Sentences with phrase «economic models of climate»

Tulpulé, V., S. Brown, J. Lim, C. Polidano, H. Pant and B.S. Fisher (1998), An Economic Assessment of the Kyoto Protocol Using the Global Trade and Environment Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

Van der Mensbrugghe, D. (1998), A (Preliminary) Analysis of the Kyoto Protocol: Using the OECD GREEN Model, Presented at the OECD Workshop on the Economic Modelling of Climate Change, 17 - 18 September, Paris.

Not exact matches

To figure out the economic cost of a decade of extreme methane release — say from 2015 to 2025 — the researchers added the extra methane and temperature increases to the climate models through to 2200 — that's how they got the $ 60 trillion cost globally from just the East Siberian Arctic Shelf.

Earlier in the fall, we commissioned economic modelling to look at the benefits of building on the best elements of today's provincial climate policies.

CUMULUS CAUSALITY In «A Formula for Economic Calamity,» by David H. Freedman, David Colander of Middlebury College asserts that climate models often have no terms to account for the effects of clouds.

The uncertainty associated with future climate projections linked to economic possibilities of what people will do is far larger than the uncertainty associated with physical climate models.

Hertel and doctoral student Uris Baldos developed a combination of economic models — one that captures the main drivers of crop supply and demand and another that assesses food security based on caloric consumption — to predict how global food security from 2006 to 2050 could be affected by changes in population, income, bioenergy, agricultural productivity and climate.

Pressure from Climate and Population Growth Models examining the effects of climate change and of population and economic growth on water availability by 2025 indicate that climate change alone will bring scarcity to many placesClimate and Population Growth Models examining the effects of climate change and of population and economic growth on water availability by 2025 indicate that climate change alone will bring scarcity to many placesclimate change and of population and economic growth on water availability by 2025 indicate that climate change alone will bring scarcity to many placesclimate change alone will bring scarcity to many places (top).

They did so by adding the extra emissions to an existing model used in the UK government's 2006 Stern Review, designed to assess the economic cost of coping with climate change between now and 2200.

A new scientific paper by a University of Maryland - led international team of distinguished scientists, including five members of the National Academies, argues that there are critical two - way feedbacks missing from current climate models that are used to inform environmental, climate, and economic policies.

These tests can be conducted with the help of computer models that depict future demographic and economic development and that examine the interplay between industry and the climate and other essential natural systems.

«So we should probably be using [these economic and climate] models to examine the impact of future climate change on various migrant - employing sectors of the southwestern U.S. economy.»

Such offices shall engage in cooperative research, development, and demonstration projects with the academic community, State Climate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, Regional Climate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory ComClimate Offices, and other users and stakeholders on climate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate products, technologies, models, and other tools to improve understanding and forecasting of regional and local climate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change and the effects on economic activities, natural resources, and water availability, and other effects on communities, to facilitate development of regional and local adaptation plans to respond to climate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Comclimate variability and change, and any other needed research identified by the Under Secretary or the Advisory Committee.

To determine the ideal mitigation policy, a research team led by Princeton University, the University of Vermont and the University of Texas at Austin employed a climate - economic model to examine two ethical approaches to valuing human population.

This is a novel component of climate modeling, which has to date incorporated human behavior indirectly through economic impacts only.

CO2 growth rates (CEI, p. 11): arguments about what growth rates for CO2 emissions that some models use are besides the point of what the science says about the climate sensitivity of the earth system (emissions growth rates are if anything an economic question).

Having better economic models should increase confidence in projections of the effects of various policies, and greatly improve communication with climate modelers.

Methods: To understand the effects of economic forces from climate policy on terrestrial carbon and land use changes, the researchers used the MiniCAM, an integrated assessment model developed by the PNNL team over the last two decades, to compare different scenarios.

Members of the German research network BIOACID (Biological Impacts of Ocean Acidification) are developing a model that links ecosystem changes triggered by ocean acidification and climate change with their economic and societal consequences.

Handbook of Climate Change and Agroecosystems: The Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP) Integrated Crop and Economic Assessments... Change Impacts, Adaptation, and Mitiga

Economic models notwithstanding, private companies will fund their own climate models when the cost of not doing so bumps up against profit margins.

