Well, this 100 000 year cycle is
the ECCENTRICITY CYCLE of the Earth Orbit around the Sun: The orbit oscillates between a more elliptical and a more circular orbit every (approximately) 100 000 years.
Not exact matches
By matching these isotope ratios to the astronomical
cycle — Earth's orbit oscillates between an elliptical and circular path on a roughly 400,000 - year
cycle — the researchers found that patterns
of glaciation and ice retreat followed the
eccentricity of our planet's orbitthey report in the December 22 Science.
Raymo and Paillard have a good story about the 100KYr
cycle arising from the modulation
of the precessional
cycle by the changes in the Earth's orbital
eccentricity, coupled with some glacial dynamical effects which «rectify» the high frequency precessional signal.
Then and now, very low
eccentricity values coincided with the minima
of the 400,000 - year
eccentricity cycle.
There is a modulation
of the envelope
of this by the
eccentricity cycle.
I saw
of graph
of the precession
cycle once and it appeared to occasionally skip a beat — perhaps when
eccentricity got near zero — this makes some intuitive sense at least... (cause
of Obliquity
cycle is less obvious than precession
of axis; perhaps some contribution comes from the Earth - Moon orbit and Earth + Moon — Sun orbit not being in the same plane — although the Moon's orbit will «average» near the plane
of the Earth - Sun orbit over a relatively short time, but there's lunar orbit
eccentricity, etc,... residuals might build up...?
Vetoretti and Peltier (2004) found that glacial inceptions can be caused either by a strong obliquity forcing or by a combination
of eccentricity - precession forcing and low CO2 values, which is in line with results from Berger and Loutre (2001) who found that CO2 is important during times like the MIS - 11, when the insolation variations are too small to drive glacial - interglacial
cycles.
; possibly only when the
eccentricity is large can the ice age be ended during the necessary phase
of the precession
cycle.
Ice age timing has been set for the past million years or so by a 100,000 year
cycle where the
eccentricity of the earth's orbit changes.
While it is possible that the less significant, and originally overlooked, inclination variability has a deep effect on climate, [11] the
eccentricity only modifies insolation by a small amount: 1 — 2 %
of the shift caused by the 21,000 - year precession and 41,000 - year obliquity
cycles.
MILANKOVITCH
CYCLES overall favor N.H. cooling and an increase in snow cover over N.H high latitudes during the N.H summers due to the fact that perihelion occurs during the N.H. winter (highly favorable for increase summer snow cover), obliquity is 23.44 degrees which is at least neutral for an increase summer N.H. snow cover, while
eccentricity of the earth's orbit is currently at 0.0167 which is still circular enough to favor reduced summertime solar insolation in the N.H. and thus promote more snow cover.
Precession, which decides whether the Earth is closer to the sun in July or in January, is on a 23,000 - year
cycle; obliquity, which decides how tilted the axis
of the Earth is and therefore how warm the summer is, is on a 41,000 - year
cycle; and
eccentricity, which decides how rounded or elongated the Earth's orbit is and therefore how close to the sun the planet gets, is on a 100,000 - year
cycle.
There are Milankovitch
cycles of around 21,000, 40,000, 100,000, and 400,000 years — in the 100,000 year
cycle involving orbital
eccentricities the change in insolation is much smaller than with the 21,000 and 40,000 year
cycles.
This theory stipulates that changes in Earth's elliptical orbit around the sun (
eccentricity), changes in the direction in which our axis points (precession) and changes in the tilt
of the earth itself (obliquity)-- known as Milankovitch
Cycles — should contribute to changes in climate because
of the different amounts
of solar insolation received during these changes.
Jupiter's gravity affects the
eccentricity of Earth's orbit, and there is a
cycle in that
eccentricity that is about 100,000 years.
Here we show that climate oscillations over the past four million years can be explained by a single mechanism: the synchronization
of nonlinear internal climate oscillations and the 413,000 - year
eccentricity cycle.»
It is increasingly evident that we are on the cusp
of both the next major ice age (as in 1 mile thick ice in Chicago and NYC) caused by the orbital
eccentricity and the tilt
of the Earth's axis (See Milankovitch
cycles below) and the next mini ice age (see Maunder, and Dalton, or Rohrer minimum related to the location and number
of sunspots (below)-RRB-.
In the case
of glacials (note — not ice ages to distinguish the quaternary
cycles from other periods) signals perhaps from orbital
eccentricities triggering runaway snow and ice feedbacks.
Earth
eccentricity cycles modulate the amplitude
of precessional forcing
of the African monsoonal rains (see upper right panel), and deep lake conditions are observed in several East African basins during some (not all)
eccentricity maxima over the 5 Ma (deMenocal, 2011; Trauth et al., 2005; Kingston et al., 2007)
Boiled down to simplest terms, they consist
of a 100,000 - year
cycle in the
eccentricity of Earth's orbit, similar to the big 405,000 - year swing; a 41,000 - year
cycle in the tilt
of Earth's axis relative to its orbit around the Sun; and a 21,000 - year
cycle caused by a wobble
of the planet's axis.
Quaoar has an extraordinary density
of 4, and with the great
eccentricity of Pluto their complex tide
cycle with mostly three maxima und three minima measure 1827/2 = 913.5 years.
Eccentricity matches in interval size to the glacial
cycles of the last 400 ka but not in correct timing.
An ~ 100kyr periodicity in fast - spreading seafloor bathymetry, and relatively low present - day eruption rates, at a time
of high sea - level and decreasing orbital
eccentricity suggest a longer term sensitivity to sea - level and orbital variations associated with Milankovitch
cycles.
Precession refers to the fact that both Earth's rotational axis and orbital path precess (rotate) over time — the combined effects
of these two components and the
eccentricity produce an approximately 21,000 - year
cycle.
Precession,
of course, is but one
of three orbital
eccentricities collectively known as Milankovitch
cycles.
The
eccentricity cycle affects how much more sunlight the Earth receives when it is closest to the Sun (perihelion) than when it is furthest from the Sun (aphelion) and also enhances or decreases the effect on sunlight
of the other two irregularities.
Might the «weather»
of orbital
cycles be impacted by K / T but not the «climate» — perhaps the trajectories
of obliquity, precession and
eccentricity would become completely different given sufficient time, but maybe with the same general character — periods and amplitudes and average values being similar enough that a casual glance at any given time segment (on the necessary scale to characterize the orbital
cycle «climate») wouldn't look like anything different.
Although the third parameter
of Earth's orbit,
eccentricity, varies on a 100,000 - year
cycle, its magnitude is insufficient to explain the 100,000 - year
cycles of glacial and interglacial periods
of the past 900,000 years.
Simulation
of non-linear accumulation and bioturbation effects on precession - forced basinal carbonate
cycles demonstrate that variance can be transferred from the precession into the
eccentricity band18, generating «redder», i.e., higher ρ1 values.