«As was the case six months ago, there is no imminent downturn on the horizon, although global
economies and markets remain fragile and volatile.»
Not exact matches
However, the Bank is projecting a return to growth in the second half of 2015, led by the non-energy sectors of the
economy: «Outside the energy - producing regions, consumer confidence
remains high
and labour
markets continue to improve.
A few things stand out about this particular rate change: first, the magnitude of influence that just a quarter percentage - point change had on the stock
market; second, the current rate with an upper range of.50 % compared to the various long - term averages of about 5 %;
and third, the rate
remains historically low, with only minute incremental changes, despite the relatively good news we continue to read about the
economy.
No matter if the
economy is good or bad,
marketing remains a necessity,
and is the lifeblood of long - term success.
Even as China's stock
market continues to reel,
and Europe still searches for a way to keep its monetary union intact, central bankers
remain confident that the American
economy is on the upswing.
With Trump's Nov. 8 election victory
and his campaign promise to tear up international trade deals threatening to shatter a fragile global recovery, Singapore «s open
economy remains among some of the most vulnerable
markets to U.S. protectionism.
It's worth noting that despite
market turmoil
and a relatively weak
economy, Rogers» cash
and debt positions
remain favourable.
As it stands, the fundamentals underpinning housing
markets in Vancouver
and Toronto
remain strong — local
economies are growing, immigration is robust
and interest rates are low.
WASHINGTON, April 18 - «Robust» business borrowing, rising consumer spending,
and tight labor
markets indicate the U.S.
economy remains on track for continued growth, the Federal Reserve reported on Wednesday, with the risks of a global trade war the one big outlier.
Take one look at its competitors,
and you know that the
market for consumer electronics
and computer equipment
remains strong, even in this
economy.
In late August, Mordy wrote an article entitled «China's Crash: Postponed» asserting that while China is, indeed, moving toward a
market economy, it is still controlled largely by the government,
and therefore policy
remains the most important risk factor.
The global
economy is ending the year in a fragile state with factory activity shrinking in China, euro zone business growth
remaining weak,
and emerging
market giant Russia in a spiraling currency crisis.
In response to such a call from the G - 20 in Washington, D.C. last week, Germany's finance minister side stepped the issue
and talked about the need for the ECB to start withdrawing its money
market liquidity — i.e., whatever
remains of a meager life support to
economies crushed with 19 million people out of work
and 3.6 million of young people unable to find jobs
and make a living.
«If global sentiment
remains strong
and inflation muted, then financial conditions could
remain loose into the medium term, leading to a build - up of financial vulnerabilities in advanced
and emerging
market economies alike.
Ensure that Canada
remains competitive by enabling this highly - innovative sector of the
economy to catch up to other jurisdictions, ranging from the United States
and Great Britain to New Zealand where P2P lending
markets provide new, vibrant competition to established financial industry participants.
Though Africa has experienced impressive growth for well over a decade now, domestic
markets and intraregional economic relations have
remained constrained, with national
economies driven primarily by mounting foreign demand for the continent's natural resources
and commodity exports.
If that doesn't happen, the extent to which wage inequality
remains embedded in our
economy and labor
market means that these recent gains are likely be short - lived.
Or conditions
remain mostly the same since December
and, if anything, the U.S.
economy is strengthening, as evidenced by growth in the job
market, an uptick in manufacturing orders
and consumer spending,
and signs that inflation may be starting to stir.
My mantra
remains: the stock
market ain't the
economy,
and the latter, which matters a lot more important for many more people,
remains pretty solid.
The deal marks a major milestone for Argentina
and its new president, Mauricio Macri, restructuring the lion's share of the debt
remaining from the default
and freeing up the nation to tap international
markets for much - needed financing as its commodities - rich
economy falters.
For turnover in FX derivatives, several things stand out (Graph 4): (i) activity has generally risen over the past decade even when scaled by a measure of cross-border transactions; (ii) developed Asian
markets stand out as having a high degree of turnover; (iii) there was a particularly strong increase in turnover in these
markets between 2013
and 2016;
and (iv) FX derivatives turnover in emerging Asian
economies has also increased significantly in the past few years, but
remains a small part of the global
market.
Data from the BIS survey suggest that the FX derivative
market in China has grown rapidly over the past few years, having doubled from 2010 to 2013
and again from 2013 in 2016, although it
remains very small, even compared with other emerging
economies.
And for all the muddle, the one thing that seems clear is that the risks to the economy and particularly the labor market — which is generating solid job growth and even some wage gains (for which we should all give Chair Yellen and the Fed serious credit)-- remain «asymmetric:» there's a greater risk of needlessly slowing non-inflationary growth than there is of inflation accelerati
And for all the muddle, the one thing that seems clear is that the risks to the
economy and particularly the labor market — which is generating solid job growth and even some wage gains (for which we should all give Chair Yellen and the Fed serious credit)-- remain «asymmetric:» there's a greater risk of needlessly slowing non-inflationary growth than there is of inflation accelerati
and particularly the labor
market — which is generating solid job growth
and even some wage gains (for which we should all give Chair Yellen and the Fed serious credit)-- remain «asymmetric:» there's a greater risk of needlessly slowing non-inflationary growth than there is of inflation accelerati
and even some wage gains (for which we should all give Chair Yellen
and the Fed serious credit)-- remain «asymmetric:» there's a greater risk of needlessly slowing non-inflationary growth than there is of inflation accelerati
and the Fed serious credit)--
remain «asymmetric:» there's a greater risk of needlessly slowing non-inflationary growth than there is of inflation accelerating.