One of the most important improvements in climate change economic system modeling in the last five years has been to understand how those imperfect «second best» worlds actually unfold.

When you think about the uncertainties of economic models and how much money is invested using those models as a basis, the idea that we don't know enough about climate change is laughable.

When the climate model output is fed into ecosystem models, and these in turn are coupled to socio - economic analysis tools, the potential future scenarios that come out, assuming the world continues its business as usual, appear rather grim, see e.g. the very interesting final report of the European ATEAM project.

This result would be strongly dependent on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly in todays global models.Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it in the impact record (i.e., economic losses) of extreme events.

As the increasing levels of anthropogenic CO2 used for climate prediction are essentially predicated by the increase in economic activity world - wide and the effects thereof, has the IPCC's SRES model been adjusted in the light of the criticisms made by Castles and Henderson in 2002/3 and subsequently presented at the IPCC TGCIA meeting in Amsterdam, Jan 2003?

That treaty set mandatory limits on greenhouse gases for the three dozen industrialized countries that ratified it, but is seen by a growing number of climate and economic experts as a faltering model for effective action to limit global warming.

Nordhaus's preferences for social values and his model of economic growth and climate damages suggests an SCC of about $ 18 per ton of CO2 (for an ECS of 2.9 °C).

The new research involved linking a series of computer models, which covered crop production, economic development, trade and climate change, to consider a range of scenarios.

Nordhaus's preferences for social values and his model of economic growth and climate damages suggests an SCC of about

Ruiz Estrada M A (2013) «Economic Vulnerability under the Global Climate Changes Evaluation Model (GCCE - Model): The Case of China.»

Likewise if a number of species fail to adapt to the rapidly changing climate, the loss associated with this reduction in biodiversity goes beyond whatever small economic impact is modeled in these studies.

In a recent interview, Nordhaus - whose models project a smaller economic impact than most - said that regardless of whether the models showing larger or smaller economic impacts from climate change are correct, «We've got to get together as a community of nations and impose restraints on greenhouse gas emissions and raise carbon prices.

John, On the «Presentation: Precautionary Principle...» thread you told me that you think it's «unhelpful to conflate discussion of climate - science issues like the modelling of SO2, about which none of us here know very much, with discussion of economic projections, where we can have a useful discussion.»

Title: the Structure of Economic Modeling of the Potential Impacts of Climate Change: Grafting Gross Underestimation of Risk onto Already Narrow Science Models

(2007) • Contribution of Renewables to Energy Security (2007) • Modelling Investment Risks and Uncertainties with Real Options Approach (2007) • Financing Energy Efficient Homes Existing Policy Responses to Financial Barriers (2007) • CO2 Allowance and Electricity Price Interaction - Impact on Industry's Electricity Purchasing Strategies in Europe (2007) • CO2 Capture Ready Plants (2007) • Fuel - Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components (2007) • Impact of Climate Change Policy Uncertainty on Power Generation Investments (2006) • Raising the Profile of Energy Efficiency in China — Case Study of Standby Power Efficiency (2006) • Barriers to the Diffusion of Solar Thermal Technologies (2006) • Barriers to Technology Diffusion: The Case of Compact Fluorescent Lamps (2006) • Certainty versus Ambition — Economic Efficiency in Mitigating Climate Change (2006) • Sectoral Crediting Mechanisms for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Institutional and Operational Issues (2006) • Sectoral Approaches to GHG Mitigation: Scenarios for Integration (2006) • Energy Efficiency in the Refurbishment of High - Rise Residential Buildings (2006) • Can Energy - Efficient Electrical Appliances Be Considered «Environmental Goods»?

While at CGD, she developed a modelling tool for policy - makers called SkyShares, which allows users to compute the economic and environmental implications of climate agreements.

It has always struck me that those who dismiss climate models are so certain about the predictive power of economic models forcasts of financial devastation when their track record is, to put it charitably, less than robust.

