He thinks that we can look to paleoclimate as evidence for abrupt climate change — and indeed we can — but the examples he has to use are those of abrupt change during deglaciation (YD) or
during glacial climate (D - O; Heinrich; Bond).
However, the global dust burden and associated radiative forcing are substantially higher
during glacial climates, so that the amplification of the dust load by this feedback is larger.
Not exact matches
Climate scientists find the last
glacial period interesting because ice cores in Greenland and ocean sediment cores have shown that
during this period there were sharp shifts in global temperatures.
So the fact that we have this very strong drying in the tropics
during glaciation would argue for a strong feedback of water vapor concentration to the global
climate during glacial - interglacial cycles.»
Using
climate models to understand the physical processes that were at play
during the
glacial periods, the team were able to show that a gradual rise in CO2 strengthened the trade winds across Central America by inducing an El Nino - like warming pattern with stronger warming in the East Pacific than the Western Atlantic.
The results of our recent study suggest that the Atlantic water never ceased to flow into the Nordic Seas
during the
glacial period,» says Mohamed Ezat, PhD at Centre for Arctic Gas Hydrate, Environment and
Climate (CAGE) at UiT, The Arctic University of Norway.
It seems that after the
climate cooled
during the last
glacial period, disappearing habitat inland forced brown bears toward the coasts, where they encountered polar bears shifted there by British - Irish ice sheets.
Ice core records are rich archives of the
climate history
during glacial - interglacial cycles over timescales of up to ~ 800 kyr before the current age.
Similar fluctuations in OMZ intensity have occurred
during the Dansgaard - Oeschger (D - O) events (millennial - scale abrupt
climate oscillations)
during the last
glacial period (Cannariato and Kennett, 1999; Schmittner et al., 2007).
The archaeological record suggested that very roughly 150,000 individuals spanned Europe and Asia, living in small groups of 15 to 25 — and that their total numbers fluctuated greatly
during the several
climate cycles (which included harsh
glacial periods) that occurred
during the half a million years they inhabited Earth, before going extinct 40,000 years ago.
Blunier, T. and E. J. Brook, 2001: Timing of millennial - scale
climate change in Antarctica and Greenland
during the last
glacial period.
Some unknown natural forcing exists with a period of 1470 yrs, and the
climate system is subject to stochastic resonance
during glacials.
The kind of switch operating
during glacial periods, leading to D - O events, is unlikely to work in a warm
climate with relatively little ice.
Aren't the neo-
glacial readvances and other signs of a cooling
climate during the past 3,000 years evidence of a gradual return to
glacial conditions (prior to the anthropogenic influence brought on by the industrial revolution)?
The following is a link to Bond's paper «Persistent Solar influence on the North Atlantic
Climate during the Holocene» Bond track 22 cycles through the Holocene interglacial and into the Wisconsin
glacial period.
IN FACT IT IS WELL KNOWN THAT
DURING GLACIAL PERIODS THE
CLIMATE WAS MUCH DRYER, AND
DURING WARMER PERIODS MUCH WETTER.
Second, the idea that there might be a lag of CO2 concentrations behind temperature change (
during glacial - interglacial
climate changes) is hardly new to the
climate science community.
Melting of
glacial ice could play an important role in maintaining water security
during times of drought or similar
climate extremes, the committee noted.
* It would take only a small further reduction in
climate forcing (less long - lived GHGs or whatever) to yield more ice
during the
glacial phase of
glacial - interglacial oscillations.
A new research paper by Friedrich et al. looks at
glacial - interglacial
climate variability
during the last 784,000 years to estimate Earth's
climate variability.
Strong evidence from ocean sediment data and from modelling links abrupt
climate changes
during the last
glacial period and
glacial - interglacial transition to changes in the Atlantic Ocean circulation.
Similarly, a colder
climate with generally decreased humidity q O could be closer to the critical threshold, which might be the reason for less - stable monsoon circulations
during glacial periods.
Pepin, L., Raynaud, D., Barnola, J. M. & Loutre, M. F. Hemispheric roles of
climate forcings
during glacial — interglacial transitions as deduced from the Vostok record and LLN - 2D model experiments.
Arctic climatic extremes include 25 °C hyperthermal periods
during the Paleocene - Eocene (56 — 46 million years ago, Ma), Quaternary
glacial periods when thick ice shelves and sea ice cover rendered the Arctic Ocean nearly uninhabitable, seasonally sea - ice - free interglacials and abrupt
climate reversals.
The
climate record obtained from two long Greenland ice cores reveals several brief
climate oscillations
during glacial time.
Both panels are reconstructions of oxygen concentrations in the California Margin
during a cold,
glacial climate (left, 18,000 years ago) and a warm, interglacial
climate (right, 14,000 years ago; Moffitt et al. 2015a).
By extrapolating from its radiative forcing in the current
climate, we estimate that dust reduces precipitation
during glacial times by as much as half the reduction due to the colder
climate alone.
