But despite those cold, hard realities, some argue that Manhattan's retail struggles are still just the result of natural
economic market cycles, and once rents drop even further, activity will return to normal.
Not exact matches
Certain matters discussed in this news release are forward - looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties including, but not limited to, doubts about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern, the need to obtain additional funding, risks in product development plans and schedules, rapid technological change, changes and delays in product approval and introduction, customer acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive products and pricing,
market acceptance, the lengthy sales
cycle, proprietary rights of the Company and its competitors, risk of operations in Israel, government regulations, dependence on third parties to manufacture products, general
economic conditions and other risk factors detailed in the Company's filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
But if this
economic cycle indeed has another extended leg in — as plenty of indicators suggest — and companies can keep the profit machine running along with stock buybacks and mergers, there's no saying the
market as a whole can't work its way a good deal higher before it reaches its ultimate peak.
These risks include, in no particular order, the following: the trends toward more high - definition, on - demand and anytime, anywhere video will not continue to develop at its current pace or will expire; the possibility that our products will not generate sales that are commensurate with our expectations or that our cost of revenue or operating expenses may exceed our expectations; the mix of products and services sold in various geographies and the effect it has on gross margins; delays or decreases in capital spending in the cable, satellite, telco, broadcast and media industries; customer concentration and consolidation; the impact of general
economic conditions on our sales and operations; our ability to develop new and enhanced products in a timely manner and
market acceptance of our new or existing products; losses of one or more key customers; risks associated with our international operations; exchange rate fluctuations of the currencies in which we conduct business; risks associated with our CableOS ™ and VOS ™ product solutions; dependence on
market acceptance of various types of broadband services, on the adoption of new broadband technologies and on broadband industry trends; inventory management; the lack of timely availability of parts or raw materials necessary to produce our products; the impact of increases in the prices of raw materials and oil; the effect of competition, on both revenue and gross margins; difficulties associated with rapid technological changes in our
markets; risks associated with unpredictable sales
cycles; our dependence on contract manufacturers and sole or limited source suppliers; and the effect on our business of natural disasters.
A rising rate
cycle and uncertainty about reform measures pose risks to
economic growth and financial
markets.
They also suggest that the influence of U.S.
economic news is even larger in a globalized world economy in which business
cycles across major industrialized countries have become more synchronized, leading to greater integration and news spillover across financial
markets.
When you look back on this moment in history, remember that many investors ruled out the possibility of major losses over the completion of the current
market cycle because they presumed relationships that could not be established in the data, and assumed the absence of any material
economic or financial shock in the coming years.
Being in a more mature phase of an
economic expansion currently, however, the next
market peak might come sooner than it did last
cycle.
Almost nine years old, both the stock
market rally and the US
economic growth
cycle ought to be mature, but the bull
market may have the dynamism to carry prices higher still.
Likewise, investors might have believed that the extraordinarily elevated
market valuations of 1929 and 2000 were «justified» by the recent
economic prosperity, but that did nothing to prevent the
market collapses that completed those
cycles, with over a decade of negative total returns for the S&P 500 in both cases.
While a tight labor
market provides definite advantages — such as employment opportunities for workers who have struggled to find a job — nonetheless, providing too much stimulus from either monetary or fiscal policy at this stage of the
economic cycle could threaten to create a so - called «boom and bust» economy, which policymakers certainly want to avoid.
Estimates of prospective long - term returns for the S&P 500 reflect our standard valuation methodology, focusing on the relationship between current
market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability over the economic cycle (see for example Investment, Speculation, Valuation, and Tinker Bell, The Likely Range of Market Returns in the Coming Decade and Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earn
market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability over the
economic cycle (see for example Investment, Speculation, Valuation, and Tinker Bell, The Likely Range of
Market Returns in the Coming Decade and Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earn
Market Returns in the Coming Decade and Valuing the S&P 500 Using Forward Operating Earnings).
Investors may recall that the
economic cycle continued through the 2010, 2011, and 2016 equity corrections, but that those episodes also involved months of equity -
market swings and choppiness.
But the problem with that analysis is that you're not taking a 120 - year, modern,
economic historical analysis of business
cycles and stock
market trends.
As the review of liquidity
cycles suggests, wider «
markets» in expected
economic outcomes (which would mean greater short - term volatility) could promote long - term financial stability.
So given that the global earnings /
economic cycle remains intact, I don't think it's time to talk seriously about a potential bear
market emerging.
However,
market direction once the wall of worry has been surmounted is impossible to ascertain, and depends on the stage of the
economic cycle at which it occurs.
The current U.S.
economic cycle has been unusually long, sparking
market fears that it is ready to die of old age.
This lends itself to a simple strategy of buying growth stocks after the
market has crashed and for several years into a recovery, then shifting to value stocks as interest rates rise and the
economic cycle ages.