Air pressure changes, allergies increase, Alps melting, anxiety, aggressive polar bears, algal blooms, Asthma, avalanches, billions of deaths, blackbirds stop singing, blizzards, blue mussels return, boredom, budget increases, building season extension, bushfires, business opportunities, business risks, butterflies move north, cannibalistic polar bears, cardiac arrest, Cholera, civil unrest, cloud increase, cloud stripping, methane emissions from plants, cold spells (Australia), computer models, conferences, coral bleaching, coral reefs grow, coral reefs shrink, cold spells, crumbling roads, buildings and sewage systems, damages equivalent to $ 200 billion, Dengue hemorrhagic fever, dermatitis, desert advance, desert life threatened, desert retreat, destruction of the environment, diarrhoea, disappearance of coastal cities, disaster for wine industry (US), Dolomites collapse, drought, drowning people, drowning polar bears, ducks and geese decline, dust bowl in the corn belt, early spring, earlier pollen season, earthquakes, Earth light dimming, Earth slowing down, Earth spinning out of control, Earth wobbling, El Nià ± o intensification, erosion, emerging infections, encephalitis,, Everest shrinking, evolution accelerating, expansion of university climate groups, extinctions (ladybirds, pandas, pikas, polar bears, gorillas, whales, frogs, toads, turtles, orang - utan, elephants, tigers, plants, salmon, trout, wild flowers, woodlice, penguins, a million species, half of all animal and plant species), experts muzzled, extreme changes to California, famine, farmers go under, figurehead sacked, fish catches drop, fish catches rise, fish stocks decline, five million illnesses, floods, Florida economic decline, food poisoning, footpath erosion, forest decline, forest expansion, frosts, fungi invasion, Garden of Eden wilts, glacial retreat, glacial growth, global cooling, glowing clouds, Gore omnipresence, Great Lakes drop, greening of the North, Gulf Stream failure, Hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, harvest increase, harvest shrinkage, hay fever epidemic, heat waves, hibernation ends too soon, hibernation ends too late, human fertility reduced, human health improvement, hurricanes, hydropower problems, hyperthermia deaths, ice sheet growth, ice sheet shrinkage, inclement weather, Inuit displacement, insurance premium rises, invasion of midges, islands sinking, itchier poison ivy, jellyfish explosion, Kew Gardens taxed, krill decline, landslides, landslides of ice at 140 mph, lawsuits increase, lawyers» income increased (surprise surprise!)

Sensitivity of the climate to carbon dioxide, and the level of uncertainty in its value, is a key input into the economic models that drive cost - benefit analyses, including estimates of the social cost of carbon.

EPA uses a variety of economic models and analytical tools when conducting climate economic analyses.

A recent multi-model study coordinated by the Energy Modeling Forum at Stanford University (EMF 27) brought together many energy - economic models to assess technology and policy pathways associated with various climate stabilization targets (e.g., 450, 550 ppm CO2 equivalent or CO2e), partially in support of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate stabilization targets (e.g., 450, 550 ppm CO2 equivalent or CO2e), partially in support of the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change (IPCC).

What the climate needs to avoid collapse is a contraction in humanity's use of resources; what our economic model demands to avoid collapse is unfettered expansion.

Using a detailed computer simulation of global economic activity and climate processes, they ran the model 400 times with possible tweaks.

Then, by using climate models to project future temperatures, the researchers were able to estimate economic growth over the rest of the century if these historical patterns hold true.

One widely - used model assumes that economic growth rates will not be affected by climate change, thereby predicting that half of the world's economic activity would continue after a whopping 18 degrees C of global warming.

In 2014, Regional Economic Models, Inc (REMI) did a study of Citizens» Climate Lobby's Carbon Fee and Dividend proposal.

To provide improved assessment of the impacts of climate change in the regions of Africa using new climate and impacts models and new understanding of socio - economic aspects.

The new study, published in the peer - reviewed journal Nature Climate Change, used economic modelling to estimate the impact of unchecked climate Climate Change, used economic modelling to estimate the impact of unchecked climate climate change.

While the computer climate models exaggerate the warming effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide, they plausibly simulate that greater economic development driven by growing use of fossil fuels will add more carbon dioxide to the atmosphere.