Sentences with phrase «economic scenarios which»

In this context, we develop national projections of the urban and non-urban coastal population on the basis of four environmental and socio - economic scenarios which account for sea - level rise (for the flood plain analysis), population distribution, trends in urbanisation and coastal population growth.

Not exact matches

He noted that the baseline scenario for tests in 2015 — which projected an economic contraction of 2.3 percent for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used in the most conservative scenario in the current tests.

Many of them may relate to an optimistic scenario — one in which the economic recovery accelerates, causing the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy and interest rates to rise.

In this scenario Canada would be required to contribute $ 41 billion of stimulus, which is only slightly less than what the federal government did under its Economic Action Plan.

In this particular instance it is not very difficult to imagine scenarios in the not - too - distant future in which there might occur resurgences of socialist policies and ideals: the failure of neo-capitalist regimes in developing societies and / or the formerly Communist countries in Europe to achieve economic take - off; the insight granted to sundry dictators and despots that, while socialism invariably immiserates the masses, it is a very good recipe for enriching those who claim to hold power as the vanguard of the masses; the «creeping socialism» (still an aptly descriptive term) brought on by massive government intervention in the economy in the name of some societal good, e.g., there could be an environmentalist road to socialism, or a feminist one, or one constructed (perhaps inadvertently) with some other building blocks of politically managed regulations and entitlements; or, last but not least, the actual restoration of socialism, by coup or by voting, in a number of countries, beginning with Russia.

History presently offers us a scenario of socio - economic, cultural and spiritual crisis, which highlights the need for a discernment guided by a creative proposal of the Church's social message.

maybe you don't understand that Wenger's words are simply an attempt to recover some of the market value that was lost due to the way they have mishandled his contract negotiations, which means that everyone, once again, knows that we have little to no leverage when it comes to negotiating a transfer... much like we did with RVP, when we sold the EPL trophy to ManU for less than $ 25 million... any reputable team with a sporting director would never have allowed this situation to occur again and if they had heads would roll... if handled correctly the worst case scenario would have seen us get a minimum of $ 65 million for a player of his ilk in the present economic climate and we could have used those funds to purchase the best available striker in the early days of the transfer window... just imagine what outsiders must think about the state of our team if all you did was read the headlines... sadly, things might just might be worse than they think

The IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 Report contains projections of future global surface temperature change according to several scenarios of future socio - economic development, most of which are presented using a baseline of 1986 to 2005.

An article published by JAMA Pediatrics estimates the number of measles cases in U.S. children and the associated economic costs under different scenarios of vaccine hesitancy, which is the delay or refusal to vaccinate based on nonmedical personal beliefs.

The actuarial model asks, «Can we assure that we will be solvent under a wide number of economic scenarios over the long run, some of which might be quite severe?»

In the end, the safest way of anticipating & playing out this potential scenario is (again) to upgrade one's portfolio to focus on higher quality / growth companies at a better price — i.e. companies which can ideally offer stability & secular growth, regardless of the economic environment & outlook.

Then the weak point of the scenarios used in SRES is that they all rely upon a continuous economic growth throughout the century - which is by no means granted -, and that they all exceed by far the amount of proven reserves for at least one fuel — which can hardly be considered as a likely event, by definition of «proven».

«Then the weak point of the scenarios used in SRES is that they all rely upon a continuous economic growth throughout the century - which is by no means granted -...» Gilles — 26 Jan 2011 @ 11:59 AM

The new research involved linking a series of computer models, which covered crop production, economic development, trade and climate change, to consider a range of scenarios.

We conclude that this scenario offers three attractive characteristics: environmental security, because the global carbon budget is set at a level which keeps global warming below 2 degrees; economic efficiency, because carbon trading allows the reductions to be made for least overall cost; and global social justice, because emission rights are allocated equally to all people.

The three scenarios developed are Modern Jazz, which represents a «digitally disrupted,» innovative, and market - driven world, Unfinished Symphony, a world in which more «intelligent» and sustainable economic growth models emerge as the world drives to a low carbon future, and a more fragmented scenario called Hard Rock, which explores the consequences of weaker and unsustainable economic growth with inward - looking policies.

Carbon Tracker believes that fossil fuel management are overly focused on demand and price scenarios that assume business as usual and so there may be a risk assessment «gap» between a management's view of the future and that which would result from action on climate change, technology developments and changing economic assumptions.

Imagine a scenario in which global warming would lead to zero costs between now and the year 2200, at which point global economic growth would be permanently reduced by 0.1 percent — in other words, that economic output starting in 2200 would be 99.9 percent of what it would have been had there been no global warming.

Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions scenarios: a high - emission scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to rise unchecked, and a low - emission scenario under which ocean warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.

To summarize, most of these economic analyses agree that a carbon pricing policy will reduce U.S. GDP - growth by less than 1 % over the next 10 — 40 years as compared to an unrealistically optimistic BAU scenario in which climate change does not impact the economy.

Mr. Romm does not use any of the emissions scenarios that are the starting point for IPCC climate projections, but instead has developed a forecast for carbon emissions (which are «rising faster than the most pessimistic economic model considered by the IPCC»).

In situations where probabilities can not be defined, economic analysis can define scenarios that describe a possible set of outcomes for each adaptation measure which meet some criteria of minimum acceptable benefits across a range of scenarios, allowing the decision - maker to explore different levels of acceptable benefits in a systematic way.

TGICA oversees a Data Distribution Centre (DDC) which provides data sets, scenarios of climate change and other environmental and socio - economic conditions, and other materials (e.g. technical guidelines on the use of scenarios and fact sheets offering clarifying explanations / concise guidance on topical issues).

This finding is supported by a scenario study of the damage due to river and coastal flooding in England and Wales in the 2080s (Hall et al., 2005), which combined four emissions scenarios with four scenarios of socio - economic change in an SRES - like framework.

In the experiment, greenhouse gas emissions in the coming century were assumed to follow a trajectory that climate modelers refer to as the A1B scenario, in which global economic growth is rapid and driven by a balanced portfolio of energy sources, including fossil fuels, renewables, and nuclear.

What is the value of an integrated assessment model that combines highly unlikely physical scenarios with an economic model that does economic calculations based on numbers that are throughout pure guesswork, and does that furthermore in a way that overemphasizes highly the part of the period on which we know as little as 19th century people knew about today?

A rational public and private sector response to the threat of storm damage in a changing climate must therefore acknowledge scientific uncertainties that are likely to persist beyond the time at which decisions will need to be made, focus more on the risks and benefits of planning for the worst case scenarios, and recognize that the combination of societal trends and the most confident aspects of climate change predictions makes future economic impacts substantially more likely than does either one alone.

The researchers ran four stringency scenarios on the energy - economic model which simulated how a given climate policy would change a province's economic activity, energy use, and its emissions of carbon dioxide and air pollutants.

A comparable example is the difference between being able to predict the exact value of the GDP on a given day (something determined largely by unpredictable day - to - day news) and projecting the average increase in the GDP over three decades (plausible estimates of which can be made using scenarios of long - term economic growth and ongoing innovation).

Prof Wadhams is co-author of the controversial Nature paper which calculated the potential economic costs of climate change based on a scenario of 50 Gigatonnes (Gt) of methane being released this century from melting permafrost at the East Siberia Arctic Shelf (ESAS), a vast region of shallow - water covered continental crust.

It predicts that global mean temperatures will rise by 1.8 ° -4.0 °C this century, depending on which socio - economic scenario is followed.

The heart of Lawson's case is the economic criticism of the IPCC scenario generation process which has been pushed by Ian Castles and David Henderson.

If some policy maker (who could well be a British treasury official) thinks that the Business as Usual scenario is too pessimistic (read, too optimistic regarding developing world economic growth), he or she is free to choose one of the lower emission scenarios, of which there are many.

In this webinar from June 9, 2016, Synapse's Senior Associate Patrick Luckow and Senior Associate Pat Knight discuss scenarios in which United States electric sector CO2 emissions could decline by 30 percent by 2030 driven largely by these new realities, combined with economic retirements of older coal plants.

In one of its occasional assessments, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — the cowinner with Al Gore of the Nobel Peace Prize — posited a scenario in which the global economy would grow at about 2 percent a year for the next 100 years (it's growing at more than twice that pace currently) with «fragmented» and «slow» per capita economic growth and technological change.

The resulting set of forty scenarios (thirty - five of which contain data on the full range of gases required for climate modelling) cover a wide range of the main demographic, economic and technological driving forces of future greenhouse gas and sulphur emissions.

The Insurers are bound to send an annual report, which would cover the fund performance during previous financial year in relation to the economic scenario, market developments etc. which should include fund performance analysis, investment portfolio of the fund, investment strategies and risk control measures adopted to increase the policyholder's benefit.

The downfall in the economic scenario has increased the popularity of such plans; also, people don't wish to pay premium for a longer time which makes these short plans more favorable, esp.

Given the length and vast experience of our divorce mediators, they have seen scenarios which you may not have thought of and can guide you through these tough economic times.