And if a business can't redeploy
the earnings at higher yield, it makes sense to give it back to shareholders in form of dividends.
Not exact matches
Looking
at the forward
earnings yield for S&P 500 stocks, BAML finds dispersion is the
highest since 2009, when the market was just starting to recover from the financial crisis.
The
yield on CDZ is lower
at 3.2 % and its price - to -
earnings ratio is
higher at about 15.3 times but it is much more diversified.
These conditions comprise the following: S&P 500 overvalued with the Shiller P / E (the ratio of the S&P 500 to the 10 - year average of inflation - adjusted
earnings) greater than 18; overbought with the S&P 500 within 3 % of its upper Bollinger band (2 standard deviations above the 20 - period average)
at daily, weekly, and monthly resolutions, more than 7 % above its 52 - week smoothing, and more than 50 % above its 4 - year low; overbullish with the 2 - week average of advisory bullishness (Investors Intelligence) greater than 52 % and bearishness below 28 %; and
yields rising with the 10 - year Treasury bond
yield higher than 6 - months earlier.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments
at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already
high price / peak
earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet
at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat
yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency
at best and excessive bullishness
at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
The advance would persist, even intensify, as the afternoon moved further along, with strong
earnings enabling traders to look past the recently
higher yields,
at least for one day.
And since it is growing that profit (
at 20 % annually in recent years) that 6.5 %
earnings yield today should look much
higher in just a few years.
Earnings reports from some of the biggest U.S. companies
at a decline in the ten - year treasury
yield combined to send the major averages sharply
higher.
The insatiable search for
yield has driven many income assets to
high valuations, but dividend growers are still attractively priced
at 13.4 times forward
earnings, our analysis shows.
EarthLink, Inc. (ELNK), an Internet service provider primarily offering dial - up Internet access to consumers, has the
highest earnings yield among the passing companies
at 31.3 %.
I have solved the equations
at today's
earnings yield (of 3.5 %, roughly), which is exceedingly
high, and
at an
earnings yield of 10 % (P / E10 = 10.0), which is favorable, but well within the historical range.
In addition, the company should continue compounding
earnings - per - share
at 7 % to 9 % a year giving
high yield investors solid growth as well.
Wajax also trades
at a low price - to -
earnings ratio of 11.5, based on this year's forecast profits, and its recent 35 % dividend increase gives it a
high 6.8 %
yield.
Contrarian strategies (low Price /
Earnings, low Price / Book Value, low Price / Cash Flow and
high dividend
yield) consistently outperform alternatives
at a greatly reduced risk.
JP Morgan's Thomas Lee notes that if the S&P
earnings yield merely equaled the
high yield bond (a frequent past metric), the S&P 500 would be
at 1600.
The insatiable search for
yield has driven many income assets to
high valuations, but dividend growers are still attractively priced
at 13.4 times forward
earnings, our analysis shows.
Both trade
at low price - to -
earnings ratios relative to the overall market, and both have decent growth prospects, and both have
high dividend
yields.
CMP trades
at about 14x forward
earnings and offers a dividend
yield of 3.6 %, which is meaningfully
higher than its five year average dividend
yield of 2.7 % and a great starting base for investors living off dividends in retirement.
These companies have increased their dividend for
at least 15 years and have a lower than average price to
earnings (PE) ratio, a
higher operating margin, a low price to book, a reasonable dividend
yield and payout ratio.
It pays a hefty
yield of 5.6 %, trades
at 13 times
earnings, and is very close to its 52 - week
high.
Shoe retailer Foot Locker has the lowest
earnings multiple
at 7 and pays the
highest dividend
yield at 4.0 %.
And with our
high yield CD, of which many terms are available, you'll be locking in the
earnings with a
yield in the top 5 % of Competitive Accounts
at opening.3 So get one or ladder a few, it's your call.
Eaton trades
at a forward price - to -
earnings multiple of 14.2 and has a dividend
yield of 3.7 %, which is
higher than its five - year average dividend
yield of 3.1 %.
This study attempts to quantify whether a 4 percent withdrawal rate can still be considered as safe for U.S. retirees in recent years when
earnings valuations have been
at historical
highs and the dividend
yield has been
at historical lows.
Valero offers a
high yield of 4.4 %, trades
at less than 10x trailing
earnings, and has more than doubled the S&P 500's return over the -LSB-...]
A Review of the Evidence, in which Fernando Duarte and Carlo Rosa argue that stocks are cheap because the «Fed model» — the equity risk premium measured as the difference between the forward operating
earnings yield on the S&P 500 and the 10 - year Treasury bond
yield — is
at a historic
high.
And since it is growing that profit (
at 20 % annually in recent years) that 6.5 %
earnings yield today should look much
higher in just a few years.
This study attempts to quantify whether a 4 % withdrawal rate can still be considered as safe for U.S. retirees in recent years when
earnings valuations have been
at historical
highs and the dividend
yield has been
at historical lows.
The present environment is characterized by unusually overvalued, overbought, overbullish conditions, with rising 10 - year Treasury bond
yields, heavy insider selling, valuations on «forward
earnings» appearing reasonable only because profit margins are more than 70 % above historical norms (fully explained by the negative sum of government and personal savings as a share of GDP), with the S&P 500
at a 4 - year market
high, in a mature market advance, with lagging employment indicators still positive but more than half of all OECD countries already in GDP contraction, Europe in recession, Britain on the cusp, and the EU imposing massive losses on depositors in order to protect lenders in an unstable banking system where Cyprus is the iceberg's tip.
At year 10, percentage
earnings yield 100E5 / P has a slightly
higher slope than 100E10 / P.
From a valuation standpoint, the stocks that
High Dividend
Yield owns are also just slightly cheaper than the holdings of Dividend Appreciation,
at least on a trailing
earnings basis.
At the start of each month, companies who are not in the portfolio and whose
earnings yield ranks
higher than the target portfolio size are bought.
«As for common stocks, they should trade
at an
earnings or FCF
yield greater than that of the
highest after - tax
yield on debts and other instruments.»
During the recent bottom in March 2009,
high quality companies could be bought for less than their net worth and
at earnings yields unseen since 1973 - 74.