This does not only change the entire system, but brings concerns to the entire
economic models of future economies.
Not exact matches
Projecting the
future, or
future - casting, is the work
of combining social science, research, technical data,
economic trends and, yes, even science fiction, to
model a prediction
of the
future.
Yet judging by its school system — perhaps the most important indicator
of a country's
future economic performance — this Swedish
model's looks appear to be fading fast.
Deloitte Access Economics offers a full suite
of economic advisory services including
economic forecasting,
modelling, analysis and advisory services to help our clients plan for the
future, understand the implications
of major decisions, and navigate the complexities
of economic policy.
Quantitative investing assumes that
future performance
of a security relative to other securities may be predicted based on historical
economic and financial factors, however, any errors in a
model used might not be detected until the fund has sustained a loss or reduced performance related to such errors.
All
of the proposed controls that would have such a significant impact on the world's
economic future are based on computer
models that are so complex and chaotic that many runs are needed before we can get an «average» answer.
We must engineer the green economy
of the
future to compensate for the collapse
of a discredited
economic model dependent on credit binges, gravity defying house prices and increasing consumption.
The uncertainty associated with
future climate projections linked to
economic possibilities
of what people will do is far larger than the uncertainty associated with physical climate
models.
His story «The Machine That Would Predict the
Future» explores the promise
of the FuturICT project, an attempt to build a computer
model of all the social,
economic, ecological and scientific factors at play in the world.
These tests can be conducted with the help
of computer
models that depict
future demographic and
economic development and that examine the interplay between industry and the climate and other essential natural systems.
«So we should probably be using [these
economic and climate]
models to examine the impact
of future climate change on various migrant - employing sectors
of the southwestern U.S. economy.»
It is in cities that the social,
economic and environmental sustainable development converge more intensely, making it become necessary to be thought out, planned and managed in accordance with sustainable development
model that aims to meet the current needs
of the Earth population without compromising its natural resources, bequeathing them to
future generations.
To avoid the catastrophic
future that is pronounced for the humanity
of the resulting
economic and environmental threats, it is essential to have the commitment
of governments, public and private productive sector and individuals with the
model of sustainable development.
An anticipatory event to the
future organization
of World Biomimetic Experience Summit 2017, where it will put on the spot the international reality
of the Biomimetic as an emerging
model to face a new social,
economic and industrial scenario from a bioinspiring cosmo vision.
October 19: Schooling in the Workplace: The Swiss
Model with Noel Ginsburg, chairman and CEO
of Intertech Plastics and chair
of Colorado Advanced Manufacturing Alliance; Nancy Hoffman, vice president
of Jobs for the
Future and author
of Schooling in the Workplace; Ursula Renold, head
of the Comparative Education System Research Division, Swiss
Economic Institute, ETH Zürich; and Marc Tucker, president
of National Center on Education and the Economy and leader
of NCEE's international study
of vocational education systems.
Spanish version Around the world, young people
of both sexes look to the
future, and question current socio -
economic models that are based on the irrational exploitation
of natural resources.
But if the theory behind the Valuation - Informed Indexing
model is on the mark, it is not
economic conditions that are causing our troubles — it is the largely ignored reality that we borrowed $ 12 trillion from
future investors to pay for the bull markets
of the late 1990s and that we now need to pay that money back.
An
economic moat is a structural feature
of a startup's business
model that protects it from competition in the present but enhances its competitive position in the
future.
The collaboration between Lisson and Beirut heralds the beginning
of a new collaborative project between two galleries occupying vastly different political, social and
economic spaces and, in doing so, explores an innovating
model for
future curatorial practices.
(Warsaw, Poland) The theme
of the exhibition «Slow
Future» is degrowth, a social movement advocating that we should abandon the current
model of compulsory
economic growth and search for ways to improve the quality
of life within the limits
of capacity
of natural environment.
The theme
of the exhibition «Slow
Future» is degrowth, a social movement advocating that we should abandon the current
model of compulsory
economic growth and search for ways to improve the quality
of life within the limits
of capacity
of natural environment.
When the climate
model output is fed into ecosystem
models, and these in turn are coupled to socio -
economic analysis tools, the potential
future scenarios that come out, assuming the world continues its business as usual, appear rather grim, see e.g. the very interesting final report
of the European ATEAM project.
More on Smart Growth: Eco-Towns: Three
Models of Green Urban Planning Nagoya: City Planning For The Car - Free
Future Gaia, Asheville's First Green Community Weathers the
Economic Downturn
That's a standard bit
of economic modeling prestidigitation, meant to account for the fact that people value present goods (or harms) more highly than
future ones.
Currently set at $ 36 per ton
of carbon dioxide, the metric is produced using a complex, and contentious, set
of models estimating a host
of future costs to society related to rising temperatures and seas, then using a longstanding
economic tool, a discount rate, to gauge how much it is worth today to limit those harms generations hence.
