Complexity theory (formerly called chaos theory) was developed in large part due to discoveries made
during early climate modeling efforts.
Not exact matches
In the Department of Meteorology at Stockholm University (MISU), researchers have done a series of
model simulations investigating tropical cyclone activity
during an
earlier warm
climate, the mid-Holocene, 6,000 years ago.
Human - induced forcing exhibited a slow rise
during the
early part of the last century but then accelerated after 1960.2 Thus, these graphs highlight observed changes in
climate during the period of rapid increase in human - caused forcing and also reveal how well
climate models simulate these observed changes.
Again their
models failed to account for the heat
during Arctic's
earlier natural warming (black line), a warming
climate scientists called «the most spectacular event of the century».
So is this the basic disagreement: Gavin thinks that the
climate models are good enough that they can be used for attribution, and Curry thinks that they clearly are not good enough, since the issue that we're discussing, CO2 vs. natural variation, is exactly what the
models are failing to capture, both
early in the last century, and
during the «pause»
early in this century.
Recent attempts to evaluate
climate model projections in CMIP5
during the
early 21st century have shown striking discrepancies between
model projections and observations.