Not exact matches
As we discuss in detail in the book, while much improved, Quality and Price is not a perfect
strategy: the better returns are attended by higher volatility and worse
drawdowns.
However, the calculated initial
drawdown rate is based on the Extended Mortality variable withdrawal
strategy which can decrease if market conditions are unfavourable,
as demonstrated in the example at the end of chapter 4.
After the market crash of 2008 - 2009, it's easy to see how advisors and plan sponsors could be drawn to «Defensive Equity» or «Low Risk»
strategies as ways to protect against future
drawdowns.
In their July 2017 paper entitled «Breadth Momentum and Vigilant Asset Allocation (VAA): Winning More by Losing Less», Wouter Keller and Jan Keuning introduce VAA
as a dual momentum asset class
strategy aiming at returns above 10 % with
drawdowns less than -20 % deep.
He then investigates the performance of this dual momentum
strategy as a safe haven during S&P 500 crises defined in two ways: (1)
drawdowns of at least 20 % peak to trough; or, (2) monthly declines of at least 5 %.
As losses are inevitable even in the best trading
strategy, your trading account will experience
drawdowns.
These funds are separate from our
drawdown strategy and do not factor into our safe withdrawal rate
as they are ear - marked for a specific purpose over a fixed period.
We have no intention of EVER going back to work (barring some utterly catastrophic market meltdown) and see this
as a critical back - stop in terms of our overall
drawdown strategy.
A second
drawdown strategy used in retirement is to spend all financial assets over one's life expectancy,
as predicted by life tables.
I hope you enjoyed this post and that it gave you something to ponder
as you develop your own retirement investment
drawdown strategy.
We're considering having the entire
drawdown strategy chain published
as an e-book, with all proceeds going to charity.
I welcome you to join me
as I work through my proposed
drawdown strategy, with the hopes that you might gain something from this exercise, and that I might (selfishly) garner some constructive criticism.
This post was written
as part of a larger project to compare and contrast retirement
drawdown strategies, organized by Fritz at The Retirement Manifesto.
It is no easy feat (particularly in systematic value
strategies) to know when an approach is «broken» or when
drawdown and poor performance are signalling fantastic opportunity
as values often appear most attractive just before bankruptcy.
The
strategy's strength is avoiding significant
drawdowns during periods of market turbulence, such
as 2008.
Advisers need to help retirees with a «
drawdown strategy,» he said and suggested they urge them to «fill up lower marginal tax brackets such
as a Roth plan or a 401 (k) before their brokerage accounts.
As for the returns of the
strategy and its potency to avoid large
drawdowns, I am super impressed.
This helps create better alignment between an investor's risk profile and their exposure to the financial markets
as opposed to most indexing
strategies which involve a very high correlation to the stock market and its inevitable large
drawdowns.
The importance of even marginal return
strategies, such
as value in commodities, is clear; although the Sharpe ratio for the stand - alone
strategy is not significantly different from zero, the powerful diversification properties it brings to the portfolio greatly reduce
drawdowns and improve the risk — return trade - off for a combined commodities portfolio.
Finally, the
strategy applies what AQR calls a «
drawdown control system», a methodology for cutting risk when the
strategy loses money and adding it back
as it recoups its losses (or enough time lapses since a
drawdown).
The substantial risk from these interrelated forces —
drawdowns and the crowded trade — act
as a very practical and meaningful deterrent to more widespread adoption of a momentum investing
strategy, even though it has been proven to be robustly profitable.
As we discuss in detail in the book, while much improved, Quality and Price is not a perfect
strategy: the better returns are attended by higher volatility and worse
drawdowns.
As large populations across the globe transition into retirement, the inevitable
drawdown of assets is increasing demand for capital preservation
strategies.
You will want to look for someone with experience specific to income taxes
as well
as someone familiar with retirement
drawdown strategies.