper detailing the findings in today's Science.

Defining an extreme El Niño as one with a massive reorganisation of rainfall, where the usually dry regions in South America experience a tenfold increase in rain, they found that climate models do agree after all.

But there, challenges also arise, as models that simulate changing climate at a global scale do so at relatively coarse resolution, of around hundreds of kilometers, while hurricanes require resolutions of a few kilometers.

In fact, Salmon doesn't think that the National Science Foundation (NSF) should be funding her research on tea as a model system for understanding how a warming climate is putting stress on specialty crops and the impact of those changes on farmers.

He and his team modelled Earth's climate, and found that adding large quantities of CO2 to the atmosphere — far more even than what we're doing now — could also heat the planet until it leaks water.

«We don't trust climate models yet to predict specific episodes of extreme weather because the models are too coarse,» said study co-author Dim Coumou of PIK.

The consequences of global sea level rise could be even scarier than the worst - case scenarios predicted by the dominant climate models, which don't fully account for the fast breakup of ice sheets and glaciers, NASA scientists said today (Aug. 26) at a press briefing.

«I've been doing some Bali simulations with the U.K. Met office climate model as «what ifs», and also some geo - engineering simulations,» said Jim Haywood, professor of atmospheric science at the University of Exeter.

One challenge with storms in Germany is that climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two do a much better job, meaning that attribution analyses on such events should become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.

«That assumption is so far entrenched in our thinking that global climate models simply don't allow for methane production in the presence of oxygen.