Also, in general, a stronger
economy leads to a higher interest rates, with or without Fed involvement.
Not exact matches
That said, if the
economy really starts growing gangbusters again, the Fed could start raising
interest rates, causing a commensurate jump in US treasury yields, which will
lead to higher savings
interest, CD
interest, and dividend yield payout ratios.
The selling has raged on in the days since, fueled partly by fear that
higher inflation would
lead the Fed
to accelerate its
interest rates hikes and weaken the
economy and the stock market.
The House overwhelmingly approved legislation (PDF) that ties student loan
interest rates to the market, which would translate
to lower
rates for students now but would
lead to higher rates if the
economy improves.
If the
economy continues
to improve in 2017 and President Trump's housing policies
lead to strong economic and housing growth, there will be
higher interest rates.
For example, the double - digit inflation of the 1970's was caused by banks keeping
interest rates low in an attempt
to stimulate a weak
economy, at a time when imported inflation from the oil shock was
high (
leading to stagflation).
This might
lead to higher risk premia and
higher nominal
interest rates that would undermine the effectiveness of such a policy
to stimulate the
economy,» Dudley said.
That, in turn, could
lead to an explosion in U.S. government debt and pave the way for
higher,
economy - dampening
interest rates charged
to businesses and consumers.
Paul Volcker, the newly appointed Fed chairman,
led a sharp shift in Fed policy in October, 1979 which drove
interest rates sky
high, sent the
economy into two back -
to - back recessions and knocked inflation out.
As discussed last month, this is a bit of a too much of a good thing crash all around — tax cuts into a strong
economy sending inflation and
interest rates high enough
to lead the Federal Reserve
to (potentially) over react and raise
rates too
high, causing a recession and growing debt issues as the government refinances debt at
higher rates, all while a tax cut reduces federal revenues.
Good economic news has pushed borrowers into the market seeking new loans, as they reason that a healthy
economy will
lead to higher interest rates.
The improving
economy, however, will likely
lead to higher inflation and
interest rates, which will raise the cost of borrowing for consumers and investors.