I just don't think overrotating on
downside risk scenarios makes much sense.
Not exact matches
While our central
scenario remains unchanged, we still see
downside risks increasing from recent trade escalation.
Let's talk about its performance and discuss the
scenario when it fails to deliver what it's supposed to, that is, hedging
downside risk.
Analysts at Barclays Research said in a report: «The worst - case
scenario has been avoided in Cyprus, but we think the
risks on the euro remain to the
downside, due to the negative implications for the banking sector, political uncertainty in Italy and a sluggish growth outlook.»
For instance, investors should be familiar with their portfolio's
downside risk — the estimate of the worst - case
scenario for an investment or how much that investment stands to lose.
We have to assess
downside risks, and possibilities that some things might go better than the baseline
scenario.
Let's talk about its performance and discuss the
scenario when it fails to deliver what it's supposed to, that is, hedging
downside risk.
The
downside risk measure is a practical look at what might happen to the value of your mutual fund portfolio in a worst - case
scenario.
Then you have a
scenario where the upside and
downside are essentially equal and even if you assign a 60 % probablility to the upside the
risk / return tradeoff isn't there.