The emergence of civilization
during our current interglacial, the Holocene, has been attributed to the «relative
climate quiescence» of this period relative to the massive, abrupt shifts in
climate that characterized
glacial periods in the form of D - O events.»
The 25 D - O events
during the last
glacial, where temperatures rose and fell by 5 to 10 degrees C (10 - 15 degrees C for Greenland) within a span of decades that were «explained by internal variability of the
climate system alone ``, deemed global in scale, and they occurred without any changes in CO2 concentrations, which stayed steady at about 180 ppm throughout the warming and cooling.
«
During the last
glacial / interglacial transition the Earth's
climate underwent abrupt changes around 14.6 kyr ago.
---- Mayewski, 2016 http://meetingorganizer.copernicus.org/EGU2016/EGU2016-2567.pdf «The demonstration using Greenland ice cores that abrupt shifts in
climate, Dansgaard - Oeschger (D - O) events, existed
during the last
glacial period has had a transformational impact on our understanding of
climate change in the naturally forced world.
This type of behavior is especially evident
during transitions from
glacial to interglacial conditions, when
climate is affected by a wide variety of time - varying influences and is relatively unstable.
Müller, J. & Stein, R. High - resolution record of late
glacial and deglacial sea ice changes in Fram Strait corroborates ice - ocean interactions
during abrupt
climate shifts.
26)
During the current interglacial the solar and oceanic cycles are broadlyoffsetting one another to reduce overall climate variability but during glacial epochs they broadly supplement one another to produce much larger climate s
During the current interglacial the solar and oceanic cycles are broadlyoffsetting one another to reduce overall
climate variability but
during glacial epochs they broadly supplement one another to produce much larger climate s
during glacial epochs they broadly supplement one another to produce much larger
climate swings.
Dansgaard — Oeschger events (often abbreviated D — O events) are rapid
climate fluctuations that occurred 25 times
during the last
glacial period.
This case appears to be based on recent research taking two different approaches: looking at recent
climate changes, and changes
during the Last
Glacial Maximum (LGM) about 20,000 years ago.
Paleo -
climate research suggests the position of the ASL also shifts between
glacials and interglacials, and drove warm CDW shoreward
during interglacials and accelerated glacier retreat.
The ubiquitous character of certain events further confirms their importance: «the Younger Dryas and a large number of abrupt changes
during the last ice age called Dansgaard / Oeschger events (23 abrupt changes into a
climate of near - modern warmth and out again,
during the last
glacial period) have been corroborated in multiple ice cores from Greenland, Antarctica and tropical mountains, marine sediments from the North Atlantic Ocean, the tropical Atlantic, eastern Pacific, and Indian Oceans, and from various records on land.
The PalMod project is funded by the Federal Ministry of Education and Science (BMBF) to understand
climate system dynamics and variability
during the last
glacial cycle.
Ominously, data showed that sudden
climate shifts did not happen only
during a
glacial period.
This is supported by multiple lines of evidence, including GCMs, paleoclimate evidence (including
climate response to forcing
during glacial periods as well as millennial proxies), the instrumental record, and the
climate response to volcanic forcings among others.
2) Warm or cold is irrelevant because it was
during a transition between two quasi-stable
climate regimes (
glacial: interglacial) where all forcings (including Milankovitch and cosmic rays) were made irrelevant by strong positive albedo feedback.
The
climate during glacial periods is quite different and the moisture could be brought from lower latitudes by the atmosphere.
Recent Earth history has featured quasi -100,000-y,
glacial − interglacial
climate cycles with lower / higher temperatures and greenhouse gas concentrations
during glacials / interglacials.
Using measured amounts of GHGs
during the past 800000 years of
glacial — interglacial
climate oscillations and surface albedo inferred from sea - level data, we show that a single empirical «fast - feedback»
climate sensitivity can account well for the global temperature change over that range of
climate states.
Climate response and radiative forcing from mineral aerosols
during the last
glacial maximum, pre-industrial, current and doubled - carbon dioxide
climates
Our record shows that CO2 variations
during the
glacial period have a clear relationship with abrupt
climate changes in the Northern Hemisphere that continues into the deglacial period.
Here we briefly discuss the radiative forcing estimates used for understanding
climate during the last millennium, the mid-Holocene and the Last
Glacial Maximum (LGM)(Section 9.3) and in estimates of
climate sensitivity based on palaeoclimatic records (Section 9.6.3).
Related Volcanoes, Tree Rings, and
Climate Models: This is how science works Fossil Focus: Using Plant Fossils to Understand Past
Climates and Environments Atmospheric oxygen over Phanerozoic time Coupled carbon isotopic and sedimentological records from the Permian system of eastern Australia reveal the response of atmospheric carbon dioxide to
glacial growth and decay
during the late Palaeozoic Ice Age
I think there must be at least two factors interacting to achieve the necessary switches so that they offset one another to minimise
climate variability
during interglacials but supplement one another to increase
climate variability
during glacial periods.