Offers excellent education, chatroom, and daily commentary) Toni Turner: (Introduced me to the
Economic /
Market Cycles — Author, Excellent Educator) Tom Sosnoff and Don Kaufman: (Founder and educator at «Think or Swim» options brokerage) Martin Pring: (Highly respected Technical Analyst — also teaches intermarket relationships and the market cycle) John Carter: (Respected trader / educator — very po
Market Cycles — Author, Excellent Educator) Tom Sosnoff and Don Kaufman: (Founder and educator at «Think or Swim» options brokerage) Martin Pring: (Highly respected Technical Analyst — also teaches intermarket relationships and the
market cycle) John Carter: (Respected trader / educator — very po
market cycle) John Carter: (Respected trader / educator — very popular.
In other words, I just started the portfolio for him after he was born, no matter where the
market was or where we were in an
economic cycle.
We rely on our broad arsenal of fundamental barometers for profits, sentiment, momentum, and our cyclical indicators to help us identify whether
markets are correctly aligned relative to their
economic and profits
cycles.
Our measures of
market action are still broadly unfavorable, and allowing even the mildest adjustment for profit margins and the position of earnings in the
economic cycle, valuations remain rich.
Bull and bear
markets often coincide with the
economic cycle, which consists of four phases: expansion, peak, contraction and trough.
In that position he served as spokesman on the Chinese business
cycle and was a designer of The Conference Board Leading
Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed, market - moving economic in
Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed,
market - moving
economic in
economic indicator.
Use this business
cycle graph to plan your sector investing strategy around the natural phases in the
economic cycle Investors have a horrible track record of timing the
market, trying to buy low and sell high.
From an
economic standpoint, they don't impact the
market as a whole and aren't of such a magnitude that they'll end the
economic cycle.
People lose money in the
markets because they don't understand
economic and investment
market cycles.
The latest round of OECD Composite Leading Indicators was just released, and given how useful these indicators can be in shedding light on the state of the
economic cycle (and
market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within the data.
However, this is usually a longer - term warning and, given that we are experiencing a particularly extended
economic cycle, would not make a compelling case for rushing to the sidelines of financial
markets today, in our view.
The
market earlier this year simply had made an enormous error by pricing in its expectations for a strong
economic and inflationary environment that has frankly not appeared (Making Volatility our Friend: Trading the Kitchin
Cycle, May 28, 2014 and Unsustainable Steel Premiums, Sept. 3, 2014).
Those expectations are based on analysis of historical precedence, including the average
market gains in the third year of the presidential election
cycle, strong momentum, earnings growth, seasonal trends, accelerating
economic growth, and the normal
market performance around the first Fed rate hike.
Note however that the proportion represented by this group increases in the years following a recession, a sign that
economic cycles, and their effect on the labour
market, play a role.
In the analysis, a long history of data over a number of different
economic and
market cycles is usually required to identify the key factors and leading indicators that can predict relative performance.
Most of us don't have the skill to time the
market and so you shouldn't be obsessed with trying to buy at the right time in the
economic cycle.
Do Fed policy makers really expect a quiescent
market reaction to the potential removal of THE key subsidy of the current
economic and financial
market cycle?
Today, we'll take a look at recent
economic headlines and then turn our focus to why investors should remain optimistic during all
market cycles.
This has now been negative since May, portraying a pace of
economic activity that is well below potential and therefore continues to be consistent with both (a) a continuing ultimately deflationary
economic Supercycle Bear
Market Period, or Winter, and (b) our working model for after - shock, double double - dip business
cycle contractions over the next four years.
Or as Seth Klarman, in one of my favorite investing quotes, said: «To achieve long - term success over many financial
market and
economic cycles, observing a few rules is not enough.
Additionally, this
cycle stands out for its divergence between the lackluster
economic growth — average real GDP is 1.3 % since 2009 — and the stock
market, which, thanks in part to unprecedented monetary stimulus, is up nearly fourfold since its 2009 low.
Monetary policy supported U.S. stocks during the recent
market cycle, even as the
economic expansion has been tepid.
He recognized early on that applying leverage to safe, cheap, high - quality stocks would magnify returns without the risk of fire - sale, allowing him to stick to the principles outlined above over the course of multiple
economic and
market cycles.
Estimates of prospective long - term returns for the S&P 500 reflect our standard valuation methodology, focusing on the relationship between current
market prices and earnings, dividends and other fundamentals, adjusted for variability over the
economic cycle.
Our investment approach seeks to deliver superior long - term risk - adjusted returns through differing
economic and
market cycles, while always retaining a sharp focus on the preservation of our clients» capital.
Cycles of rapid expansion in
economic production are likely to be followed by downturns conditioned by slackening demand; the costs of acquiring and protecting new
markets through diplomatic deals and military intervention eventually outweigh the gains to be had from these
markets; dominant countries gradually lose their hegemonic power; and the whole system becomes subject to the strains of realignment as new countries or new modes of production rise to prominence.
Flexible packaging demand, like most other
markets, is influenced by the
economic cycle.
Amidst a subdued Nigerian credit
market, we grew our loan portfolio by 10 %, leveraging our robust liquidity and capitalization to support good businesses through this challenging
economic cycle.
Others maintain the state's
economic development efforts remain stuck in a
cycle of failure, the byproduct of both
market forces and government policy.
Labour
market churn can be vast at all points of the
economic cycle.
In it, Tony discusses the All - Season investing approach which anticipates the various
market changes that inevitably occur in
economic cycles.