The possibility of a sharp slowdown in China and other emerging market economies, a further rise in the dollar, and geopolitical turmoil remain
downside risks to growth.
This GFSR also examines the short - and medium - term implications for
downside risks to growth and financial stability of the riskiness of corporate credit allocation.
Although
downside risks to growth remain, the y appear to have diminished somewhat, and the upside risks to inflation are also of significant concern to the Committee.
The downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the Committee.
Nevertheless,
downside risks to growth remain.
Nevertheless,
downside risks to growth remain.
The downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the Committee.
With respect to
downside risks to the growth outlook, one that is hard to gauge is the potential fallout from the result of the recent U.K. referendum.
This GFSR also examines the short - and medium - term implications for
downside risks to growth and financial stability of the riskiness of corporate credit allocation.
Though all measures of inflation were coming down as summer turned to fall and the economy clearly was slowing following a July brush with $ 4 - a-gallon gasoline, the FOMC decided to hold the fed funds rate at 2 %, concluding that «
the downside risks to growth and the upside risks to inflation are both of significant concern to the committee.»
Not exact matches
Apart from low productivity
growth, there are other
downside risks to the global economy.
«Given the modest acceleration in
growth that we forecast and the many
downside risks around these forecasts, it seems overly optimistic
to suggest that the global economy has reached «escape velocity,»» said Barclays economist David Fernandez.
However, the decline in GDP
growth was much larger at 4pp (
to -1.1 % y / y from 3.1 % prior
to the increase in the VAT), implying significant
downside risk to our estimates.»
With 20 percent earnings
growth, the
risk is
to the
downside.
Lastly, Bladex's focus on Latin America augurs well for its long - term prospects, and a likely return
to growth in the near future, especially when paired with an emphasis on credit quality that should pay off with reduced
downside risk and fewer losses, especially during economic down cycles.
In other words, convertibles are uniquely positioned
to offer the
growth potential of stocks, but with the income and
downside risk management characteristics of traditional bonds.
The three main
downside risks to inflation in Canada relate
to the European crisis, weaker demand for Canadian exports and the possibility that
growth in Canadian household spending could be weaker.
«The balance of
risks have been roughly symmetric for inflation and tilted
to the
downside for
growth,» William Dudley, president of the New York Fed, said Monday in a speech.
The PBO identified four key
downside risks to the private sector forecast: global
growth, especially in the U.S. could be slower than anticipated; the appreciation of the Canadian dollar could adversely affect exports; sovereign debt issues in Europe could restrain recovery there and put upward pressure on global interest rates; and the high level of household debt in Canada could restrain domestic demand.
While the lack of a retail presence is a
risk for Green Mountain's franchise, the opening of its first Keurig store in November provides a potential offset
to the
downside risk, as well as a promising channel for branding and future sales
growth.
The lower outlook for Canadian
growth has increased the
downside risks to inflation.
Though they added that the «
risks to our Russian
growth forecast are clearly slanted
to the
downside.»
We believe that the numerous headwinds
to economic
growth are creating substantial
downside risks to the economy and corporate earnings that, until recently, were not being appropiately discounted by an increasingly euphoric stock market.
The uncertainties associated with the U.S. election, BreXit, slowing
growth in China and in the emerging economies, uncertainty and volatility in international financial markets, all suggest that the
downside risks to the global economy are still high.
Bond yields in the major markets have risen substantially since mid year, when significant
downside risks to world economic
growth were seen by markets (Graph 11).
Analysts at Barclays Research said in a report: «The worst - case scenario has been avoided in Cyprus, but we think the
risks on the euro remain
to the
downside, due
to the negative implications for the banking sector, political uncertainty in Italy and a sluggish
growth outlook.»
In an update
to the IMF's World Economic Outlook, Maurice Obstfeld described Brexit as introducing a «spanner in the works» for global
growth as well as a cause for growing «
downside risks» for EU
growth in 2017, whilst the OECD Interim Economic Outlook in September 2016 argued that UK
growth could be reduced by up
to 1 % next year due
to the negative impact of the vote.
The Morningstar ™
Risk vs Category rating is an assessment of the variations in a fund's monthly returns, with an emphasis on
downside variations, in comparison
to the 601 funds in the Small
Growth category, as of 4/30/18.
With the global uncertainties in economic
growth, inflation and monetary policy remain; portfolio diversification seems
to be the key in 2015, which allows upside participation while minimizes the
downside risk of over-concentration.
The
risk management process used by our Funds — the Milliman Managed Risk Strategy — has an objective that seeks to provide growth of capital while seeking to manage volatility and provide downside protection by investment in other fu
risk management process used by our Funds — the Milliman Managed
Risk Strategy — has an objective that seeks to provide growth of capital while seeking to manage volatility and provide downside protection by investment in other fu
Risk Strategy — has an objective that seeks
to provide
growth of capital while seeking
to manage volatility and provide
downside protection by investment in other funds.
The investment objectives of Horizons HGM are
to use flexible tactical asset allocation among multiple global asset classes
to seek long term
growth, while also seeking
to protect against
downside risk.
The Bank of Canada said its lower outlook for
growth has increased the
downside risks to inflation.
Despite the anxiety in the markets and the
downside risk to the world's economic
growth entwined in the European debt crisis, I remain of the view that a credible plan
to stem the debt crisis in Europe has just begun and that European and global leaders and central bankers will all come
to their senses and intervene in a massive way.
The
downside risk on dividend strategies is a temporary drop of income around 25 % (e.g., from 5 %
to 3.75 %) followed by a complete recovery and later
growth.
The Association of the Riskiness of Credit Allocation with
Downside Risks to GDP
Growth Depends on the Size of Credit Expansion
The Morningstar ™
Risk vs Category rating is an assessment of the variations in a fund's monthly returns, with an emphasis on
downside variations, in comparison
to the 1,246 funds in the Large
Growth category, as of 4/30/18.
Part of the reason it has become popular, however, is by minimizing the
downside risks of the market and allowing the policy owner
to participate in
growth years only.
Actively researched and selected individual securities, mutual funds, ETF's and limited partnerships / alternatives as part of three optimized model portfolios; Continuous portfolio monitoring and
risk management oversight
to enhance portfolio
growth while minimizing
downside risk