The three scenarios developed are Modern Jazz, which represents a «digitally disrupted,» innovative, and market - driven world, Unfinished Symphony, a world in which more «intelligent» and sustainable
economic growth
models emerge as the world drives to a low carbon
future, and a more fragmented scenario called Hard Rock, which explores the consequences
of weaker and unsustainable
economic growth with inward - looking policies.
Then, by using climate
models to project
future temperatures, the researchers were able to estimate
economic growth over the rest
of the century if these historical patterns hold true.
All this fiction about creating a better
future through government compulsion ignores the lesson
of the Soviet Union
economic model.
It appears that Pruitt instructed the EPA career staff to make assumptions grossly unfavorable to the CPP in order to calculate the largest possible negative
economic impact; for example, the RIA
models scenarios that minimize the CPP's reductions in unhealthy air pollutants, inflate the costs
of compliance, only count the climate benefits
of CO2 reductions in the US, and greatly discount the
future benefits
of lower global temperatures.
People who've been following the debate about global warming closely will be aware that the
economic modelling used in projections
of future climate change by the IPCC has been severely criticised by former Australian Statistician Ian Castles and former OECD chief economist David Henderson.
These global climate
models typically receive inputs from neoclassical
economic and human demographic
models for calculations
of future greenhouse gas emissions.
Most
economic models, including those used to produce projections
of future greenhouse gas emissions, are not capable
of modeling abrupt changes such as these.
As the interpretation
of infinity in
economic climate
models is essentially a debate about how to deal with the threat
of extinction, Mr Weitzman's argument depends heavily on a judgement about the value
of life... A lack
of reliable data exacerbates the profound methodological and philosophical difficulties faced by climate change economists... The United Nations conference in Paris this December offers a chance to take appropriate steps to protect
future generations from this risk... http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2015/07/climate-change (MOST COMMENTING ARE NOT AT ALL IMPRESSED)
Lieutenant Governor Kathy Hochul said, «
Modeled after the wildly successful 43 North business plan competition, 76West is another example
of creative
economic development strategies spurring start - ups in the industries
of the
future.
We know from our analysis
of climate change, from the accelerating deterioration
of the economy's ecological supports, and from our projections
of future resource use that the western
economic model — the fossil - fuel - based, automobile - centered, throwaway economy — will not last much longer.
The most important uncertainty, he says, concerns the reliability
of economic models used to forecast the
future.
It is about how the small group
of committed entrepreneurs introduced in Small is Possible managed to keep their dream alive and thriving through the
economic recession, emerging with a
model of what a sustainable local economy might look like in a post carbon
future.
Using assumptions about
future population,
economic growth, trading conditions and technological progress, the trade
model estimated plausible prices
of food commodities on the international market given supply as defined by the production estimates.
(11/15/07) «Ban the Bulb: Worldwide Shift from Incandescents to Compact Fluorescents Could Close 270 Coal - Fired Power Plants» (5/9/07) «Massive Diversion
of U.S. Grain to Fuel Cars is Raising World Food Prices» (3/21/07) «Distillery Demand for Grain to Fuel Cars Vastly Understated: World May Be Facing Highest Grain Prices in History» (1/4/07) «Santa Claus is Chinese OR Why China is Rising and the United States is Declining» (12/14/06) «Exploding U.S. Grain Demand for Automotive Fuel Threatens World Food Security and Political Stability» (11/3/06) «The Earth is Shrinking: Advancing Deserts and Rising Seas Squeezing Civilization» (11/15/06) «U.S. Population Reaches 300 Million, Heading for 400 Million: No Cause for Celebration» (10/4/06) «Supermarkets and Service Stations Now Competing for Grain» (7/13/06) «Let's Raise Gas Taxes and Lower Income Taxes» (5/12/06) «Wind Energy Demand Booming: Cost Dropping Below Conventional Sources Marks Key Milestone in U.S. Shift to Renewable Energy» (3/22/06) «Learning From China: Why the Western
Economic Model Will not Work for the World» (3/9/05) «China Replacing the United States and World's Leading Consumer» (2/16/05)» Foreign Policy Damaging U.S. Economy» (10/27/04) «A Short Path to Oil Independence» (10/13/04) «World Food Security Deteriorating: Food Crunch In 2005 Now Likely» (05/05/04) «World Food Prices Rising: Decades
of Environmental Neglect Shrinking Harvests in Key Countries» (04/28/04) «Saudis Have U.S. Over a Barrel: Shifting Terms
of Trade Between Grain and Oil» (4/14/04) «Europe Leading World Into Age