He did so again in 2001 after the World Trade Center was attacked, when he led the FOMC to immediately reduce the Fed funds rate from 3.5 percent to 3 percent —
and in the months that followed reducing that rate to as low as 1 percent as the
economy and stock
markets remained sluggish.
Markets remain volatile, global economic weakness continues to persist
and, of course, China has shown great signs of a weakening
economy over the past several months.
While
market demand should improve as the U.S.
economy continues to strengthen, the
remaining factors — government policies, a shortage of qualified staff,
and the depreciation of the Canadian dollar — will likely continue to hold back investment.
With an energy - related rebound in inflation fading, signs of improving economic conditions need to be put into perspective — despite the strong performance of Germany, the bloc's largest
economy — as the output gap across the region as a whole
remains large,
and so does the slack in its labor
market.
... to rising corporate profits, an ok
economy, slow inflation
and a reasonably quiet Fed
and you get all the reasons to defer selling
and booking your eight - year bull
market capital gains, especially since TINA (there is no alternative)
remains in everybody's mind.
Those
economies are also hurt by the stronger dollar,
and Blanch expects China
and emerging
markets to
remain headwinds.
Serious questions also
remain about the state of the overall Chinese
economy and of commodity - dependent
economies in Asia
and throughout the emerging -
market universe.
Japan
remains the world's third - largest
economy and the second - largest debt
market.
There are many research firms doing good work
and providing diligent research,
and our free -
market economy will ensure their prosperity as long as diligence
remains a priority.
We regard the greater stability in commodity prices, along with a lessening of volatility in financial
markets, as welcome,
and believe it should provide a more stable platform for the global
economy, where growth
remains acceptable, if lower than desirable.
In the United Kingdom, the
economy remains buoyant, spurred by a strong labour
market and continued rapid growth in house prices (Graphs 10
and 11).
But the prescription offered by the Taylor rule changes significantly if one instead assumes, as I do, that appreciable slack still
remains in the labor
market,
and that the
economy's equilibrium real federal funds rate — that is, the real rate consistent with the
economy achieving maximum employment
and price stability over the medium term — is currently quite low by historical standards.
It
remains our view that China's
economy is in the midst of a transition to a new, more domestically
and market - focused economic model that is leading to slower but more sustainable growth than in the past.
A brighter outlook for the global
economy appears to be boosting investors confidence, while geopolitical
and other
market driving forces
remaining quiet so far.
-- FOMC minutes show uncertainty
and concern about
markets are affecting officials» decision - making — Officials were cautious when evaluating
market conditions
and the «damaging effects on the
economy» — Worry about «potential buildup of financial imbalances»
and a sharp reversal in asset prices» — Members seem oblivious to impact of inflation on households
and savings — Physical gold
and silver
remain the only assets for real diversification
and safety
While both governments
remain committed to finding new
markets for Canada's oil
and gas, they have voiced strong support for increasing clean energy production
and exports in order to reduce carbon emissions
and the impact of fluctuating oil prices on Canada's
economy.
«An illiquid trading environment has exacerbated price declines that first began in June on profit taking
and then continued through July as equity
markets remained volatile on a host of concerns from geopolitics to earnings to the
economy,» said investment strategist for LPL Financial, Anthony Valeri.
Regarding U.S. monetary policy, the IMF said it still
remains «very accomodative,» but that the possibility of future rate hikes «have contributed to tighter external financial conditions, declining capital flows,
and further currency depreciations in many emerging
market economies.»
But despite growing debt woes in Europe, a burgeoning U.S. deficit,
and an unemployment rate that
remained stubbornly high, both the
economy and stock
market proved remarkably resilient.
With an extremely diversified
economy and a huge demand for housing, Houston
remains one of the top
markets in the nation for real estate investing.
This has helped
markets remain near their record - highs despite a weak global
economy and a weak economic outlook —
and despite poor fourth - quarter
and year - end results
and an even weaker outlook for the first quarter of 2016.
To make things worse, Canada's
economy has been hit hard by falling oil prices,
and investors
remain wary of a Canadian housing
market that has shown signs of becoming a bubble, as well as rising consumer debt rates.
Among the explanations that have been put forward are the increased credibility of central banks in controlling inflation (inflation rates
remain below 3 per cent across the developed world), the low level of official interest rates in the major
economies reflecting low inflation
and the continuing weakness in some
economies, a glut of savings on world
markets particularly sourced from the Asian region,
and changes to pension fund rules in some countries which are seen as biasing investments away from equities towards bonds.
While the phrase «yield curve» may not trigger excitement, the fact
remains that the yield curve is one of the simplest
and most useful ways to gauge future prospects for the
economy and the stock
market.
Although volatility returned to US equities in the early months of the year, the country's
economy remains strong
and markets appear well placed to continue their upward trend
The labour
market, meanwhile, continues to benefit from the
economy's strong performance over 1997
and early 1998,
and unemployment
remains below the levels of a year ago.
However, unlike many of those who support these ideas, I am pessimistic that QE3 will fix the
economy,
and I worry that too much celebration by
market monetarists over the structure of easing will only serve to undermine what
remains good in
market monetarism if
and when the
economy fails to recover quickly.