Sentences with phrase «economic surprise»

As «beats» have slowed, economic surprise indexes have weakened.

This relationship is even stronger when looking at a global (G - 10) index of economic surprises.

While measures of positive economic surprises have risen sharply, most of the improvement is from soft data.

Economic surprise indicators are on the rise, too.

There are at least two ways in which economic surprises impact markets.

Those are the sorts of social economic surprises that we have to plan for as well.

While measures of positive economic surprises have risen sharply, most of the improvement is from soft data.

Historically, valuations have been higher when global measures of economic surprises have been positive.

U.S. economic surprises continue to run at the most negative level since 2009, recent manufacturing reports have come in weak and March's payroll gains were 126,000, below even the most pessimistic expectations.

U.S. economic surprises continue to run at the most negative level since 2009, recent manufacturing reports have come in weak and March's payroll gains were 126,000, below even the most pessimistic expectations.

Despite the recent softness in data — the Citi economic surprise index for the eurozone is now at its lowest since June 2012 — markets remain stubbornly bullish on the euro with overall bets still near record highs as longer - term expectations remain optimistic.

Meanwhile, despite rebounding a bit in March, European economic surprises have turned negative since January, while a similar emerging market index has collapsed.

Election years can bring economic surprises as well.

Historically there has been a positive relationship between economic surprises and U.S. equity market performance.

General economic surprises look like they are now approaching a peak again.

In tonight's Closer sent to Bespoke clients, we recap weekly price action in major asset classes, update economic surprise index data for major economies, chart the weekly Commitment of Traders report from the CFTC, and provide our normal nightly update on ETF performance, volume and price movers, and the Bespoke Market Timing Model.

Positive economic surprises are associated with a robust, or at least improving, economy.

First, U.S. economic numbers continue to be mixed ---- an index of economic surprises is still hovering just above a six - year low ---- although the trend is toward improvement.

Past March, markets will need to digest rising... core inflation and declining [purchase manager indexes], economic surprises and (quite possibly) earnings revisions.»

«Past March, markets will need to digest rising... core inflation and declining PMIs, economic surprises and (quite possibly) earnings revisions.»

Intra-stock correlation is not sending a tactical buy signal and the economic surprise index also argues for some wariness.

The speech goes on to outline some of the economic surprises that came to pass in the intervening years, including: the «mining boom mark II»; the further significant rise and then subsequent fall in Australia's terms of trade; and the search for yield in global capital markets driven by ongoing ultra-easy monetary policy in the major economies.

Earnings / Macro Pulse: But if you look at a couple of key indicators we track: the «nominal surprise index» (this tracks a combination of the Citi US inflation surprise index and the economic surprise index - giving a view on how the inflation and general economic data is turning out vs expectations), and the «earnings revisions indicator» (this combines earnings revisions ratio and the rate of change in forward earnings).

Many factors — among them, economic surprises, strong manufacturing activity, and a weak U.S. dollar — point to continued strong earnings across all sectors through 2018, economic analysts say.

When it comes to market and economic surprises, 2016 was a banner year.

In recent months, we've observed one of the most persistent shortfalls from economic expectations in years, as measured by various «economic surprise» indices.

First, U.S. economic numbers continue to be mixed ---- an index of economic surprises is still hovering just above a six - year low ---- although the trend is toward improvement.