of Wind Energy» (4/8/04) «China's Shrinking Grain Harvest: How Its Growing Grain Imports Will Affect World Food Prices» (3/10/04) «U.S. Leading World Away From Cigarettes» (2/18/04) «Troubling New Flows
of Environmental Refugees» (1/28/04) «Wakeup Call on the Food Front» (12/16/03) «Coal: U.S. Promotes While Canada and Europe Move Beyond» (12/3/03) «World Facing Fourth Consecutive Grain Harvest Shortfall» (9/17/03) «Record Temperatures Shrinking World Grain Harvest» (8/27/03) «China Losing War with Advancing Deserts» (8/4/03) «Wind Power Set to Become World's Leading Energy Source» (6/25/03) «World Creating Food Bubble Economy Based on Unsustainable Use
of Water» (3/13/03) «Global Temperature Near Record for 2002: Takes Toll in Deadly Heat Waves, Withered Harvests, & Melting Ice» (12/11/02) «Rising Temperatures & Falling Water Tables Raising Food Prices» (8/21/02) «Water Deficits Growing in Many Countries» (8/6/02) «World Turning to Bicycle for Mobility and Exercise» (7/17/02) «New York: Garbage Capital
of the World» (4/17/02) «Earth's Ice Melting Faster Than Projected» (3/12/02) «World's Rangelands Deteriorating Under Mounting Pressure» (2/5/02) «World Wind Generating Capacity Jumps 31 Percent in 2001» (1/8/02) «This Year May be Second Warmest on Record» (12/18/01) «World Grain Harvest Falling Short by 54 Million Tons: Water Shortages Contributing to Shortfall» (11/21/01) «Rising Sea Level Forcing Evacuation
of Island Country» (11/15/01) «Worsening Water Shortages Threaten China's Food Security» (10/4/01) «Wind Power: The Missing Link in the Bush Energy Plan» (5/31/01) «Dust Bowl Threatening China's
Future» (5/23/01) «Paving the Planet: Cars and Crops Competing for Land» (2/14/01) «Obesity Epidemic Threatens Health in Exercise - Deprived Societies» (12/19/00) «HIV Epidemic Restructuring Africa's Population» (10/31/00) «Fish Farming May Overtake Cattle Ranching As a Food Source» (10/3/00) «OPEC Has World Over a Barrel Again» (9/8/00) «Climate Change Has World Skating on Thin Ice» (8/29/00) «The Rise and Fall
of the Global Climate Coalition» (7/25/00) «HIV Epidemic Undermining sub-Saharan Africa» (7/18/00) «Population Growth and Hydrological Poverty» (6/21/00) «U.S. Farmers Double Cropping Corn And Wind Energy» (6/7/00) «World Kicking the Cigarette Habit» (5/10/00) «Falling Water Tables in China» (5/2/00) Top
of page
«The point
of the paper is to show a broad range
of hypotheticals and use the
model to demonstrate the
economic impact, not to read tea leaves and try to precisely forecast
future REC prices,» Divounguy said when asked about the basis for those assumptions.
The authors say a better understanding
of the climate impact
of fire will enable scientists develop
models to more accurately forecast
future future change — important given the rising
economic toll from uncontrolled burning.
Synapse's Coal Asset Valuation Tool (CAVT) is a spreadsheet - based database and
model that analyzes the
future economic viability
of coal units.
identifying how to integrate questions
of public confidence into techno -
economic models and scenarios charting Canada's energy
future;
For one thing, as I've said before, the
economic models from which IPCC and others draw these numbers are just this side
of wild guesses, based on assumptions about
economic growth, resource prices, and technological development decades in the
future.
Second, our approach explicitly
models the impact
of future climate change on
economic production.
And, as you're trying to predict
future greenhouse gas emissions, you have to start throwing
economic assumptions into the
models on top
of the physical assumptions you threw in for question 2.
Synapse's Coal Asset Valuation Tool (CAVT) is a spreadsheet - based database and
model that determines the
future economic viability
of coal units.
For the measures with wider deviations, many factors contribute to differences between the AEO Reference case projections and realized outcomes, but two primary contributors are the initial projections
of future oil prices and overall
economic activity that are used in NEMS.5 These projections can greatly influence the other projections made by the model, which is why each recent AEO includes alternative cases exploring differences in economic growth (Low and High Economic Growth cases) and in oil prices (Low and High Oil Price
economic activity that are used in NEMS.5 These projections can greatly influence the other projections made by the
model, which is why each recent AEO includes alternative cases exploring differences in
economic growth (Low and High Economic Growth cases) and in oil prices (Low and High Oil Price
economic growth (Low and High
Economic Growth cases) and in oil prices (Low and High Oil Price
Economic Growth cases) and in oil prices (Low and High Oil Price cases).
The SCC is a loosey - goosey computer
model result that attempts to determine the present value
of future damages that result from climate change caused by pernicious
economic activity.
Yet,
model projections
of future global warming vary, because
of differing estimates
of population growth,
economic activity, greenhouse gas emission rates, changes in atmospheric particulate concentrations and their effects, and also because
of uncertainties in climate
models.